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MLB EXPERT BETS FOR THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 21, 2023
Our VI MLB betting experts have compiled their Best Bets for Thursday, September 21.
- New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies (FOX, 7:15 p.m. ET)
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs (MLB.TV, 7:40 p.m. ET)
Mets vs. Phillies Free Picks
The price on this one is a little on the high side but I do not want to get burned if the Phillies win this game by only 1 run so I am going with money line here instead of run line though I am anticipating a blowout home win. The Phillies are 28-20 against lefties and the Mets are 15-32 against lefties this season and this is a battle of southpaws.
Overall, no matter the pitchers, the Phillies are the overall stronger club plus they are at home here. The Mets are 32-45 on the road this season and struggling again away from home just like last season. The Phillies are 39-24 against teams with a losing record this season. The Mets are 42-51 against teams with a winning record this season.
So the situation strongly favors the Phillies and then the pitching does as well. Ranger Suarez had a 2.45 ERA last month and has a 3.31 ERA this month. He has a 3.18 ERA in night games this season. David Peterson is 1-6 with a 7.35 ERA in road games this season.
Opponents are hitting .327 against him away from home. Peterson has been piling up strikeouts of late but is still getting hit hard recently as opponents are hitting .323 against him this month. The Phillies also have the bullpen edge here. Take Philly
Pirates vs Cubs Free Picks
The first two games of this series have flown OVER the number, but all signs point to a much more defensive affair here in the finale in my opinion.
We have two decent starters going head-to-head here, with Johan Oviedo (8-14, 4.27 ERA) going up against Kyle Hendricks (6-7, 3.77.)
Chicago won the opener 14-1, then Pittsburgh answered with the 13-7 victory last night. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.
This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.
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Looking for a straight up winner? The Vegas Insider MLB Free Money Line Picks focuses on just picking the winner. It's as simple as that and knowing that there's no clock in baseball, your wagers are never losers until the final out is punched. Our Free MLB Money Line Picks are known for their value, especially when our stable of experts lay into some live underdogs.
Free MLB Run-Line Picks
Run-Line Picks is MLB can be viewed as ATS or Against the Spread Picks since a spread or in this case, a run-line is involved. Oddsmakers always open run-line spreads as -1.5 or +1.5 and then there is money associated with each run-line spread. Instead of backing a heavy money-line favorite, bettors have the option to back that team to win by two or more runs at a lower price. When taking the underdog at the +1.5 price, your wager can still lose the game outright but if it stays within the spread (1.5) then you'll be okay. Our MLB Run Line Free Picks will feature a selection either on the favorite or the underdog and will include betting analysis on how to lay or take the points.
Free MLB Over Under Totals Picks
If you’re undecided on MLB ML or MLB Run Line Free Picks, you must be a Totals bettor and our Free MLB Over Under Totals Picks allow you to cheer for either a slugfest at the ballpark or a great pitching battle. Everybody loves the longball and cheering for an Over is much more fun but that doesn’t prevent our experts from playing the Under in our Free MLB Picks page and look for strikeouts. All selections featured in the MLB Over Under Totals Picks include betting analysis and tips on how to find the best markets.
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