Last Updated Jan 29, 2023, 6:41 PM

NFL Player Props for January 29, 2023

Here you will find our best NFL player props every week. Player props have become more popular now that many sportsbooks are offering more and more options. You can bet on anything from touchdown scorers to even how many interceptions a quarterback will throw.

Thinking about adding a prop to a parlay? Make sure to use our parlay calculator and check out our best NFL parlays for this week.

NFC & AFC Championship Player Prop Best Bets for Sunday, January 29

Our VegasInsider NFL Betting Experts will be offering up their top Player Prop selections for both Conference Championship Games on Sunday, January 29th.

  • Miles Sanders (PHI) Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-115) vs. SF
  • Kadarius Toney (KC) Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs. CIN

Championship Game Props Comparison

NFC Championship Game Prop Best Bets

Miles Sanders (PHI) Under 50.5 Rushing Yards

For the longest time, San Francisco’s key to success has been their phenomenal defensive play, and that remained true yet again for most of this season, especially in the rushing department. It's almost impossible to run the ball against the Niners, highlighted by San Francisco finishing the year ranked second in the league in both rushing yards allowed per game and carry.

Also, the Eagles typically switch up their play-calling in matchups against elite run defenses. They ran the ball 41% of the time against the group of six Top 10 defensive fronts they faced during the regular season, compared to running it over 54% of the time against the weaker units.

Jalen Hurts answered all the questions surrounding his health issues in the Divisional Round. He carried the ball nine times for 34 yards in the Eagles' blowout victory over the G-Men last week, and he certainly wasn't hesitant to lower his shoulder in rather meaningless situations. So, in a matchup against a much tougher San Francisco defense this week, I expect to see Hurts cut into the Eagles' backfield load much more than we've seen in his recent outings.

Miles Sanders carved up the Giants' defense for 90 yards on 17 carries last week. However, prior to his latest performance, Sanders had fallen short of the 50-yard rushing mark in four of his last eight outings. Which certainly doesn't bode well for a back heading into a matchup against one of the league's premier rush defenses.

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AFC Championship Game Prop Best Bets

Kadarius Toney (KC) Over 35.5 Receiving Yards

Kadarius Toney has finally stayed healthy enough for a long enough period to form some chemistry with his new signal caller, and when he's at full strength, Toney is an incredibly dangerous weapon for this Chiefs' passing attack, and he very well might be the best true wideout on this offense, obviously, excluding their top pass-catcher Travis Kelce.

It's no secret that the Chiefs have one of the best offensive units in the league. However, Patrick Mahomes is dealing with a pretty serious ankle injury at the moment, and as great as they've truly become since drafting their star QB, Andy Reid's squad still has no ground game, highlighted by Kansas City ranking 25th in the league in rush attempts per game, despite posting a record of 13-4. And regardless of the circumstances, I expect no different in this week's AFC Championship Game.

Toney has caught in a total of 11 passes across the Chiefs' last three games, while averaging 41.6 YPG during that stretch, and in his latest outing against Jacksonville, he reeled in a season-high five receptions on seven targets, despite tallying just 36 receiving yards in last week's affair. But moving forward, 'over' 35 yards should be a very safe bet for Toney if he continues to see a similar volume of targets within this incredible Kansas City offensive attack.

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What Are NFL Prop Bets?

NFL props bets can be anything from how many passing yards a QB will throw for to how many sacks a player might have. The options are endless, and this makes it so you can bet with or against a certain player instead of betting on the whole team.

Players props can have different edges compared to traditional bets. If there is a matchup you like on Stefon Diggs, then bet on his under. Many people like to look at the offensive vs. defensive matchup to determine what props they are going to wager on.

Players are also more susceptible to trends. If a player has been dropping the ball, expect that player to continue those actions until you get corrected.

Different Types Of NFL Prop Bets

Touchdown Scorer

A common NFL prop bet is who will score a touchdown in a given game. The shortened version you might see is ATTD. This stands for anytime touchdown scorer. Winning this bet is pretty simple. The player you bet on has to score a touchdown. This can get confusing when you see quarterbacks listed as touchdown scorers.

Looking at the lines, you might see something like this listed on a given Sunday:

  • Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown: +350

When reading touchdown props for quarterbacks, unless stated as a passing touchdown prop, this means Josh Allen will have to score a rushing or receiving touchdown. If he throws for three touchdowns, this bet would still be graded as a loser. Make sure to find the correct prop you are looking for on your preferred sportsbook.

Rushing/Receiving/Passing Yards

Another common type of NFL prop is rushing, receiving, and passing yards props. These are betting on a specific player to either go over or under a certain number of yards. These types of bets are available to all players, so make sure you find the correct prop for the player you want.

Nick Chubb might have the option for rushing and receiving yards, so make sure to select exactly what you want.

Below are a couple different player props that you will see listed:

  • Tyreek Hill Over 88.5 Receiving Yards
  • Joe Mixon Over 55 Rushing Yards
  • Lamar Jackson Under 299.5 Passing Yards

These types of wagers are commonly used on fantasy apps such as PrizePicks, which is widely available in states sports betting isn't always legal since you're not betting on the outcome of games.

Team Props

Team props are when you remove the individual from the wager. Examples of team props might be total wins in a season or total points in a game. There are also more obscure props, such as the examples below:

Team props are usually how the team will perform, not on the individual level.

Bankroll Management

In the space of gambling and sports betting as a whole, bankroll management is a controversial topic. NFL props are easy to get carried away with, so keep in mind you should always bet within your means and set aside money you are comfortable losing. If you are using any Fantasy apps, set deposit limits for yourself.

A good limit would be 1% of your total worth. Take what you have and set limits you can manage. Do not chase bets or bet beyond your means.

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