Today’s MLB Player Prop Bets for July 11, 2024

Player Prop Picks

The VegasInsider MLB Player Prop Picks are now available for the 2024 MLB regular season and for the campaign, we're leaning on our friends at RotoGrinders and ScoresandOdds.

Check back on a daily basis to view our MLB Player Prop Bets, or check out our overall MLB odds! Check out the latest bet365 bonus code offer or BetMGM bonus code before placing your bets on daily MLB action.

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MLB PLAYER PROP BETS - THURSDAY'S PROPS

Our MLB Player Prop Bets are available for Thursday, July 11 and for today's slate, we're focusing on the below matchups:

For the above matchups, our experts have selected MLB Player Prop Bets on the below individuals:

  • Athletics P Luis Medina
  • Astros 2B Jose Altuve
Luis Medina Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-133)

I hit this one in Medina's last start, and I'm going back to it. He'll face another middling strikeout team with a bunch of lefties in the lineup.

Boston leads the league by a mile in strikeout rate against LHP, but they're a below-average group against RHP. The Red Sox rank 18th in K% vs. RHP over the past 30 days. It makes sense, as they regularly have 5-6 lefties in the lineup. Thursday's projected group includes 6 left-handers. Boston has also smashed righties lately, ranking top 5 in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ over the past 30 days.

Through 7 starts, Medina has an ugly 25:18 K:BB. His 15.9% K% ranks 9th percentile. Medina is striking out just 14.1% of lefties while walking them 11.5% of the time. That's a rough combo, particularly against this lineup. Medina has somehow posted a 4.37 ERA despite the weak K:BB and subpar quality of contact metrics, but his xFIP and SIERA are both in the mid-5.00s. His outs prop is 14.5, which tells you all you need to know about his abilities.

Jose Altuve Home Runs (+575)

Altuve doesn't have the same pop he used to, but he's still about a 30-HR guy, and Roddery Munoz is a good matchup. Munoz doesn't have much of a sample size at the MLB level, but he's given up 15 HRs this season in just 44.1 innings and has massive fly-ball splits. He's been worse vs. lefties this season, but he's been bad to both sides of the plate. I have the true odds on Altuve under +500.

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What Are MLB Prop Bets?

MLB props are wagers that can be placed on individual players or events that occur during a baseball game. These bets are typically more specific than traditional bets on the outcome of the game, such as the moneyline, over-under or run-line wagers.

Some common MLB prop bets include:

  • Player Props: These bets focus on individual players' performance, such as how many hits a batter will have, how many strikeouts a pitcher will record, or how many stolen bases a baserunner will attempt.
  • Game & Team Props: These bets focus on specific events that could happen during a game, such as which team will score first, how many total runs will be scored, or whether there will be a home run in the first inning.

Prop bets can be a fun and exciting way to add some variety to your MLB betting. They can also be a good way to target specific players or teams that you have an edge on.

Here is an example of a MLB prop bet:

Will Aaron Judge hit a home run in today's game against the Astros?

This bet is a yes/no proposition, and the odds will depend on how likely the sportsbook thinks it is that Judge will hit a home run. If you think Judge is likely to go deep, you would bet "yes" and collect your winnings if he does hit a home run. If you think he is unlikely to hit a home run, you would bet "no" and collect your winnings if he does not hit a home run.

Prop bets can be a fun and profitable way to enjoy MLB betting. By understanding the different types of prop bets that are available, you can find bets that you are confident in and that fit your betting style.

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Different Types Of MLB Prop Bets

MLB prop bets come in a variety of different types, each with its own unique appeal. Some of the most popular types of MLB prop bets include:

Player props: These bets focus on individual players' performance, such as:

  • Total hits: How many hits will a player have in a game?
  • Total home runs: How many home runs will a player hit in a game?
  • Total runs: How many runs will a player score in a game?
  • Total RBIs: How many RBIs will a player drive in in a game?
  • Total strikeouts: How many strikeouts will a pitcher record in a game?
  • Total walks: How many walks will a pitcher issue in a game?

Game props: These bets focus on specific events that could happen during a game, such as:

  • First team to score: Which team will score the first run of the game?
  • Total runs scored: How many total runs will be scored in the game?
  • Home runs scored: How many home runs will be hit in the game?
  • Strikeouts made: How many strikeouts will be recorded in the game?
  • Double plays turned: How many double plays will be turned in the game?

Other props: These bets can be more creative and unpredictable, such as:

  • Will a player hit a home run to left field?
  • Will a pitcher throw a wild pitch?
  • Will there be a balk called?
  • Will a player strike out swinging or looking?
  • Will a certain pitch be thrown during the game?

Prop bets can be a fun and exciting way to add some variety to your MLB betting. They can also be a good way to target specific players or teams that you have an edge on.

Here are some examples of creative MLB prop bets:

  • Will Aaron Judge hit a home run to left field?
  • Will Shohei Ohtani strike out more than 10 batters?
  • Will there be a balk called in the first inning?
  • Will Pete Alonso hit a home run on the first pitch of the game?
  • Will Clayton Kershaw throw a complete game shutout?

Team Props

MLB team prop bets are wagers that focus on the statistical performance of a team during a game. These bets can be more specific than traditional bets on the outcome of the game, such as the moneyline or spread.

Some common MLB team prop bets include:

  • Total runs scored: How many total runs will the team score in the game?
  • Total hits: How many total hits will the team have in the game?
  • Total home runs: How many total home runs will the team hit in the game?
  • Total strikeouts: How many total strikeouts will the team record in the game?
  • Will the team score first?

Team prop bets can be a fun and exciting way to add some variety to your MLB betting. They can also be a good way to target specific teams that you have an edge on.

Here are some examples of MLB team prop bets:

  • Will the Yankees score more than 5 runs against the Red Sox?
  • Will the Dodgers hit more home runs than the Astros?
  • Will the Mets strike out more than 10 batters against the Cardinals?
  • Will the Blue Jays score first against the Guardians?

Team prop bets can be a great way to add some excitement to your MLB betting. By understanding the different types of team prop bets that are available, you can find bets that you are confident in and that fit your betting style.

Bankroll Management

In the space of gambling and sports betting as a whole, bankroll management is a controversial topic. NFL props are easy to get carried away with, so keep in mind you should always bet within your means and set aside money you are comfortable losing. If you are using any Fantasy apps, set deposit limits for yourself.

A good limit would be 1% of your total worth. Take what you have and

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