Consensus Picks

What are the NFL Consensus Picks?

Week 1

Week 1

NFL Consensus Picks

The latest and greatest product offering from our NFL Picks menu is the NFL Consensus Picks report. The weekly feature will display the aggregate number of selections on the three most popular betting markets from our stable of NFL expert handicappers on all available matchups. 

The Consensus report will be updated daily and will feature selections on the three most popular pre-game betting markets - Spread, Total (Over-Under) and Moneyline. Click on each of the “Market Tabs” to view all of the available picks for each game. 

The report is updated as selections are posted and as a courtesy to our loyal users, the NFL Consensus Picks report will provide a free matchup for you to test. Another great feature of this product is the ability to track and view ALL selections from our NFL experts by viewing the NFL Consensus Picks report records from the previous weeks. 

Unlock the Consensus Picks report and start following all the top selections today for all major sports!

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What are the NFL Consensus Picks?

The NFL Consensus Picks are a detailed report that provides a breakdown of selections for each matchup based on the three most popular pre-game betting markets for NFL bettors: Spread, Total (Over-Under) and Moneyline. For each of these betting markets, the NFL Consensus shows a percentage breakdown and the total number of selections made on each matchup. These numbers are a great handicapping tool as bettors can see a quick snapshot in which way bettors are leaning on a spread, total or moneyline wager. 

Our NFL Matchups offer a more comprehensive betting trends percentage breakdown from the action that operators are receiving on specific games. Knowing the betting public plays through these operators, the majority of the leans usually trend toward the favorites with point-spread and moneyline wagers and the over in total bets. 

For the NFL Consensus Picks at VegasInsider, the data is showing all available selections made by our NFL expert handicappers. Unlike the majority of bettors, our NFL expert handicappers have a wealth of betting experience and VegasInsider also tracks all of the individuals with documented records and leaderboards. 

Understanding the NFL Consensus Picks

The VegasInsider NFL Consensus Picks provide betting percentages on three different markets and the point-spread is the most popular. In the below example of the NFL matchup between Cincinnati and Cleveland, there are a total of 21 selections posted on the three markets from our NFL experts.

Moneyline: 1
Total: 2
Spread: 9

The lone moneyline wager was on Cincinnati, which means 100% of the bets were on the Bengals in this market. The total was a split or simply put a 50-50% consensus, with two experts on the over and another two on the under. The point-spread had a 10-6 pick selection edge to the Browns and that percentage converted to 62%, with the remaining four picks or 38% on the Bengals.

NFL Consensus Picks Record

What differentiates the NFL Consensus Picks at VegasInsider is our presentation of the records based on previous weekly trends. Users can toggle between previous days or weeks and check out how profitable the NFL Consensus Picks fared. The overall Consensus Picks Record grades each matchup and betting market that had selections posted. The three grades are Win, Loss and Push. We identify a Push as a tie and in the case of our NFL Consensus Picks, that would be identified as a 50-50% split. 

In the above example, the Arizona Cardinals defeated the New Orleans Saints 42-34. The five moneyline wager on the Cardinals was graded as a Win, while the 7-1 edge on picks for Saints gave the Spread market a Loss. The Total (Over-Under) market had a 5-2 edge to the Over which resulted in a Win.

Fading or Following the NFL Consensus Picks

The NFL Consensus Picks are a great handicapping tool for bettors on both sides of the fence. Some users like to go against the grain and play the opposite of the betting public and those individuals are often referred to as ‘contrarian’ bettors. The bettors that often side with the higher percentages in each matchup could be viewed as ‘chalky’ players but we all know that favorites do win too. 

Our advice is to take a look at our NFL Consensus Picks and then compare them to the data in the NFL Matchups index. If you tend to see a large following of VegasInsider experts on an underdog or under wager and the betting public on the opposite sides, then it might be a smart idea to back the VI handicapping stable instead of the masses. 

NFL Consensus Picks FAQ

What is the NFL consensus?

The NFL consensus tells you what percentage of the betting public are taking on a side of a given bet. This is a great way to see where the public is betting, and if you want to "fade" the public by going with the less-popular choice.

Should the NFL consensus affect my betting choices?

For the most part, it's a good idea to know how the public is betting, but it's not typically a good idea to take a bet just because everyone else is. You could lose out on a lot of potential profit if you're always betting with the crowd!

Who is the best predictor of NFL games?

VegasInsider keeps a roster of expert handicappers for you to utilize. Our team does the legwork so you don't have to, giving you the most informed choices for your NFL betting.

What is a consensus pick?

A consensus pick is a betting pick that goes with the public opinion. As stated, it's typically a good idea to know how the public is betting, but you shouldn't always put your money where the public is betting: in a lot of cases, you can hit a bigger payout by doing the opposite.

What are the NFL odds for this week?

Take a look at our NFL Odds pages for the most up-to-date info on odds, predictions, and more.