Premier League Matchday 29 Free Picks

Expert Free Picks

Matchday 29 of the Premier League will only feature four matches due to other competitions in play. The matches will take place on Saturday March 16, 2024 and Sunday March 17, 2024.

Premier League Odds

Despite the short slate, I'm offering up my Best Bets and Analysis on all four matches this weekend!

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Premier League Matchday 29 Free Picks

Sunday, March 17, 2024
Aston Villa ML (+140)

Saturday, March 16, 2024
Burnley-Brentford - BTS & Over 2.5 Goals (-115)
Draw No Bet: Luton (+105)
Tottenham ML (+112)

ML - Moneyline
BTS - Both Teams to Score

Odds Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change

West Ham United vs. Aston Villa

Leon Bailey of Aston Villa will look to steal a road win on Sunday when it pays a visit to West Ham United. (Getty)
  • Date: Sunday, March 17
  • Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
  • Venue: London Stadium
  • Location: London, England

Best Bet: Aston Villa ML (+140)

You have to go back almost 13 years to find the last time Aston Villa won at West Ham, and on that occasion it needed a 90th minute goal at the Hammers’ former ground, Upton Park.

The underlying expected goal data for 2023/24 suggests the visitors have an excellent chance of ending this poor east London run, better than the bookmakers think too.

Both teams being in action on Thursday night is a wild card factor, as there may be extra time involved. But as Villa has only one defeat in its last 15 games on the road in all competitions and won the reverse fixture 4-1, it should have been too much for David Moyes’ erratic side.

Burnley vs. Brentford

  • Date: Saturday, March 16
  • Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor
  • Location: Burnley, England

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals (-115)

Burnley is second bottom of the Premier League’s six-game form table and Brentford has one point from its last five matches. This could be ugly. 

But it could also be entertaining. Struggling teams tend to concede goals, after all. The Bees are third behind Tottenham Hotspur and Luton for league matches in 2023/24 in which there were at least three goals with both teams scoring.

This selection has paid out in four of Brentford’s last five games, with the exception being against Manchester City, who are boringly efficient. This fixture ended 3-1 last time it occurred at Turf Moor and a repeat wouldn’t be a surprise, just don’t ask which team will win.

Luton vs. Nottingham Forest

Ross Barkley and Luton Town could use three points on Saturday when it hosts Nottingham Forest. (Getty)
  • Date: Saturday, March 16
  • Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
  • Venue: Kenilworth Road
  • Location: Luton, England

Best Bet: Draw No Bet: Luton (+105)

Oh, Luton. Luton, Luton, Luton. Rob Edwards’ side recently became just the third team to lose a Premier League game after being 3-0 up at half time, going down 4-3 at Bournemouth on Wednesday. 

Any win would’ve taken it out of the relegation zone at the expense of Nottingham Forest, who visit Kenilworth Road on Saturday. So, while many people are already awaiting Manchester City versus Arsenal in two weeks, there’s just as big a game (well, nearly) this weekend. 

Luton will need its home form to survive, as its remaining home games are against sides currently 12th or below, it's always all versus the top nine. With Forest having been mostly abysmal on the road since promotion, the Hatters can get a previous victory here. I’ll be taking the ‘Draw No Bet’ option though, just in case. 

Fulham vs. Tottenham

  • Date: Saturday, March 16
  • Time: 1:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Craven Cottage
  • Location: London, England

Best Bet: Tottenham ML (+112)

Tottenham will be bouncing into Craven Cottage. Its 4-0 win at Aston Villa last weekend has blown open the race for a top four finish and made it favorite to claim the only spot which is realistically available.

Spurs will also be happy to visit Fulham as they usually do well there. Granted, Ange Postecoglou’s side went out of the Carabao Cup on penalties back in August but Tottenham won its other four matches there in the last decade. 

With Fulham already having little more than west London pride to fight for, this match should end in an away win.

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