EPL Matchday 7 Free Picks
Matchday 7 of the English Premier League will feature 10 matches that will begin on Saturday September 30, 2023 and conclude on Monday October 2, 2023.
Let's get right to the games!
English Premier League Matchday 7 Free Predictions
(Sunday) Nottingham Forest ML +190
(Saturday) Aston Villa/Brighton - Over 9.5 Shots on Target
(Saturday) Wolverhampton/Man City - BTS & Over 2.5 Goals
(Saturday) Everton/Luton - Over 2.5 Goals
(Saturday) Tottenham ML +195
ML - Moneyline
BTS - Both Teams to Score
Odds Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change
Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford
- Date: Sunday, October 1
- Time: 9:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: The City Ground
- Location: Nottingham, England
Best Bet: Nottingham Forest to win (+190)
This fixture may seem an odd choice for the television companies to select as the only Premier League match on Sunday.
However, both meetings of Nottingham Forest and Brentford featured result-changing goals in stoppage time, so drama looks guaranteed. If far from certain, a home win looks a good bet too.
Forest has won two and drawn one of its three games against teams which start the weekend below it in the league table, which is where Brentford finds itself. With only one victory this season, and that against 10-man Fulham, the Bees are not in good form.
Steve Cooper’s side will see this as an excellent opportunity to continue its strong Premier League form at the City Ground and should collect three points.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton
- Date: Saturday, September 30
- Time: 7:30 a.m. ET
- Venue: Villa Park
- Location: Birmingham, England
Best Bet: Over 9.5 shots on target (+102)
The Premier League weekend kicks off with Aston Villa against Brighton, a difficult fixture to forecast. Both clubs are playing European football in 2023/24, have generally started the season well but have had an unexpectedly heavy defeat too.
With the Seagulls, backing goals is always a sensible strategy. You need to go to over 3.5 before the odds appeal and that’s a big ask in a lunchtime match though.
Instead, look at shots on target. Brighton has had eight in both of its away matches while Villa logged at least five in its two home games. Unless the sides cancel each other out, over 9.5 shots on target looks likely.
Wolverhampton vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, September 30
- Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: The City Ground
- Location: Nottingham, England
Best Bet: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals (+100)
Manchester City has won the last six meetings of these sides, with four of the victories being by at least three goals.
These are difficult times for the defending champions though. Rodri is suspended and several injuries have left Pep Guardiola with a relatively small squad.
City should have too much for Wolves, nonetheless. However, the home side has carried a decent goal threat recently – mainly thanks to Pedro Neto – and should be able to get on the score sheet against a weakened City.
Everton vs. Luton
- Date: Saturday, September 30
- Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Goodison Park
- Location: Liverpool, England
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals (+101)
Everton’s three home matches have all ended with the same depressing score line this season: 1-0 to the visitors. However, the Goodison Park faithful have seen the Toffees amass nine clear-cut chances and over four expected goals in those matches.
Having won 3-1 at Brentford last time out, perhaps some of those ‘goals due’ chips have already been cashed. But Everton looks to be carrying a fairly consistent goal threat (particularly against the weaker sides) and the return of Dominic Calvert-Lewin only aids it on that front.
Luton’s results have improved with every passing week too. The Hatters collected a point last time out and will hope to take advantage of Everton’s poor home form. With the visitors unlikely to keep a clean sheet, over 2.5 goals should be on the cards whatever the result.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool
- Date: Saturday, September 30
- Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Location: London, England
Best Bet: Tottenham to win (+195)
Tottenham has made its best six-match start to a Premier League season and it has done so having already faced Manchester United and Arsenal.
Liverpool has improved markedly since last season too. However, it remains vulnerable in the early stages of matches, whereas Spurs has been starting games well. Break down matches into 15-minute chunks and the first of them is Tottenham’s joint-best for chance quality.
It has also been unlucky in recent times against the Reds. Tottenham has scored five times from chances worth eight expected goals in its last five home matches against Liverpool. The underlying data says it should be favorite so back Ange Postecoglou’s boys here.
Odds Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change
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