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2021 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

 

Apr. 20, 2021
by VI News
VegasInsider.com

The Kentucky Derby is the most famous horse race in the United States. It's always run on the first Saturday in May and is often called "The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports" or "The Run for the Roses."

The race takes place at Churchill Downs Racetrack from Louisville, Kentucky and features the top three-year-old horses in the world. This year's race is expected to be run on Saturday May 1, 2021.

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2021 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

The official morning-line odds for the 2021 Kentucky Derby will not be released until the 2021 Kentucky Derby draw takes place.

The post position draw for the 147th Kentucky Derby is set for Tuesday April 27 at 11:00 a.m. ET, which is when we'll find out who are the 20 runners racing in this year's event.

In the meantime, VegasInsider.com Horse Racing expert Anthony Stabile has started to produce his early Kentucky Derby betting odds for the 147th running on May 1, 2021.

Stabile's morning-line odds will be updated prior to the draw and his numbers will include the potential 20 runners for this year's race before the aformentioned draw, when the official field is announced.

Kentucky Derby Odds

Kentucky Derby - Big A Morning-Line Odds
Horse Odds Trainer Jockey
Essential Quality 3/1 Brad Cox Luis Saez
Rock Your World 6/1 John Sadler Joel Rosario
Known Agenda 8/1 Todd Pletcher Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Highly Motivated 10/1 Chad Brown Javier Castellano
Hot Rod Charlie 10/1 Doug O’Neill Flavien Prat
Medina Spirit 15/1 Bob Baffert John Velazquez
Midnight Bourbon 20/1 Steve Asmussen Mike Smith
Mandaloun 20/1 Brad Cox Florent Geroux
Super Stock 20/1 Steve Asmussen Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Caddo River 30/1 Brad Cox TBD
Sour and Sandwich 30/1 Mark Casse Tyler Gaffalione
O Besos 30/1 Greg Foley Marcelino Pedroza
Like the King 40/1 Wesley Ward Drayden Van Dyke
Bourbonic 40/1 Todd Pletcher Kendrick Carmouche
Helium 40/1 Mark Casse Julien Leparoux
Dynamic One 40/1 Todd Pletcher Jose Ortiz
Sainthood 50/1 Todd Pletcher TBD
Hidden Stash 50/1 Vicki Oliver Rafael Bejarano
Get Her Number 50/1 Peter Miller TBD

2021 Kentucky Derby Contender Odds

Stabile's morning-line odds are listed below for the top 5 contenders for the 147th Kentucky Derby.

Kentucky Derby Contender Consensus Odds
Essential Quality 3/1
Rock Your World 6/1
Known Agenda 8/1
Highly Motivated 10/1
Hot Rod Charlie 10/1

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Kentucky Derby Betting Rankings

VegasInsider.com Horse Racing expert Anthony Stabile provides his "Stabile's Seven" rankings throughout the Kentucky Derby prep trail.

His latest rankings have a new-comer, Known Agenda.

The horse looked sharp in the Florida Derby and will get more attention in this year's Kentucky Derby. Moving out of the rankings was Collaborate.

Stabile's Seven - Power Rankings

  1. Essential Quality
  2. Highly Motivated
  3. Rock Your World
  4. Mandaloun
  5. Known Agenda
  6. Super Stock
  7. King Fury

(Updated 4.20.21)

The Stabile Seven Rankings are your source for anything and everything leading up to Kentucky Derby 147 on Saturday May 1 at historic Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.

In the coming weeks, Stabile, best known for picking 2003 Kentucky Derby winner Funny Cide at odds of over 12/1, will break down the top contenders for this years’ Run for the Roses on VegasInsider.com, culminating on Friday, April 30 with an extensive analysis of every runner that steps into the gate for the most exciting two minutes in sports.

Stabile's Seven Betting Analysis

(Number of points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard)

1) Essential Quality (140)

  • Trainer: Brad Cox
  • Jockey: Luis Saez

It appears to be all systems go for the champ who is at Churchill Downs getting prepared for the biggest race of his life. Cox announced that stablemate Caddo River was going to join him and Mandaloun in the gate, all but ensuring a quick pace. He wouldn’t mind that at all. On Saturday, April 17, he worked a strong five furlongs at Churchill in :59 3/5.

2) Highly Motivated (50)

  • Trainer: Chad Brown
  • Jockey: Javier Castellano

The more I think about his runner-up performance to Essential Quality in the Blue Grass, the more I like him. He was asked to set pace and go two turns for the first time and handled both with aplomb. Now, he gets a target and a much better pace scenario. On Sunday, April 18, he worked a solid half-mile in :47 1/5 at Keeneland before arriving at Churchill the next day.

3) Rock Your World (100)

  • Trainer: John Sadler
  • Jockey: Umberto Rispoli

Connections announced he’d be ridden by 2013 Kentucky Derby winning rider Joel Rosario this past weekend. Rosario was aboard for this colt’s maiden win before Umberto Rispoli rode him in his last two. Them's the breaks. Another who figures to be forwardly placed in the early running. On Saturday, April 17, he worked five furlongs at Santa Anita in :59 3/5.

4) Mandaloun (52)

  • Trainer: Brad Cox
  • Jockey: Florent Geroux

There is a “wise guy” horse on the trail each and every year and I’m pretty sure he’ll play the role on Derby Day. On Saturday, April 17, he worked six furlongs at Churchill in 1:11 2/5. In my opinion, it’s the best work I’ve seen from Kentucky. Combine this with his connections and the fact that his Risen Star effort puts him right there and he figures to be an underlay.

5) Known Agenda (102)

  • Trainer: Todd Pletcher
  • Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
His last two with blinkers added have been better than his other races but he still needs to get a little faster. More the merrier on the front end for him and it certainly appears he’ll get a more than honest pace. This jock is taking so much money right now, I can’t imagine him being worse than the third choice. On Friday, April 16, he worked five furlongs at Churchill in 1:00 2/5. Pletcher will also send out Bourbonic, Sainthood and Dynamic One in search of his third Derby tally.

6) Super Stock (109)

  • Trainer: Steve Asmussen
  • Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

Winner of my very own Wrestlemania Saturday match at Oaklawn, he sat off a contested pace before rolling home for an upset score. Asmussen felt like added distance would be his friend and he was right. Figures to get even more pace in the Derby and should be a huge price despite his win.

7) King Fury (20)

  • Trainer: Ken McPeek
  • Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.

He still technically needs some help to get in as he is the “bubble” horse as of this writing. He’s made all of his starts at 8.5 furlongs but I don’t think the stretch out will be an issue. In fact, I think he’ll appreciate the extra ground more than most of the others will just not sure how good he is.

Who is the Big A?

VegasInsider.com Horse Racing expert Anthony Stabile provides his "Stabile's Seven" rankings throughout the Kentucky Derby prep trail.

Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday.

Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile

In case you don't recall, Stabile boxed up four runners and drilled the 2019 Kentucky Derby for VegasInsider.com users.

2019 Kentucky Derby Results

  • $2 Exacta 20-13 paid $3,009.60
  • $2 Trifecta 20-13-8 paid $22,950.60

2021 Kentucky Derby Key Dates

  • Sunday, Apr. 25: Morning Workouts
  • Monday, Apr. 26: Kentucky Oaks Post Position Draw (11:00 a.m. ET)
  • Tuesday, Apr. 27: Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw (11:00 a.m. ET)
  • Wednesday, Apr. 28: Morning Workouts
  • Thursday, Apr. 29: Morning Workouts
  • Friday, Apr. 30: 147th Running of the Kentucky Oaks
  • Saturday, May 1: 147th Running of the Kentucky Derby

Kentucky Derby Betting Leaderboard

The Kentucky Derby can only have up to 20 runners and you must qualify for the event by earning points. The 2021 Kentucky Derby Prep schedule features all of points based races and the winners of those events that already took place.

Listed below on the leaderboard are the top 20 horses based on Kentucky Derby points earned and this will give you a good idea of who will be running on Saturday May 1, 2021 in the 147th Kentucky Derby.

As far as online racebooks go, our favorite is definitely TVG, so visit them from the leaderboard below to sign up and bet on the Kentucky Derby.


Essential Quality is 5-0 in his young career and that includes a pair of victories in the 2021 Kentucky Derby prep schedule. (AP)

Top 20 Kentucky Derby Point Leaders

Rank Horse Points Bet
1 Essential Quality 140
2 Hot Rod Charlie 110
3 Super Stock 109
4 Like the King 104
5 Known Agenda 102
6 Rock Your World 100
7 Bourbonic 100
8 Medina Spirit 74
9 Concert Tour 70
10 Midnight Bourbon 66
11 Mandaloun 52
12 Caddo River 50
13 Highly Motivated 50
14 Helium 50
15 Panadol 40
16 Soup and Sandwich 40
17 Dynamic One 40
18 Crowded Trade 40
19 Sainthood 40
20 Rombauer 34

Leaderboard Subject to Change - Updated Apr. 20, 2021

Top Kentucky Derby Betting Bonuses

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Kentucky Derby Online Betting 2021

Betting on the Kentucky Derby is something that hundreds of thousands of fans are looking forward to because of all the excitement the race brings. The thrill isn’t just in guessing the next Kentucky Derby winner-- there are many other betting options for those who know where and how to look for them.

The odds and predictions will change as the 147th Kentucky Derby draws nearer. Some prefer early Kentucky Derby online betting, while others wait for the day of the Run for the Roses to place their bets. Both these practices have their pros and cons. Ultimately, everything depends on your personal preference.

Also, before you decide who to bet on, you should take into consideration some of the important factors such as the weight, age and form of every horse. Don’t forget to find out more information about their past performances, their jockeys and trainers.

These are the details that can help you make your own horse racing betting strategy. Not only will this knowledge be helpful for the first leg of the American Triple Crown, but will also apply for the Belmont Stakes and Preakness Stakes.

However, choosing the right operator is one of the most important things when it comes to Kentucky Derby online betting. We choose some of the best Kentucky Derby online betting websites where you can also stream the race, so make sure to visit them and see what they have to offer:

  • TVG (4NJBets + PABets)
  • AmWager
  • BetAmerica
  • TwinSpires
  • NYRA Bets
  • DRF Bets
  • Xpressbet
  • Betfair Exchange

Morning-Line Odds for the Kentucky Derby aren't available until the week of the race and those are created by Churchill Downs oddsmaker Mike Battaglia. The official morning-line odds are announced after the post positions for the field have been set, which is normally announced on Tuesday before Saturday's race. Prior to the draw, gamblers can check out fixed odds at various betting shops.

TVG Welcome Offer: Get up to a $300 risk-free bet with a new TVG account

In order to qualify for this offer, as soon as you open a new account, you should place a single horse win-bet. If you lose, the operator will put up to $300 right back into your account as a wagering credit.

As you may know, TVG is one of the most popular sites for horse racing betting in the USA. But what makes it so great? Apart from the quality of welcome offers and current Kentucky Derby betting promotions, the operator comes with a bunch of other great stuff.

First of all, we want to say that the operator is exclusively focused on horse racing. It doesn’t feature any other sport, but if you are on the lookout for great horse racing action, then you’ll be in the right place.

TVG is the go-to place for online horse racing betting, including Kentucky Derby online betting. You can also find betting on the Breeders Cup or Kentucky Oaks. The operator offers some of the best horse racing odds, live streaming and betting services.

In the horse racing schedule on the website, you can easily find all upcoming events. For your convenience, TVG has also created a dedicated mobile application that you can easily download and use to place your bets or keep an eye on existing ones.

AmWager Welcome Bonus: $500 signup bonus

AmWager has prepared a special welcome offer for all new users who register for the very first time. It is one of the best US online horse betting platforms. Fully dedicated to its users, the brand always strives to provide you with the best possible quality of services.

It is available in the following states: AL, AK, CT, DE, FL, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MI, MT, NH, NY, ND, OH, OR, RI, SD, TN, VT, WI. Only new users who are over the age of 21 or 18 in some states are eligible for the welcome offer and can open a new user account.

How to Bet with AmWager

AmWager horse betting is a straightforward and simple process. Once you register, you’ll be able to deposit funds to your account and then start placing bets on your favorite runners. It doesn’t matter if you are interested in the Kentucky Derby, Belmont Stakes betting options or something else-- the brand covers all the major horse racing events.

The brand offers a massive range of betting markets, referred to as “pools”. Depending on the race and event, you can find various pools. Also, some of them might be limited only to specific types of races, specific tracks or events.

The following types of bets can be found on the operator’s official website: bet to win, bet to place, bet to show, exacta bet, trifecta bet, superfecta bet, double bet, pick 3 bet, etc.

In one of the following sections of our Kentucky Derby online betting guide, we include a special glossary where all these types of bets are shortly explained. If you are not familiar with them, make sure to check it out before you start your betting adventure.

It is also important to know that you can access the AmWager platform from a browser of your desktop computer or mobile device, but you can also download and install the AmWager mobile app.

The AmWager app is available both for iOS and Android users. Furthermore, the download procedure is pretty straightforward. With the app on your mobile device, you can check out the status of your bets anytime, from the comfort of your smartphone.

History of the Kentucky Derby Race

Capping the two-week-long Kentucky Derby Festival, the race is also known as "the most exciting two minutes in sports".

Popularly called the Run for the Roses because of the blanket of roses draped over the Derby winner, the first Derby took place in 1875. Since then, it has been held annually in Louisville, Kentucky without interruption-- not even during the Great Depression and both World Wars.

The Kentucky Derby is usually the first leg of the American Triple Crown, followed by the Preakness Stakes and then the Belmont Stakes. This year, however, Belmont is up first due to the new race season schedule.

Now, if a horse manages to win all three races, it’s the winner of the Triple Crown. However, only 13 horses have been able to do it so far.

The last horse to win the Triple Crown was Justify in 2018, who was the favorite for winning the Kentucky Derby right from the start. In the 2019 Derby, even though Maximum Security was the first one to cross the finish line, he was disqualified for interference, and Country House was declared the winner of the 145th edition of the Kentucky Derby.

Kentucky Derby Winners (Last 10)

2020 - Authentic
2019 - Country House
2018 - Justify
2017 - Always Dreaming
2016 - Nyquist
2015 - American Pharoah
2014 - California Chrome
2013 - Orb
2012 - I'll Have Another
2011 - Animal Kingdom

The 2020 Kentucky Derby took place on Saturday Sept. 5 instead of in May due to the global pandemic. Authentic was the winner and was trained by Bob Baffert, who tied the record for most Kentucky Derby wins at six.

A Few Words about Kentucky Derby Online Betting

When it comes to the 2021 Kentucky Derby, it could be any horse’s race. Make sure to check the odds on one of the websites we’ve recommended you above and keep an eye on them.

Kentucky Derby online betting is a much-beloved tradition for many people, and therefore all these online betting operators try their best to provide users with an excellent betting experience.

Many of these operators even offer the possibility of live streaming so you can watch the race from the comfort of one device. However, in order to watch the Kentucky Derby online, you need to register with an operator of your choice.

The majority of Kentucky Derby online betting operators have adopted the “bet and watch” concept. Basically, you need to have placed a bet in the past 24 hours in order to watch a race’s livestream.

There’s nothing more exciting than watching a live stream of your favorite Kentucky Derby contenders and rooting for them to achieve Triple Crown glory. Without a doubt, the Kentucky Derby is one of the most important events in the American sporting calendar.

Whether you decide to watch the race directly from the racecourse, from the Kentucky Derby online betting mobile application or on the operator’s official website, exciting action is guaranteed. In order to be fully prepared to make bets, bettors look at the odds months in advance.

How to Bet on Kentucky Derby Lines

After going through some of the currently available predictions and analyzing the horses’ forms and past performances, the next logical step when it comes to Kentucky Derby online betting is to actually place a bet. In our guide, we’ll go through some of the basic steps that you usually need to follow when it comes to betting with different online bookmakers.

First of all, you need to visit an online sportsbook offering the possibility to bet on the Kentucky Derby. We have included a list of such operators at the beginning of our article. Feel free to take a look at them and choose the one that suits your style of betting.

Once you visit one of the websites, you’ll need to register in order to access the operator’s services. Keep in mind that the vast majority of these online sportsbooks offer certain welcome promotions for all new users who register for the very first time.

Importantly, don’t forget to go through the operator’s terms and conditions and see what requirements must be met in order to get the available bonus.

As soon as you register, you gain access to the available betting markets. Let’s go through some of the most popular Kentucky Derby online betting options and see what the possible choices are:

Different Types of Kentucky Derby Online Betting

After signing in to your online sportsbook account, you’ll need to select the track of the race of your choice, then pick one or more races you'd like to bet on. Next, select your runner and wager type. Finally, all you have to do is enter the amount you’d like to wager and submit your bet slip.

Before you start placing your first bets, we want to make sure that you are well aware of all the betting options available when it comes to Kentucky Derby online betting.

Therefore, let’s take a quick look at some of the popular types of bets:

Early betting

Kentucky Derby future wagering is a great option for all those who enjoy early betting. This type of bet is usually available during different runnings of the “Road to the Kentucky Derby” prep races.

Win, Place & Show Bets

Win, place and show bets are types of wagers that new players usually stick to. Just like the name suggests, a win bet is a bet placed on the horse that you hope to win the Kentucky Derby.

With place bets, you can get a return if your selection finishes first, second, or sometimes even fourth or fifth depending on the bookie’s offer. It goes without saying that the odds are much lower, but this type of bet is more reassuring.

Show bet is the next in line. It’s quite simple - you win if your selection finishes in the top three. As you probably imagine, this bet comes with lower risk, but also a lower payoff.

Of course, it’s up to you to decide which one of these options is the best for you. There are also some other, maybe slightly more complicated types of wagers. But once you get familiar with them, you’ll see that they can be easily understood. So, let’s get started!

Exacta Bet

If you’ve already tried some of the previous types of bets and you’d like to try something new when it comes to Kentucky Derby online betting, exacta is the next one on our list we’d like to discuss.

In this type of bet, you have to choose two runners who you’ll think will finish first and second, but in exact order. That’s what makes this type of bet more complicated compared to those we discussed earlier. Of course, bigger risk means bigger potential payouts.

Trifecta Bet

Another type of bet that you can try is trifecta bet. It’s similar to an exacta, but just like the name suggests, this type of wager involves three horses. Choose three runners you think will finish in the top three, in the exact order, and wait for the outcome of the race.

If the “exact order” part of the bet is what bothers you, there’s another option called a boxed trifecta wager. With this modified trifecta bet, you also have to choose three horses, but the order is not important.

Kentucky Derby Online Betting Odds

The good news is that thanks to the various Kentucky Derby online betting options, you don’t have to be at Churchill Downs to place your bets. You can place a bet online as long as you are in one of the states where Kentucky Derby online betting is available.

With our Kentucky Derby betting guide, we want to point out some of the most important aspects of this exciting betting adventure. However, it’s all up to you – you choose when to place a bet. You can rely on early Kentucky Derby online betting or you can place bets just a few minutes before the windows close.

There’s one thing to keep in mind: don’t forget to regularly check the Kentucky Derby online betting odds. Odds can change from one day to the next. Most of all, make sure to compare the odds offered by different bookmakers.

When it comes to odds, it won’t hurt to know how they are calculated. They are determined by a Pari-Mutuel System. In other words, the odds are dependent on the peoples’ wagers.

Once the specific amount bet on a horse is determined, that amount is compared to how much is bet on the other horses in the field and the bookies determine the odds. That’s why odds constantly change, and why the more money is bet on a particular horse, the lower odds he’ll get.

Ready for Kentucky Derby Betting?

There’s no easy way to create a successful Kentucky Derby online betting strategy. To sum up, we’d like to once again go through some of the most important things to remember when it comes to betting on the most exciting two minutes in sports.

First of all, make sure to know who you are betting on before you decide to place a bet. Because of this, it is important to do some research in advance. We don’t say that it's a guaranteed way to bet successfully-- luck also plays an important role. However, it’s good to do everything you can to try and prevent unpleasant surprises.

Make sure to consider all the important factors, including the horse’s past performance and jockeys’ and trainers’ histories. Don’t forget to find out what style of races your horse is good at, and what types of tracks they prefer. For example, when it comes to the Kentucky Derby, horses that had some success on a dirt track might be the promising ones.

Also, keep an eye on the favorites, but don’t forget to check the underdogs too. We never know what might happen. That’s where the whole excitement in the Kentucky Derby online betting comes from.

Last but not least, once you choose your horse(s), find an online sports betting platform that suits your style. If you are opening a new account for the first time, make sure to check the currently available promotions and let the fun begin!

2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Odds

The Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pools was once again offered to bettors for the 147th installment.

This betting market provides an opportunity for fans to bet early on the potential Derby horse they think will earn a spot in the starting gate and go on to win the Kentucky Derby race.

The wager can be golden or fool's gold, since you'll need the horse you bet on to qualify for the Kentucky Derby and that's not as easy as you think.

The Future Wager offers 24 potential selections in each pool.

  • 22 Individual Horses
  • 1 All 3-Year-Old Fillies (Field)
  • 1 All Other-3-Year-Old Males (Field)

The (Field) wager of All Other-3-Year-Old Males normally receives the most betting interest in these pools and bettors can get fixed odds on a horse that isn't included in the 22 selected horses already recognized.

The scheduled 2020-21 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pools and "Closing Odds" are listed below:

Kentucky Derby Pool Dates

  • Pool 1 - Nov. 26-29
  • Pool 2 - Jan. 22-24
  • Pool 3 - Feb. 12-14
  • Pool 4 - Mar. 5-7
  • Pool 5 - Mar. 26-28

2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 5

The Kentucky Derby Pool 5 opened on Friday Mar. 26 and closed on Sunday Mar. 28.

Kentucky Derby Pool 5 Contenders

  • Essential Quality 4/1
  • Concert Tour 11/2
  • Greatest Honour 9/1
  • Hot Rod Charlie 12/1

2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 4

The Kentucky Derby Pool 4 opened on Friday Mar - 5 and closed on Sunday Mar - 7.

Kentucky Derby Pool 4 Contenders

  • Life Is Good 2/1
  • Essential Quality 5/1
  • Greatest Honour 6/1

Listed below are the closing odds for Pool 4 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 3

The Kentucky Derby Pool 3 opened on Friday Feb. 12 and closed on Sunday Feb. 14.

Kentucky Derby Pool 3 Contenders

  • Life Is Good 7/1
  • Essential Quality 8/1
  • Greatest Honour 9/1
  • Prevalence 14/1
  • Caddo River 15/1
  • Mandaloun 16/1

2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 2

The Kentucky Derby Pool 2 opened on Friday Jan. 22 and closed on Sunday Jan. 24.

Kentucky Derby Pool 2 Contenders

  • Life Is Good 7/1
  • Essential Quality 8/1
  • Concert Tour 16/1

2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 1

The first Kentucky Derby pool opened on Thursday Nov. 26 and closed on Saturday Nov. 29.

As expected, the Field wager that consists of All Other Three Year Olds closed as the 6/5 betting favorite.

As far as top contenders, bettors showed their lean to the below horses with their closing odds.

  • Life is Good 5/1
  • Essential Quality 8/1
  • Highly Motivated 18/1
  • Jackie's Warrior 18/1
  • Keepmeinmind 19/1

  
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