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NFL Tech Trends - Week 1
September 5, 2012
By Bruce Marshall
VegasInsider.com
Editor’s Note: Don’t miss out on Bruce Marshall’s pro football selections all season long. Click to win!
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Andrew Luck and Chuck Pagano debuts for Indy. Lovie "over" 11-3 last 14 at Soldier Field. |
"Over," based on Lovie home "totals" trends. |
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Andy Reid only 4-6 as road chalk the past two years but is 14-9 vs. line overall away the past three seasons. Pat Shurmur just 2-6 vs. line at home with Brownies LY and Cleveland 2-10 vs points last 12 as host since mid 2010. Browns also "under" 14-6-1 last 21 since late 2010, and Birds "under" 5-3 away LY. |
Eagles and "under", based on team and "totals" trends. |
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Bills have lost last five SU vs. Jets and are just 1-4 vs. number in those games. Chan Gailey closed 2011 on 2-7 spread run and Bills just 2-6-1 against spread their last nine on road. Jets "over" 28-12 last 40 since late 2009. |
"Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and series trends. |
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Saints were 13-5 vs. number LY and a spotless 9-0 against spread as home chalk. Shanahan "under" 12-3 last 15 away, but Saints were 6-3 "over" at home LY. |
Saints, based on team trends. |
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Belichick "over" 28-10 last 38 since late in 2009 season, though Titans "under" 10-6 for Munchak LY. Belichick also 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor. |
"Over" and slight to Patriots, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Mularkey Jags debut. Vikes only 3-8-1 vs. line last 12 as host and 9-17-1 against number last 27 on board overall. Vikes also "over" 8-2 last 10 as host. Jags only 4-9 as dog LY and were "under" 5-11 in 2011 as well. |
Slight to Jags, based on extended Vike spread woes. |
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Looks bad for Miami after winless and cover-less preseason. Dolphins were 8-1-1 vs. line last 10 in 2011 but now Philbin debuts as HC. Kubiak 13-5 vs. line as year ago (10-2 last 12) and now 8-2 last 10 on board at Reliant Stadium. |
Texans, based on recent Kubiak win trends. |
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Lions faded late last year, just 3-9 their last 12 on the board after 17-3-1 stretch vs. spread previously. Lions are 8-4-2 as chalk since 2010, however. Fisher Rams debut, nowhere to go but up for St. Louis after 2-14 SU and 3-13 spread marks LY. Lions also "over" 23-12-2 last 37 since late in 2009 campaign. |
"Over", based on extended Lions "totals" trends. |
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Falcs "under' 6-3 on road LY, Chiefs "under" 12-4 in 2011 and "under" 17-5 last 22 since late 2010. Chiefs also 6-0 as home dog the past two years. |
"Under" and Chiefs, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Harbaugh failed to cover his last four on the road LY but overall was 12-5-1 vs. line in 2011. SF 4-1-1 as dog LY. Pack 11-3 vs. line last 14 at Lambeau and is "over" 14-6 last 20 overall. |
"Over" and slight to Pack, based on 'totals" and team trends. |
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Schiano TB debut. Cam won and covered both vs. Bucs LY, both of those "over" as well. Cam "over" 10-5-1 LY, Bucs "over" 10-6 in 2011. Bucs lost last 10 SU last year and were 1-9 vs. line in those games. |
"Over" and slight to Panthers, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Doesn't mean much, but note Seattle 4-0 SU and vs. line in preseason while Cards 0-5 vs. points in exhibition play. Pete Carroll "over" 22-11-1 the past two seasons and is 3-1 SU and vs. spread against Whisenhunt that span. Cards "over" 7-2-1 last 10 in desert. |
"Over" and Seahawks, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Peyton Manning Denver debut, also quick rematch from LY's Tebow-flavored playoff thriller won by Denver in OT, 29-23. Broncos "over" 27-12 last 39 since late 2009, Steel "over' 5-4-1 last 10 away from Heinz Field. Steel just 2-8 vs. points last 10 away from home, and Tomlin just 1-5 last 6 as dog since early 2010. |
"Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and recent Tomlin road trends. |
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Marvin Lewis 18-9-1 as dog since late in 2008 season. Bengals also 4-1-1 vs. line last six in series although Ravens won both meetings SU last season. "Unders" 6-3 last nine in series, although Cincy "over" 10-6-1 LY. |
Bengals, based series and Lewis dog trends. |
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Dennis Allen Oakland debut. Raiders have covered five of last six in series although Bolts at one time had a seven-game win and cover streak at Coliseum between 2002-08 in what for many years was a road-oriented rivalry. Norv 4-7 as road chalk last two years. |
Raiders, based on recent series and Norv trends. |
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