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NFL Tech Trends - Week 1

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Sunday, Sept. 9 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears Andrew Luck and Chuck Pagano debuts for Indy. Lovie "over" 11-3 last 14 at Soldier Field. "Over," based on Lovie home "totals" trends.
Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns Andy Reid only 4-6 as road chalk the past two years but is 14-9 vs. line overall away the past three seasons. Pat Shurmur just 2-6 vs. line at home with Brownies LY and Cleveland 2-10 vs points last 12 as host since mid 2010. Browns also "under" 14-6-1 last 21 since late 2010, and Birds "under" 5-3 away LY. Eagles and "under", based on team and "totals" trends.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Bills have lost last five SU vs. Jets and are just 1-4 vs. number in those games. Chan Gailey closed 2011 on 2-7 spread run and Bills just 2-6-1 against spread their last nine on road. Jets "over" 28-12 last 40 since late 2009. "Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and series trends.
Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints Saints were 13-5 vs. number LY and a spotless 9-0 against spread as home chalk. Shanahan "under" 12-3 last 15 away, but Saints were 6-3 "over" at home LY. Saints, based on team trends.
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans Belichick "over" 28-10 last 38 since late in 2009 season, though Titans "under" 10-6 for Munchak LY. Belichick also 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor. "Over" and slight to Patriots, based on "totals" and team trends.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings Mularkey Jags debut. Vikes only 3-8-1 vs. line last 12 as host and 9-17-1 against number last 27 on board overall. Vikes also "over" 8-2 last 10 as host. Jags only 4-9 as dog LY and were "under" 5-11 in 2011 as well. Slight to Jags, based on extended Vike spread woes.
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans Looks bad for Miami after winless and cover-less preseason. Dolphins were 8-1-1 vs. line last 10 in 2011 but now Philbin debuts as HC. Kubiak 13-5 vs. line as year ago (10-2 last 12) and now 8-2 last 10 on board at Reliant Stadium. Texans, based on recent Kubiak win trends.
St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions Lions faded late last year, just 3-9 their last 12 on the board after 17-3-1 stretch vs. spread previously. Lions are 8-4-2 as chalk since 2010, however. Fisher Rams debut, nowhere to go but up for St. Louis after 2-14 SU and 3-13 spread marks LY. Lions also "over" 23-12-2 last 37 since late in 2009 campaign. "Over", based on extended Lions "totals" trends.
Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs Falcs "under' 6-3 on road LY, Chiefs "under" 12-4 in 2011 and "under" 17-5 last 22 since late 2010. Chiefs also 6-0 as home dog the past two years. "Under" and Chiefs, based on "totals" and team trends.
Sunday, Sept. 9 - All games to start at 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers Harbaugh failed to cover his last four on the road LY but overall was 12-5-1 vs. line in 2011. SF 4-1-1 as dog LY. Pack 11-3 vs. line last 14 at Lambeau and is "over" 14-6 last 20 overall. "Over" and slight to Pack, based on 'totals" and team trends.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Schiano TB debut. Cam won and covered both vs. Bucs LY, both of those "over" as well. Cam "over" 10-5-1 LY, Bucs "over" 10-6 in 2011. Bucs lost last 10 SU last year and were 1-9 vs. line in those games. "Over" and slight to Panthers, based on "totals" and team trends.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Doesn't mean much, but note Seattle 4-0 SU and vs. line in preseason while Cards 0-5 vs. points in exhibition play. Pete Carroll "over" 22-11-1 the past two seasons and is 3-1 SU and vs. spread against Whisenhunt that span. Cards "over" 7-2-1 last 10 in desert. "Over" and Seahawks, based on "totals" and team trends.
Sunday, Sept. 9 - NBC, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos Peyton Manning Denver debut, also quick rematch from LY's Tebow-flavored playoff thriller won by Denver in OT, 29-23. Broncos "over" 27-12 last 39 since late 2009, Steel "over' 5-4-1 last 10 away from Heinz Field. Steel just 2-8 vs. points last 10 away from home, and Tomlin just 1-5 last 6 as dog since early 2010. "Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and recent Tomlin road trends.
Monday, Sept. 10 - ESPN, 7:00 & 10:15 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens Marvin Lewis 18-9-1 as dog since late in 2008 season. Bengals also 4-1-1 vs. line last six in series although Ravens won both meetings SU last season. "Unders" 6-3 last nine in series, although Cincy "over" 10-6-1 LY. Bengals, based series and Lewis dog trends.
San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders Dennis Allen Oakland debut. Raiders have covered five of last six in series although Bolts at one time had a seven-game win and cover streak at Coliseum between 2002-08 in what for many years was a road-oriented rivalry. Norv 4-7 as road chalk last two years. Raiders, based on recent series and Norv trends.

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