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NFL Tech Trends - Week 3

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Thursday, Sept. 20 - NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New York Giants at Carolina Panthers G-Men ended 2012 by covering their last five away from home. Cam 4-1 as home dog since LY and Panthers "over" 11-6-1 since 2011. Slight to Giants, based on recent road mark.
Sunday, Sept. 23 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
St. Louis Rams at Chicago Bears Note that Jay Cutler has covered his last five games when made a favorite (not counting late LY with Hanie at QB for Bears) and now 8-1 last nine as chalk since late 2010. Lovie also 11-3 "over" last 14 at Soldier Field. Rams already have as many road covers in 2012 (one) as they had away from home all of LY. "Over" and slight to Bears, based on "totals" and Cutler chalk trends.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys Dallas 3-11-1 its last 15 as chalk since late 2010. Jerry Jones also "under" 13-6 last 19 since late 2010. Slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings After Det. Sept. 16, Harbaugh 14-5-1 vs. line since LY; road cover at GB was first after dropping last four vs. spread away LY. Vikes no covers last five at Metrodome. 49ers, based on Harbaugh marks and Vike home woes.
Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans Note that Munchak only 6-11-1 vs. line since taking over at Tennessee LY and has now dropped last six vs. spread since late 2011 as well. Lions now "over" 24-12-3 last 39 since late in 2009 season, and Jim Schwartz just 3-11 vs. spread last 14 on board since early 2011. "Over," based on extended Lions' "totals" trends.
Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Redskins Marvin Lewis fading vs. number since mid 2011, only 2-7-2 vs. spread last 11 on board. Bengals also "over" 12-6-1 since 2011. Shan "over" 7-2 last 9 since late 2011. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Miami has won and covered 4 of 6 vs. Rex Ryan since 2009 but that was with Rexy's new o.c. Sparano as the Dolphins' HC. Rexy also "over" 29-13 since late in 2009 campaign, though Miami "under" 13-5 since LY. Slight to Jets and "over," based on team and Jets' extended "over" trend.
Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints Chiefs "over" first two but had been "under" 17-5 previous 22. Saints stubbed toe vs. Skins in opener but still 9-1 vs. line last 10 at Superdome since LY. Saints also "over" 14-7 last 21 overall. "Over" and Saints, based on "totals" and extended team trends.
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns Bills now "over" 13-6 last 19 overall. Buffalo has lost 10 of last 12 SU and is just 3-9 vs. line in those games since mid 2011. "Over" and slight to Browns, based on "totals" and Bills trends.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts Colts 9-16 vs. spread since since mid 2010. Slight to Jags, based on team trends.
Sunday, Sept. 23 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals Cards won in a mild upset at Linc LY. Andy Reid only 4-8 last 12 as chalk, Whisenhunt 9-3 vs. points last 11 on board, also 12-5 as home dog since 2007. Cards, based on team trends..
Atlanta Falcons at San Diego Chargers ATLANTA at SAN DIEGO...Norv 7-9-1 vs. line first 3 games of season since taking over Bolts in 2007. Norv "under" 9-3 last 12 at Qualcomm. Slight to "under" and Falcs, based on Norv trends.
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos HOUSTON at DENVER...Kubiak 15-5 vs. line since LY and 12-2 last 14 on board. Kubiak also covered last five as dog in 2011. Broncos "over" 28-12 since late 2009, though Kubiak "under" 13-7 since LY. Slight to Texans and "over," based on Texans team and extended Bronco "over" trends.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders PITTSBURGH at OAKLAND...Raiders 3-5 vs. line last 8 at home, but Steelers only 2-5 last 7 on board since late LY. Tomlin has also dropped last five vs. line on road and 2-9 last 11 away. Slight to Raiders, based on recent Steel road woes.
Sunday, Sept. 23 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens AFC title rematch. Last four meetings between these two have been at Foxborough, Pats 3-1 SU and 2-2 vs. line. If getting points, Belichick has covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 chances as dog. Belichick also 10-4 vs. line last 14 on road. And Belichick also "over" 28-12 since late 2009. Slight to "over" and Belichick, if dog, based on Belichick trends.
Monday, Sept. 24 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks ...Pete Carroll 13-5 vs. line at home since arriving at Seattle in 2010, also "over" 11-6 last 17 at Century Link Field. Pack on 18-8 spread run since late 2010. "Over" and slight to Seahawks, based on Pete Carroll trends..

  
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