Week 17 Tips
December 29, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
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Ravens at Bengals (-6 ½, 44) - 1:00 PM EST
Baltimore: 8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS
Cincinnati: 10-5 SU, 9-5-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Bengals picked up their seventh home victory of the season in a 42-14 blowout of the Vikings as 7 ½-point favorites. Cincinnati has scored at least 40 points in each of its last four games at Paul Brown Stadium. The Ravens saw their four-game winning streak snapped in a 41-7 home defeat to the Patriots, putting themselves in a must-win situation on Sunday to get into the playoffs.
Previous meeting result: Cincinnati forced overtime with a Hail Mary touchdown pass from Andy Dalton to A.J. Green in the final seconds back in Week 10. However, the Ravens came out on top with a Justin Tucker field goal in overtime, as Baltimore edged Cincinnati, 23-20 to cash as one-point favorites.
Betting notes: The Ravens have won just two road games this season, with both of those victories coming by three points or less at Miami and Detroit. Cincinnati has easily cashed the 'over' in each of its last four home contests, while winning four of its past five against division foes at Paul Brown Stadium.
Jets at Dolphins (-5 ½, 41 ½) - 1:00 PM EST
New York: 7-8 SU, 8-6-1 ATS
Miami: 8-7 SU, 9-6 ATS
Last week's results: The Dolphins put up a clunker in a 16-0 defeat at Buffalo last Sunday, ending a three-game winning streak. Miami gained just 103 yards of offense, while getting swept by the last-place Bills this season. The Jets pulled off a 24-13 home triumph over the Browns, improving to 3-0 SU/ATS as a favorite at Met Life Stadium.
Previous meeting result: Miami blew out New York earlier this month, 23-3, as Ryan Tannehill tossed two touchdown passes and threw for 331 yards. The Dolphins have won three of the last four meetings with the Jets, while five of the past six matchups have finished 'under' the total.
Betting notes: The Jets have failed to win consecutive games this season, posting an 0-6 SU and 1-4-1 ATS record off a victory. The Dolphins have cashed the 'under' in five of the previous six contests, including three straight 'unders' at Sun Life Stadium.
49ers (-1, 42) at Cardinals - 4:25 PM EST
San Francisco: 11-4 SU, 10-5 ATS
Arizona: 10-5 SU, 11-4 ATS
Last week's results: The 49ers won their fifth consecutive contest, knocking off the Falcons, 34-24, but failed to cash as 14-point favorites in the final regular season game at Candlestick Park. The Cardinals are still hanging around in the NFC playoff race, winning their 10th game of the season in a 17-10 upset of the Seahawks as eight-point underdogs, snapping Seattle's 14-game home winning streak.
Previous meeting result: San Francisco held off Arizona, 32-20 in Week 6 at Candlestick Park, as the 49ers barely cashed as 10-point 'chalk.' The Niners led by two points with seven minutes left in the fourth quarter, but a touchdown and a field goal lifted Jim Harbaugh's team to the division victory and cover.
Betting notes: Since getting blown out at Seattle in Week 2, the 49ers have compiled a 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU record away from Candlestick Park. The Niners have allowed 24 points or less in 12 straight games, while going 6-1 ATS as a favorite of 5 ½ points or less. The Cardinals have covered six consecutive games, while winning six of seven contests at University of Phoenix Stadium. Arizona has struggled against division foes since beating Seattle to start the 2012 season, owning a 2-8 SU record within the NFC West.
Packers (-3, 52) at Bears - 4:25 PM EST
Green Bay: 7-7-1 SU, 6-9 ATS
Chicago: 8-7 SU, 4-10-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Packers lost a shootout to the Steelers, 38-31, snapping a modest two-game winning streak. Green Bay will get Aaron Rodgers back under center after missing the last seven games with a collarbone injury (2-4-1 SU and 1-6 ATS). The Bears were humbled in a 54-11 whipping at Philadelphia last Sunday night, as Chicago has allowed 85 points in the last two weeks. Chicago's normally reliable defense gave up at least 40 points in four road losses this season, while going 6-2 to the 'over' on the highway.
Previous meeting result: The start of Green Bay's tail-spin began in Week 9 when Rodgers was knocked out in the opening quarter of a 27-20 home defeat to Chicago. The Bears cashed outright as 10-point underdogs, even though Eddie Lacy ripped up the Chicago defense for 150 yards rushing and a touchdown. Despite the loss, Green Bay has won six of the last seven matchups against Chicago.
Betting notes: With Rodgers under center, the Packers put together a 5-2 SU/ATS record, although both losses came away from Lambeau Field. Chicago is 5-2 to the 'over' at home this season, while going 1-3 ATS at Soldier Field off a defeat.
Chiefs at Chargers (-9, 45) - 4:25 PM EST
Kansas City: 11-4 SU, 8-7 ATS
San Diego: 8-7 SU, 9-5-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Chiefs suffered another loss to an above .500 squad, falling at home to the Colts, 23-7 as 7 ½-point favorites. Kansas City scored an early touchdown, but was held to single-digits for the first time this season, while losing three straight games at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chargers are making a late push to the postseason, capturing their third consecutive victory with a 26-13 triumph over the Raiders as a 10-point favorite. San Diego needs a win on Sunday plus losses by Miami and Baltimore to clinch the sixth-seed in the AFC playoffs.
Previous meeting result: San Diego came out on top in one of the most entertaining games of the season, a 41-38 victory at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 12. The Lightning Bolts cashed as 3 ½-point underdogs, the fifth win in the last six matchups with the Chiefs since 2010.
Betting notes: Kansas City will likely sit many starters since the Chiefs are already in the playoffs, but the Chiefs have won six of seven games on the highway this season (6-1 ATS). Since losing their first two divisional contests, the Chargers have won three straight games within the AFC West, while going 7-4 SU/ATS against division rivals since the start of 2012.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at email@example.com
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
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