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Handicapping the 2018 MVP
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You can bet on who you think will win the 2018 NFL MVP right now at BetDSI. Quarterbacks are the most popular choice to win the award, as the top eight in the current betting odds are all quarterbacks, led by Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers and New England’s Tom Brady. The last five winners of the award have all been quarterbacks. The last non-quarterback to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012.

Let’s look at the current numbers, contenders and a few darkhorses.

2018 NFL Regular Season MVP Odds - per
Aaron Rodgers +500
Tom Brady +500
Carson Wentz +800
Drew Brees +1200
Deshaun Watson +1500
Jimmy Garoppolo +1500
Cam Newton +1500
Russell Wilson +1500
Le'Veon Bell +1500
Kirk Cousins +2000
Matt Ryan +2000
Ezekiel Elliot +2000
Derek Carr +2000
Jared Goff +2000
Ben Roethlisberger +2500
Philip Rivers +2500
Antonio Brown +2500
Matthew Stafford +3000
Todd Gurley +3000
Dak Prescott +3000
Marcus Mariota +3000
David Johnson +3000
Patrick Mahomes +3000
Case Keenum +5000
Alex Smith +5000
Devonta Freeman +5000
Jameis Winston +5000
Eli Manning +5000
Julio Jones +5000
Kareem Hunt +5000
Mitchell Trubisky +5000
Leonard Fournette +5000
Odell Beckham Jr. +5000
Saquon Barkley +5000
Alvin Kamara +6000
Blake Bortles +6000
Rob Gronkowski +6000
LeSean McCoy +6500
DeAndre Hopkins +8000
Dez Bryant +8000
Keenan Allen +8000
JJ Watt +10000
Field +1200

Top Contenders

There are three top choices to win the award in Rodgers, Brady and Wentz. Rodgers has won the award twice, in 2011 and in 2014, while Brady is a three-time winner, having won the award in 2007, 2010 and 2017. Wentz was almost a sure winner last year of the award until he got hurt in Week 13.

The odds on Brady may be too low, as he does not have as many quality receivers to throw to this season and his age could be a factor in his performance in 2018. Rodgers is coming back from a broken clavicle and he has a new weapon to throw to in tight end Jimmy Graham. It also helps the cause of Rodgers that rarely does any player win the award in back-to-back seasons, so unless the Patriots do something extraordinary, it is hard to see Brady winning the award again. The concern with taking Rodgers is that Green Bay plays 10 of their 16 games this season against teams that were in the Top 10 last year in fewest passing yards allowed.

The most value in the top three and perhaps the best pick is Wentz. He plays on the best offense in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles and there is no reason to think he won’t put up great numbers again this season. The concern with taking Wentz is how he comes back from his injury, but all indications are that he will be at full strength and ready to go for the regular season.


If you are going to pick anyone outside the top three then it probably has to be a quarterback. The only non-quarterback to win the award since 2006 was Peterson in 2012 and he is one of the greatest running backs in NFL history. The NFL is now a pass-happy league and it is hard to see a running back winning the MVP award again.

There are three quarterbacks worth considering as a darkhorse and those are Watson, Garoppolo and Carr. Some people will take Brees, but his age and arm strength are a concern and New Orleans simply runs the ball a lot.

Watson is worth considering for the Texans, as they play in a winnable division and Watson was dynamic last year before getting hurt. He threw 18 touchdowns in six games before getting hurt last season.

Garoppolo plays for the 49ers and they are a popular pick to make the playoffs this season and we know that a quarterback in Kyle Shanahan’s system is going to put up big numbers.

Not to be forgotten is Carr who has a new head coach in Jon Gruden. If the Raiders surprise this season then it will be due in large part to Carr and he could be a live darkhorse in MVP odds at BetDSI.

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