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Tech Trends - Week 17

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Sunday, Jan. 1 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles Birds closing hot with three wins and covers in a row. But note that road team has covered the last five series meetings, and The Shan is 4-1 last five as dog TY. Skins also "over" 5-1 last six TY, Birds "over" 4-2 last six at Lincoln Financial Field. "Over" and slight to to Skins, based on "totals" and series road trends.
San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams Rams have been truly awful, 2-13 SU and vs. spread TY. Rams also "under" 10-5 TY and 14-6 dating to late 2010. Harbaugh 11-2-1 vs. line in 2011 and "under" 5-2 on road. 49ers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings Bears have won and covered last four in series, Lovie Smith 0-5 SU minus Cutler TY, and 1-4 vs. line last five. Vikings "over" last 4 and 8 of last 10 TY. "Over," based on recent Vikings' totals trends.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers Lions "over" last three TY and "over" 22-11-1 since last 2009, Pack "over" 10-5 in 2011. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints Saints 7-0 SU and vs. line at home TY after beating Falcons on Monday night. Cam, however, has won and covered 4 of last five TY, and Panthers 9-5-1 "over" in 2011. Slight to "over" and Saints, based on recent trends.
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans Titans nom covers last three TY, also "under" 10-4-1 in 2011. Texans 5-2 vs. line at home TY and 6-2 last eight vs. spread at Reliant Stadium. Texans "under" 10-5 in 2011. Desperate game for Titans, while Texans already locked into 3 seed. "Under," based on "totals" trends.
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars Colts closing with quite a rush, covering last four games. Jags "over" 3-0-1 last four TY for Mel Tucker after 10-1 "under" prior to Del Rio dismissal. Colts and "over," based on recent trends.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Dolphins on quite a spread uptick, 8-1 vs. spread last nine in 2011. Miami also "over" 3-1 last four TY although had been "under" 10-1 previous 11. Dolphins had covered 4 of previous 5 in series prior to 24-6 Monday loss at meadowlands in mid-October. Jets 2-5 last 7 vs. line TY and "over" 10-5 in 20100, also "over" 28-11 since late 2009. Dolphins and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Belichick's 15-game SU win streak vs. Bills was snapped in Sept. 25 loss at Buffalo. Bills however have still covered last two at Foxborough even though they have never won SU at Gillette Stadium Patriots (last road win in series was at old Schaefer/Sullivan/Foxboro Stadium in 2000). Belichick "over" 10-5 TY, 24-8 since LY, 26-8 last 34 since late 2009. Bills "over" 10-6 since late 2010. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Sunday, Jan. 1 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Bucs have lost last nine SU, no covers last five and just 1-8 vs. points last nine TY. Falcons 15-8-1 vs. line at home since 2009. Falcons, based on recent Bucs fade.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore no covers last five (0-4-1) against Bengals, who desperately need this game. Ravens also looking to hang on to AFC North lead. "Unders" 4-1 last five meetings although teams "over" in first clash TY. Marvin Lewis 7-2 last 9 as home dog since 2009. Bengals and slight to "under," based on series trends.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Browns 1-10 vs. line last 11 at home since mid 2010. Steelers, however, only 2-6 last 8 against points away from Heinz Field. Steelers have won SU last three meetings (2-1 vs. line). Browns "under" 5-1 last six as host TY. Steelers and "under," based on recent trends.
San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders Raiders have owned Norv Turner lately, won last 3 and covered last five in series, all as dog. Raiders 5-2 vs. Line last seven TY. Raiders haven't been favored over Bolts since first meeting of 2003 season. Last four meetings in Oakland "over" as well. Raiders and "over," based on series trends.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Orton returns to Denver. Denver has covered last three in series after 17-10 win in November at Arrowhead. Tebow now "over" 3-1 last 4 after three previous "under" efforts, Denver now "over" 25-11 last 36 since late 2009. Chiefs "under" 9-1 last ten TY, however. 6-23 "over" last nine meetings at Denver. Slight to Broncos and "over," based on series trends.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Pete Carroll 10-2 vs. line last 12 TY and he is 3-0 SU and vs. line against Whisenhunt since 2010. Cards had covered the four meetings prior to Carroll's arrival in 2010. Seahawks "over" 4-1 last five TY, though Cards "under" 5-2-1 last 8. Big Red 2-5 as chalk since LY. Seahawks, based on team and recent series trends.

Sunday, Jan. 1 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants Now the Sunday night game. Note that underdog team has covered last five series meetings, though Giants are 4-1 in those games. G-Men only 1-5 last six as "host" TY (not counting Jets game), but Dallas only 1-5 vs. line its last six games in 2011. Also "overs" last five meetings. "Over" and Giants, based on series trends.

  
HEADLINES
Rogers: Saturday's Tip Sheet
Simo: Vegas Line Moves - Week 16
David: Total Talk - Week 16
Marshall: Tech Trends - Week 16
Akins: Gridiron Angles - Week 16
Rose: Sharp Moves - Week 16
Sportsbook: Sunday's Game to Watch
Sportsbook: SNF - Seahawks at Cardinals
Sportsbook: Bengals look for home win
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