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Tech Trends - Week 14

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Sunday, Dec. 9 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Baltimore Ravens at Washington Redskins Ravens cutting it close with seven games decided by 3 points or fewer (Balt. 5-2 SU in those games), and John Harbaugh just 3-4 last seven in once-profitable underdog role. Ravens also "under" 4-1 last five on road. Shanahan has covered 5 of last seven this season. Slight to "under" and Redskins, based on "totals" and recent team trends.
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns Chiefs have covered three of last four this season after 2-6 spread mark in first half of campaign. K.C. also a surprising "over" 4-1 on road in 2012 after 12-4 "under" mark in 2011. Browns, however, are 11-4-1 vs. line last 16 on board since late 2011. Cleveland also "under" 18-8-1 since Pat Shurmur arrived as coach last season. Slight to Browns and "under," based on extended trends.
San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers Norv 2-6 vs. spread last eight this season, he's also just 1-4 last five in once-profitable dog role. Steelers "under" their last eight at Heinz Field after extended "over" trends at tome the previous decade. "Under" and Steelers, based on "totals" and team trends.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Colts 5-1 SU and vs. line at Lucas Oil Stadium TY. Colts also "under" 9-1-1 last 11 at Lucas Oil. Titans 10-17-1 vs. spread since Mike Munchak took over as coach in 2011 and 3-6 vs. number last 8 away. Colts and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars "Road-in-Jag" trend this season is weakening as home teams have covered last two J'ville games' the visiting side had covered the first nine games. Jets 4-7 last 11 as chalk, also "over" 18-6 on road since 2010. Slight to "over," based on Jets' road "totals" trends.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings Bears have now won and covered last six vs. Vikings after 28-10 win at Soldier Field on Nov. 25. Vikings 1-4 SU and vs. line last five in 2012. Bears, based on series trends.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Cam & Co. 1-5 vs. line at home in 2012, and road team is 9-3 against spread in Carolina games this season. Falcons 4-1-1 vs. spread away TY and have won last five vs. Panthers (Atlanta 4-1 vs. line in those games). Falcons, based on team trends.
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Birds just 2-10 vs. line this season, while TB 8-3-1 vs. points after Denver result. Andy Reid "under" 5-1 on road this season, although Schiano now "over" 6-1-1 last 8 after Broncos result. Bucs, based on team trends.
St. Louis Rams at Buffalo Bills Chan is 3-1 as chalk TY after dropping last three spread decisions in role year ago. Chan also "over" 5-1 last six at Orchard Park, and Bills "over" 18-11 last 29 since late 2010. Rams 4-1 vs. line as true visitor TY (not counting London game) and "over" 4-2 away from home. "Over" and Rams, based on "totals" and team trends.
Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals Dallas 4-2 vs. points away TY, but Cowboys also just 9-21-1 against number last 31 on board since late 2010. Cincy streaking vs. number this season, spread win streaks of three and four (currently four in a row after Chargers win). Slight to Bengals, based on team trends.
Sunday, Dec. 9 - All games to start at 4:05 p.m. or 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers Harbaugh only 3-3 vs. spread at Candlestick this season after 8-1-1 home mark vs. number a year ago. Off SU loss, Harbaugh 1-1 vs. points TY but was 3-0 in role a year ago. Dolphins no covers last two away after 8-1 mark vs. number previous nine on role. Miami "under" 7-4-1 TY after Patriots on Sunday and "under" 19-8-1 since 2011. "Under," based on "totals" trends.
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants Saints "over" 8-4 this season and "over" 20-11 last 31 since late 2010. Saints also just 2-3 as dog in 2012. Giants only 2-4 vs. line as host in 2012. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks "Unders" 4-1 last five in series since Pete Carroll arrived in Seattle. Cards now 8 SU losses in a row TY after Jets game, but Big Red has covered 2 of last 3 TY. Cards also "under" 9-3 TY and "under" 14-6-1 last 20 overall since mid 2011. Pete Carroll 8-4 vs. line TY and 19-7 last 26 on board overall. Also 5-0 SU and vs. line as host TY and nine straight covers at CenturyLink Field. Seahawks and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
Sunday, Dec. 9 - 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers Lions now four SU losses in a row after Indy crusher and losing last three by 4, 3, and 2 points in final seconds. Lions also haven't won SU at Lambeau since Wayne Fontes' NFC finalist team turned the trick in 1991! Lions 1-4 vs. line last five at Lambeau and 6-13 last 19 on board overall since mid 2011. Lions also "over" 31-15-3 since late in 2009 campaign. Packers and "over," based on team, series, and "totals" trends.
Monday, Dec. 10 - 8:35 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Houston Texans at New England Patriots Texans 8-4 vs. line TY, 21-9 vs. points since LY, 22-9 last 31 overall. Kubiak 6-2 last 8 as dog. Teams haven't met since last 2009 reg.-season game. Belichick only 2-3 vs. line at home TY and 2-4 last 6 against spread at Foxborough. Belichick also "over" 9-3 TY and 37-13 last 50 since late 2009 despite "under" vs. Miami. Texans and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

  
HEADLINES
Mejia: NFC Preseason Wrap
Mejia: AFC Preseason Wrap
Lawrence: Trends to Watch - September
Lawrence: 2014 NFC Season Preview
Marshall: Ravens rising up
Lawrence: 2014 AFC Season Preview
ASA: NFC North Notebook
ASA: NFC South Notebook
Marshall: Philadelphia Hype
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