User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
Bettors expecting blowouts

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

Could Favorites Go Four-for-Four Again In Divisional Round?

Casual bettors generally jump all over the favorites in the NFL playoffs. However, on Wild Card Weekend the book came out ahead when all four favorites covered because three of the four games were bet pretty evenly. The only one that wasn't was Seattle at Washington, with the Seahawks as three-point road favorites taking almost 75% of the total money in their 24-14 win over the Redskins.

Open a betting account at Bovada and grab an instant 50% Free Bet bonus on your first deposit.

The script has been flipped heading into Divisional Round weekend, with Baltimore at Denver and Green Bay at San Francisco on Saturday, and Seattle at Atlanta and Houston at New England on Sunday. The only matchup of those four that isn't a regular-season rematch is Seahawks-Falcons.

"Unlike last week, we have three of the four matchups getting pretty one-sided action at this point in the week. The two double-digit favorites in Denver (-10) and New England (-10), and Green Bay getting three points, are what our bettors are pounding right now. It's a bit to my surprise we are seeing a slight lean toward the Falcons at -3," said Kevin Bradley, the sportsbook manager at Bovada.

Advertisement
The three rematch games all were pretty one-sided during the season. The 49ers won in Green Bay 30-22 in Week 1, but that was with experienced quarterback Alex Smith under center. On Saturday, second-year Colin Kaepernick makes his first postseason start. Smith threw for 211 yards in that game. Kaepernick is at -250 to throw for more than Smith (+170) did on Saturday. The Packers probably don't mind playing on the road. Whereas the Pack lost in the Divisional Round at Lambeau last year to the Giants, Green Bay is 4-1 in road playoff games with Aaron Rodgers as the starting QB.

Denver won at Baltimore 34-17 in Week 15. The Broncos held the Ravens to 278 total yards - only 56 rushing - and 12 first downs. Denver held the ball for nearly 17 minutes longer than Baltimore and forced two Ravens turnovers. Peyton Manning threw for just 204 yards in that game, by far a season low. His over/under total for this week is set at 290.5.

New England crushed Houston 42-14 in Week 14 at Foxboro on a Monday night. Tom Brady had 296 yards passing and four touchdowns, while Houston's Matt Schaub had 232 but no touchdowns and an interception. Brady's passing yards total is set at 300.5 this week along with two touchdowns. Schaub is set at 265.5 yards. He has surpassed that once in the past five games: 275 last week against Indianapolis.

That the Patriots destroyed Houston in the first meeting isn't necessarily a good thing. Teams that lost by at least 28 points to an opponent they then faced again in the playoffs have managed to go 11-11 in the rematch. The team on the regular-season losing end has won three of the past five. The most recent example was the New York Jets getting bombed 45-3 at New England in Week 13 of the 2010 season, only to upset the Patriots 28-21 there in Divisional Round.

History favors the top-seeded Falcons and, to a lesser extent, Broncos this week. NFC No. 1 seeds are a sterling 18-4 in the Divisional Round since 1990, while the AFC top seeds are 13-9.

"Most" Favorites This Weekend

Green Bay's Rodgers was the Wild Card Round favorite to throw for the most yards of any QB that weekend. Minnesota's Adrian Peterson was the rushing favorite while Houston's Andre Johnson the receiving yards favorite. None of the three won the prop. Indy's Andrew Luck had the most passing yards (288), Houston's Arian Foster the most rushing yards (140) and Baltimore's Anquan Boldin the most receiving yards (145; only he and the Colts' Reggie Wayne had more than 100).

This week, Rodgers and Brady are the co-7/2 favorites on the passing prop. Brady had those 296 in the first meeting with Houston. Rodgers had 303 in the opener against the Niners and 274 last week against Minnesota. The long shot this week is Seattle rookie Russell Wilson at 15/1.

On the rushing, Seattle's Marshawn Lynch is the 2/1 favorite. Lynch finished third in the NFL in rushing during the regular season and had 132 in last week's win over the Redskins. It was his fourth-straight game with at least 100. The long shot on this prop is Atlanta's Michael Turner at 10/1.

On the receiving, the Texans' Johnson is again the favorite, this time at 4/1. He was fairly quiet last week with 62 yards on five catches against Cincinnati. Johnson had 95 yards on eight catches in the first meeting with New England. The long shot here is Seattle's Golden Tate at 18/1.

NFL Divisional Round: Eight teams remain in the quest for NFL glory. Bet each game on the go with Bovada Mobile.

  
HEADLINES
Rogers: MNF - Eagles at Colts
Simo: Books pick up Week 2 win
News: NFL Betting Recap - Week 2
Sportsbook: Colts host Eagles on MNF
Vikings reinstate Peterson for Sunday
Redskins' RG3 says he has no fracture
Panthers unsure if Hardy plays Sunday
No respite for NFL as injuries strike
Jaguars' Lewis out with ankle injury
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
11-3 Totals TY, 21-11 L33 Picks
6-1 L7 Guarantees, 7-3 L2 Weeks
4-1 Record Yesterday
9-4 L13 G-Plays, 19-9 Totals TY
16-8 L24, 19-10 This Year
10-1 Guaranteed Play Streak
4-1 Record Sunday
3-1 Sunday, 3-1 L4 Over/Unders
8-3 L11 Guaranteed Plays
2-0 Sunday, 3-1 L4 Selections
4-1 L5 Guaranteed Plays
3-1 Sunday, 7-3 Guarantees TY
4-0 Guarantees This Year
NCAA FB College Football Expert Sports Picks-
2014 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
James Manos + 780
Scott Pritchard + 655
Hank Goldberg + 652
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Pat Hawkins + 390
Hank Goldberg + 345
ASA + 175
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Scott Pritchard 73 %
James Manos 66 %
ASA 65 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Scott Pritchard + 775
Antony Dinero + 530
Mike Rose + 400
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 930
Hank Goldberg + 775
James Manos + 380
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kevin Rogers + 490
The SportsBoss + 200
Antony Dinero + 183
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Daily Fantasy NFL Perfect Lineup Contest