Saints at Bengals
November 8, 2018
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by Tom Wilkinson
NFL Betting Preview – Saints at Bengals
You may think that Kansas City or New England is the hottest team in the league, but that is not the case, as the New Orleans Saints have won seven straight games and they handed the Los Angeles Rams their first loss of the season last week.
The Saints get a tough road test this week, as they visit the Cincinnati Bengals who come into this game at 5-3 and they are a half game out of first place in the AFC North. Let’s look at this Week 10 matchup that can be seen on FOX on Sunday and NFL picks.
Date and Time: Sunday, November 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
NFL Odds at BetDSI: Saints -5.5, O/U 54
Saints vs. Bengals TV Coverage: FOX
The Saints are 7-1 this season and they have not had it easy of late, as the record of their last four opponents is 22-12-1. The Saints get another tough team this week, as the Bengals are 5-3. The question is which team will the Saints face? Will it be a Cincinnati team that rolled over Baltimore or the team that was blown out by Kansas City? The Bengals are probably fortunate to have won five games this season considering they rank last in the NFL in total defense.
The Bengals have been shredded by the Falcons, Steelers, Chiefs and Buccaneers this season. That is a major concern, as the Bengals face Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense. The Saints are led by Drew Brees and he has a lot of weapons around him led by Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas. The Saints also signed Dez Bryant on Wednesday.
The Saints are rolling right now, but head coach Sean Payton said to the media that his team still needs to improve. “No halfway report cards or any of that. None of that. The point is though, and it is a good point, there’s eight games left. In other words, there is a ton of football left. There are a ton of things we have to improve on and we need to improve on, or it is going to hurt us later.”
On the other side, the Bengals will be without their top offensive weapon, as A.J. Green is out. “Obviously it puts a lot of pressure on us as individuals because we know what he brings to the table,” tight end C.J. Uzomah said to the media, “I mean, he’s A.J. Green. A.J. Dream is what we call him — it’s a dream to have him on the team.” Cincinnati still has Joe Mixon to run the ball and Tyler Boyd has developed into a good receiver, so the Bengals can move the ball.
The Saints are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. The Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
The Saints are 40-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Looking at the total, the Under is 17-5 in the Bengals last 22 games in November. The Under is 34-16-1 in the Bengals last 51 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Saints vs. Bengals Picks
This is a huge letdown spot for the Saints after facing the Rams last week. The question is whether or not the Cincinnati defense can stop the New Orleans offense. If I had any confidence in the Bengals defense I would definitely take the Bengals, but I am leery because the defense is so bad. I do think the Bengals will be able to score on a poor New Orleans defense and I expect the Saints to put up their share of points, so I think the best play in this contest is to take the game over the total at BetDSI.
Saints vs. Bengals Pick: Over 54 at BetDSI
Saints vs. Bengals Score Prediction: Saints 34, Bengals 31
6-1 Sunday, 8-3 Guarantees TY
6 Wins in a Row, 13-6 Totals, +899
11-3 L4 Sun, 24-11 Run, 12-5 Totals
5-2 Sunday, 7-2 NFL Streak
5-2 Week 10, 17-9 Totals, +932 TY
9-3 L2 Sun, 16-8 Run, 15-7 G-Plays
4-1 Last Sunday, 18-6 L4 Sundays
9-4 L2 Sundays, +847 This Year
4-0 Totals, +714 Overall TY
6-0 L3 Sundays, 9-4 G-Plays TY
3-1 L4 G-Plays, 56% +1,125 TY
21-10 L5 Sundays, 6-2 L8 G-Plays
3-1 L2 Sundays, 14-6 L20 Picks
6-3 L2 Sundays, 3-1 L4 G-Plays
4-1 L2 Sundays, 6-3 L9 G-Plays
7-3 Record Last 2 Sundays
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