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Top Five in the Money Starting Pitchers
We’re a little more than three weeks into the baseball regular season. While there are some teams who have been big surprises, it’s always important to remember that the season is 162 games long. No one is going to win the World Series in the month of April. Similarly, bettors can’t have a profitable year just by winning in April. Betting on Major League Baseball is a long grind it out season.
It’s no secret that starting pitchers are crucial to handicap when betting on baseball. With that being said, I’m going to take a look at starting pitchers who have been making a lot of money for bettors in 2013. They have been the guys to back so far this year, but can they keep up their amazing numbers? Let’s take a closer look at these five in the money pitchers on a case-by-case basis.
Pitchers are listed according to money earned by $100 bettors so far this season.
1) Patrick Corbin - Arizona Diamondbacks (+465)
Corbin was called up late last year and showed some promise while struggling to be consistent on the mound. He looks so much more confident this year, and it looks like the Diamondbacks have found their “Ace” of the future. Corbin’s career numbers show a major dichotomy between pitching at home and on the road. In his young career, Corbin has a 2.62 ERA at home and a 5.04 ERA on the road. Most of that differential is because of a couple terrible starts on the road last season. Corbin has started three games on the road this year and has a stellar 2.21 ERA. The books are too low on Corbin right now.
2) Julio Tehran - Atlanta Braves (+439)
Tehran is a totally different case than Corbin. Tehran is a highly touted prospect who the Braves are counting on to be very good this year, but he hasn’t been thus far. How is he on this list? The Braves have been giving him some amazing run support. Atlanta has scored at least six runs in each of Tehran’s four starts this year. Tehran’s ERA is 5.48 in 2013. He did have a solid start at Coors Field earlier this week, so maybe he’s going to turn it around soon. Tehran won’t be on this list long if he doesn’t start throwing the ball better.
3) Tim Lincecum - San Francisco Giants (+418)
Lincecum cost bettors a lot of money last year, but the Giants are 4-0 in his four starts so far this season. He still hasn’t looked like the Lincecum of old, but he has been much better than last season. Lincecum has a new look on the mound without the long locks, and he is trying to reinvent himself as a pitcher. He doesn’t have the same velocity he had a few years ago, but if he improves his control he can still be very good. Tread lightly with Lincecum until he proves himself in 2013.
4) Jon Lester - Boston Red Sox (+412)
Here’s another guy who burned money for bettors last season. The entire Red Sox team looked like a bunch fish out of the water with manager Bobby Valentine leading the way last year. In 2013, the Red Sox are off to a great start, and the pitching of Jon Lester (and Clay Buchholz) is a major reason why. From 2008 through 2011 Lester never had an ERA above 3.47. In 2012, Lester finished with an ERA of 4.82. So far in 2013, Lester sports an amazing 1.73 ERA. The books are quickly adjusting to Lester’s early season success.
5) Matt Moore - Tampa Bay Rays (+411)
Moore is another one of those young highly touted prospects who is quickly coming into his own. His amazing 1.04 ERA tells the story about how awesome he has been in 2013 thus far. There is no doubt he has the ability to put batters away. He led the minors in strikeouts in both 2009 and 2010. Moore has been good at home and on the road, and his control is improving with each start. This guy has the stuff to be a dominating pitcher for many years to come. Don’t be surprised if he ends the season as one of baseball’s biggest money-makers.