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Yankees, Nats clash
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By Tom Wilkinson

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Two of the top teams in the league meet on Wednesday night on ESPN, as the New York Yankees visit the Washington Nationals.

The Yankees are battling with the Red Sox for first place in the AL East, while the Nationals are just behind the Braves in the NL East.

The probable pitching matchup for Wednesday night has CC Sabathia going against Max Scherzer. Let’s look at the contest and MLB picks.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
Date and Time: Wednesday, May 16, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET
Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
MLB Odds at BetDSI: Nationals -166, O/U 7.5 under
Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Max Scherzer
Yankees vs. Nationals TV Coverage: ESPN

The Yankees have been winning regardless of whether they are at home or on the road. They were 10-5 in their first 15 road games, with six games going over the total, eight going under, with one push. New York leads the league in runs per game, as they are scoring just over 5.7 runs per game. They are 10th in ERA, allowing about 3.7 runs per contest. It is extremely rare to see a team winning by an average of two runs per game, but that is the scoring margin for the Yankees so far this season.

The Nationals have not been that good at home this season and that is the main reason they are not in first place. They were just 10-10 in their first 20 home games, with nine games going over the total and 11 going under. They are scoring about 4.5 runs per game and giving up about 3.4 per contest.

Starting Pitchers

Sabathia is 2-0 on the season with a 2.23 ERA. He has made just seven starts this season because he was injured but most of his starts have been really good. His last start against Boston was an exception, as he gave up four runs and nine hits in four innings. He is 2-1 in his career against the Nationals with a 2.25 ERA.

Scherzer is 7-1 on the season with a 1.69 ERA. He continues to dominate opposing teams and pitch at least six innings. He has gone at least six innings in each of his last seven starts. He was set to start on Friday against the Dodgers, but the Nationals had an off day on Monday, so Scherzer was moved up in the rotation to pitch on his normal four days of rest. Tanner Roark will now be moved back to start on Friday. Scherzer has not faced the Yankees since 2015 and New York is a much different team now than they were three years ago.

Key Stats

The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts. They are 18-7 in Sabathia’s last 25 interleague starts. The Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. the American League East. The Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Nationals are 19-7 in Scherzer’s last 26 home starts.

Looking at the total, the Over is 18-7-1 in the Yankees last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 16-5-2 in Sabathia’s last 23 road starts. The Under is 7-0 in the Nationals last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 5-1 in Scherzer’s last 6 starts overall.

Yankees vs. Nationals Picks

The Yankees are the better team, but the Nationals have the pitching advantage in this contest, so I will avoid a side and look at the total. The Nationals have really struggled against left-handed starters this season and Sabathia has been pitching really well for most of this year. Scherzer has been excellent all season and he should be able to hold down the potent New York lineup. Sabathia’s road starts normally go under the total and Washington’s last seven games against a left-handed starter have gone under the total. I will go under the total in this Wednesday night contest.

Yankees vs. Nationals Pick: Under the Total at BetDSI
Yankees vs. Nationals Score Prediction: Nationals 3, Yankees 2

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