Weekly Total Talk
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
Totals Report
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Cards-Cubs Kick Off 2nd Half
The Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday night at Wrigley Field and it's the only game in town. There are some amazing total trends for bettors to pay attention to, however. The 'over' is 5-1 in the past six games for the Cardinals, and 4-0 in their past four inside the National League Central Division. In addition, the over is 4-0 in the past four against right-handed starting pitchers, while going 5-1 in the past six for Carlos Martinez. The over has cashed in five of Martinez's past seven road outings against a team with a winning record, too, while going 13-3-1 in his past 17 overall against teams with a winning mark. The over is also 5-0-1 in the past six starts by Martinez against the Cubbies. The wind will also be blowing out to left field at 10-13 mph, making it more difficult for the pitchers to keep the ball in the yard.
As far as the Cubs are concerned, the over has been good for them lately, too. The over is 4-0 in their past four games overall, while going 4-0 in their past four against right-handed starting pitchers. The total has also gone over in five of their past six against NL Central foes, too. If the game goes over, though, it will be against the trends as far as Kyle Hendricks is concerned. The under has hit in 12 of his past 15 starts against NL Central opponents, while going 19-8 in his past 27 starts overall. The under is 22-4-1 in his past 27 home outings against a team with a winning overall record, and 15-3 in his past 18 while working on four days of rest, too. At Wrigley Field, the under is 37-16-1 in Hendricks' past 54 home assignments.
Looking Ahead
Friday, July 20
The under has cashed in four straight starts for Anibal Sanchez of the Braves, while going 4-1 in Atlanta's past five games overall. The under is also 6-1 in their past seven against NL East foes. However, the over is 4-1 in their past five on the road against right-handed starting pitchers, and 15-5 in their past 20 games on the road. For Washington, the under is 5-2 in the past seven overall, while going 4-1 in their past five against winning teams and 7-1 in their past eight at home against teams with a winning road mark. However, the over is 40-19-3 in the past 62 home outings for Strasburg, while going 4-0 in his past four starts in Game 1 of a new series. The over is also 5-1 in the past six home starts by Strasburg against the Braves. The head-to-head trends show the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in D.C., and 8-1-2 in the past 11 meetings overall. However, winds will also play a factor (see below).
The Twins and Royals battle each other in K.C., and the over is the overwhelming trend. The over has hit in five of the past six for the Twins, while going 4-1 in their past five against left-handed starting pitchers. The over is also 6-2 in Minnesota's past eight following an off day, while going 11-4 in Kyle Gibson's past 15 in Game 1 of a new series. However, the under is 13-4-1 in the past 18 road starts by Gibson, and 5-1-1 in his past seven on the road against teams with a losing record. For the Royals, the over is 4-1 in the past five overall, 5-1 in the past six home games. The over is also 4-1 in their past five against the AL Central, and 4-1 in their past five vs. RHP. The over has also connected in four of the past five home outings for Danny Duffy. The over has connected in 10 of the past 14 meetings in Kansas City, and 5-2 in the past sevne meetings overall. The over is also 5-2-1 in the past eight starts by Gibson against the Royals, while the under is 7-1 in Duffy's past eight home outings against the Twins.
Other Total Trends
The under is 8-2 in the past 10 interleague games for the Mets, while going 8-2 in their past 10 vs. AL East opponents. The under is 5-1-1 in Noah Syndergaard's past seven starts, too, while going 15-4-2 in his past 21 against teams with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the past five at home for the Yankees against teams with a losing road mark, and 12-1 in their past 13 interleague games. The under is 11-4-1 in the past 16 home games for the Bronx Bombers, and 27-10-2 in their past 39 overall. The under has also hit in four of the past five in the Subway Series.
The under is 5-2 in the past seven meetings between the Marlins and Rays. While the over is 9-2 in Miami's past 11 road outings, the under is 5-0 in Dan Straily's past five road assignments against a team with a winning mark. The under is also 6-1-1 in Tampa's past eight at home, and 21-9-1 in the past 31 overall.
The over is 13-2-1 in the past 16 games for the White Sox on Fridays. The over is also 9-3 in their past 12 on the road. However, the under is 11-4-1 in the past 16 starts by James Shields, and 6-1-1 in the past eight home outings by Wade LeBlanc.
The Bay Bridge Series between the Giants and A's has seen the over go 10-2-2 in the past 14 meetings overall, including 7-0-1 in the past eight in Oakland.
Betting On The Wind
In the matinee battle between the Cards and Cubs, the wind is forecast to be blowing out to left field from 11-14 mph. That will aid in the 'over' as long as the thunderstorms hold off.
The Braves and Nationals will be dealing with 10-13 mph winds blowing out to left field, as Home Run Derby champion Bryce Harper looks to kick off the second half on a high note.
In Cincinnati and Detroit, the winds will be blowing in to help the pitchers. The Red Sox-Tigers will be battling 14-17 mph winds blowing in from straightaway center field to home plate. The winds will be humming from right field to home plate for the Bucs-Reds at a 10-13 mph clip. Both cities face a 40-50 percent chance of rain, so a delay or postponement is possible.
The Indians and Reds won't be dealing with precipitation, but sweltering heat and winds. The gametime temp at Globe Life Park is forecast to be 107 degrees, 'cooling' off to 101 by 9pm CDT. The winds will be howling from right field to home plate at 11-14 mph.
Lastly, the winds will be helping batters for the Giants and Athletics, blowing out to right field from 13-16 mph.
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