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Tech Trends - Week 13
November 29, 2011
By Bruce Marshall
VegasInsider.com
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Pete Carroll very surprising 7-2 vs. line last 9 this season. Both "under" four of last six in 2011. |
Seahawks and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends. | |
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Bills covered last week vs. Jets but have slipped, 0-4 SU and 1-3 vs. line last four this season. Titans very non-descript vs. number in 2011, but Tennessee is "under" 5-2 last 7 as visitor. |
Slight to "under" and Titans, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Orton to face his old team? Bears now 5-1 SU and vs. line last 6 after Oakland loss. Lovie also "over" last three and four of last five this season. Chiefs 1-3 vs. lien last four after cover vs. Steelers. |
Bears and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends. |
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Raiders have covered first five as visitor this season and are 6-0 vs. line away since late in the 2010 campaign. Dolphins, however, have rallied with five straight spread covers, but we must note Sparano had dropped 7 in a row vs. line at home prior to recent wins and covers vs. Skins and Bills. Sparano also "under" 10-1 this season. |
"Under," based on "totals" trends. |
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Steelers have won and covered last three meetings since a year ago, including 24-17 win Nov. 13 at Paul Brown Stadium. But Marvin Lewis is 6-1-1 last 8 as dog (loss to Steelers), including 4-1-1 mark in role TY. Bengals "over" 5-1 away TY. |
"Over" and Bengals, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Skins making a move in the positive direction with covers in their last two after five-game spread losing streak. Skins "over" last 2 after "under" 13-3 previous 16 for The Shan. Rex Ryan, however, only 1-4 vs. number away TY. Jets "under" last two on road after decided "over" trending prior. |
"Under," based on "totals" trends. |
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Falcons only one spread loss last six TY (4-1-1 that span vs. line) and 8-4 against spread last 11 away. Texans have won and covered last five in 2011 and "under" 4-1 as host in 2011. Falcs "under" 8-3 this season. |
"Under," based on "totals" trends. |
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Bucs only 2-3 vs. line at home in 2011, 4-8-1 against spread as host since 2010, 5-15-1 in role at Raymond James since Raheem Morris took over in 2009, and 5-18-1 last 24 against points at home. Cam-o-lina got win and cover at Indy last week after no covers previous three on board. |
Slight to Panthers, based on extended Buc home negatives. |
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Tebow and Ponder meet again. Tebow 5-1 SU and vs. line as starter this season, he's 6-3 SU and 7-2 vs. line as starter in his career. Denver has won its last four as visitor SU (all as dog) and is 5-1 vs. line away TY. Broncos "under" last three after extended "over" trend previous (22-7 previous 29). Vikes however are "over" 4-2 last six in 2011. |
Slight to Broncos, based on recent trends. |
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Not quite the featured matchup it has been in recent years. For curiosity's sake note that Indy has covered 5 of last 7 meetings against Belichick, who had dominated Colts earlier in his Patriots career. Now we need to note winless Colts have failed to cover their last seven this season and have gone "under" 3-1 last four. Belichick "under" four of last six in 2011 after "over" 20 of previous 24. |
Patriots and "under," based on team and recent "totals" trends. | |
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Ravens revisit their roots in Cleveland. Baltimore has won last six and covered five of those against Browns. Though Baltimore only 1-3 as road chalk this season, with a couple of very flat (post-Steelers) efforts. Browns squeezed out coverthe last two weeks but are only 4-15 their last 19 on board. Baltimore "over" 8-3 last 11 since late 2010, though Brownies "under" 9-6 their last 15. |
Ravens, based on team and series trends. | |
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Harbaugh 9-1-1 vs. line TY, 5-0-1 at Candlestick vs. spread. 49ers 16-5-1 against number last 22 at Candlestick post-Mike Nolan (mid 2008). Rams covered both meetings LY vs. Singletary (including Singletary's final game in Week 15) after dropping 9 of previous 11 against line in series. Harbaugh "under" five of last six this season and Rams "under" 11-5 last 16 since late 2010. Both meetings "over" in 2010 but these two were "under" in 7 of 8 previous meetings. |
49ers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends. |
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Dallas 0-4-1 as road chalk since 2010, including a loss late last season at Arizona by 27-26 count. Cards "over" 5-1 last 6 at Glendale, Jerry Jones "over" 8-3 last eleven away. |
"Over" and Cardinals, based on "totals" and team trends. |
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Pack now 17-0 SU and 13-4 against spread last 17 since late last season. Included was 45-17 romp over Giants late last year that keyed playoff drive. Coughlin is 22-8 his last 30 as a dog but has only covered one of last six this season (prior to Saints). Pack "over" 8-4 last 12 since late LY. |
"Over" and slight to Packers, based on "totals" and team trends. | |
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Saints pretty tough at home this season with wins and covers in first four as host, now 7-1 against spread last eight at Superdome since mid 2010 (prior to Giants last Monday). Lions only 2-4 SU and vs. line last six this season. Detroit also "over" 7-0-1 last eight as visitor. |
Saints and "over," based on team and "totals" trends. | |
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Norv no wins or covers last six this season. Norv 4-9 against spread away since year ago (3-7 last 10 as road chalk). Norv "over" 6-1 last 7 away but Jags "under" 10-1 in 2011. |
"Under" and Jags, based on "totals" and team trends. | |
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