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Tech Trends - Week 14

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Thursday, Dec. 8 (8:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Browns only 4-16 last 20 on board but have covered two of their last three this season. Steelers won and covered both meetings handily a year ago, though Brownies covered both in 2009. Steel 7-2 vs. spread last 9 on board at Heinz Field since late LY. Steelers, based on team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 11 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens Colts no covers seven of last eight TY and just 3-11 vs. spread last 14 on board since late LY. Ravens 6-0 SU, 4-1-1 vs. line at M&T Bank Stadium TY. Baltimore 8-4 "over" last 12 since late LY. Ravens and slight to "over," based on team trends.
Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals Texans have won and covered last six in 2011, also "under" 8-4 TY. Houston 10-3 vs. spread last 12 on board since late LY. Marvin Lewis 7-4-1 against points this season, but Bengals only 1-2 as home chalk TY, 2-5 in role since LY, 2-11 since 2009. Texans, based on team trends.
Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets Chiefs own one of many streaking "totals" trends at moment, "under" in seven straight. Jets, however, "over" 8-4 TY, 22-9 since LY, 26-10 last 36 since late 2009. Chiefs 7-2 as dog TY. Chiefs, based on team trends.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Lions only 2-5 SU and vs. line last seven TY after opening with five straight wins. Vikings, however, no covers last 4 TY and 9-17-1 against spread since 2010. Vikings "over" 5-2 last 7 TY. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans Saints only 2-4 vs. line away TY and 3-8 against points last 11 as visitor. Titans "under" last 4 and 5 of last 6 TY. Titans, based on Saints' extended road spread woes.
Philadelphia Eagles at Miami Dolphins Miami on 6-game cover streak and has won and covered last three at Sun Life Stadium after dropping previous seven spread decisions at home. Dolphins also "under" ten of last eleven TY. Fading Birds 3-8 against spread last 11 in 2011. "Under" and Dolphins, based on "totals" and team trends.
New England Patriots at Washington Redskins The Shan at one time held a nice edge on Belichick, having won and covered 5 of 6 meetings before losing 41-7 with his Broncos at Foxborough in 2008. Shanahan "over" last three TY after "under" 13-3 previous 16. Belichick "over" 24-7 last 31 since late 2009. "Over," based on Belichick "totals" trends.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Falcons have won and covered last three vs. Panthers since LY, all by near-identical scores (31-10, 31-10, and 31-17!). Cam 4-2 vs. points as host TY but only 2-3 vs. line last 5 in 2011. Slight to Falcons, based on recent series trends.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars Jags "under" 10-2 TY, but have only covered three of last eleven games on board in 2011. Bucs fading, 0-6 SU and 1-5 vs. line last five TY. "Under" and slight to Jags, based on "totals" and team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 11 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals First meeting went to SF by a 23-7 count on Nov. 20. 49ers 10-1-1 vs. line TY. Cards have covered 5 of last 6 TY and are "over" 5-2 their last seven at Glendale. 49ers have won and covered last five meetings. Slight to 49ers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
Chicago Bears at Denver Broncos Broncos 6-1 SU and vs. line with Tebow as starter this season. Denver has also won and covered five in a row, also note three "unders" last four after extended "over" trending prior (22-7 "over" previous 29). Bears had won and covered five in a row prior to losing and failing to cover last two minus Jay Cutler. Broncos and slight to "under," based on recent trends.

Sunday, Dec. 11 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers Raiders 5-1 vs. line away in 2011, and have covered six of last seven as road dog. Pack, however, on 18-game unbeaten run with 13-5 spread mark that span. Pack 4-1 "over" at Lambeau TY, Oakland "over" 17-11 since 2010. "Over" and Raiders, based on "totals" and team trends.
Buffalo Bills at San Diego Chargers Bolts 1-6 SU and vs. line last seven TY, Bills no wins last 5 and just 1-4 vs. spread in those games. Norv "under" 5-1 at home TY and "under" 8-1 last nine at Qualcomm, although Chan "over" 8-5 since late 2010. Slight to "under" and Bills, based on "totals" and team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 11 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys NYG no wins last four TY (1-3 vs. line in those), but Eli 5-2 SU and vs. line last 7 meetings vs. Dallas, and Coughlin 23-9 last 31 as dog (though no covers last two in role). Dallas 2-4 as home chalk TY, 3-9 in role since LY. "Overs" last four in series, Dallas "over" 18-10 since LY, Coughlin "over" 26-16 since '09. "Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.

Monday, Dec. 12 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks Seahawks have quietly covered 8 of their last 10 TY. Pete Carroll 10-5 vs. spread as host since LY. Seattle also 8-1 vs. line last nine in series. Rams just 2-11 last 13 on board since late LY and 1-7 last 8 vs. spread away. Rams also "under" 12-5 last 17. Seahawks and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

  
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Simo: Books earn small win in Week 4
News: NFL Betting Recap - Week 4
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Raiders fire head coach Dennis Allen
Bills bench QB Manuel, to start Orton
Vikings' Bridgewater aims to play Thursday
Cowboys CB Claiborne done for season
Cards RB formally charged with assaut
Autopsy shows Belcher had brain damage
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