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Tech Trends - Week 15

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Thursday, Dec. 15 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Jacksonville Jaguars at Atlanta Falcons Both trending "under" in 2011 (Jags "under" 10-3, Falcons "under" 9-4), though each "over" last week. Jags "under" all six as visitor this season. Slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.

Saturday, Dec. 17 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Cowboys very unreliable lately as road chalk, failing to cover last five in role. But Bucs on an extended skid, losing last 7 SU and failing to cover last six, and 2-8 vs. number last 10 in 2011. Tampa Bay also "over" 4 of last 5 TY. slight to Cowboys, based on recent Buc negatives.

Sunday, Dec. 18 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Washington Redskins at New York Giants The Shan is "over" last four in 2011 after "under" 13-3 previous sixteen dating to mid 2010. Skins have only covered one of last five, however, as series visitor. Shan is 7-5 as road dog since LY. Coughlin "over" 9-4 in 2011. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl I redux! This time only Pack looks Super Bowl worthy, GB now on 19-game SU win streak and 14-5 vs. line in those games. Chiefs, however, are 7-3 as a dog this season. KC also "under" six of last seven in 2011, though Pack "over" 11-5 last 16 dating to late 2010. GB 4-3 as road chalk this season. Slight to Chiefs and "under," based on KC dog and "totals" trends.
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings Saints only 4-8 last 12 as road chalk. Vikes, however, just 5-7-1 against spread in 2011 and 8-14-1 vs. spread last 23 on board. Vikes "over" 5-1 at Metrodome TY. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears Seahawks get rematch from playoff loss last January. Pete Carroll has quietly covered 9 of last 11 this season while Cutler-less (and now Forte-less) Bears have dropped last three SU. Seahawks have also covered their last four on road. Lovie "over" 9-3 last 12 at Soldier Field but "under" last two with Hanie at QB. Seahawks, based on recent trends.
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Teams headed in opposite directions, with Miami covering six of its last seven and Buffalo dropping last six SU and 1-5 vs. number in those games. Three straight "unders" in series since LY. Dolphins 21-8 vs. points last 29 as visitor. Miami "under" first six on road TY and "under" 10-2 overall in 2011, also "under" 12-2 away since 2010. Dolphins and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans Cam has won and covered two straight on road TY. Cam also "over" 4-1-1 on road. But Texans "under" 8-5 this season and have covered seven in a row. Slight to Texans, based on recent trends.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Winless Colts have earned backdoor covers last two weeks but are still just 2-7 last 9 vs. spread in 2011. They're also just 1-5 vs. line at home this season and 1-6 last 7 at Lucas Oil vs. number. Note Titans "under" last 7 TY. "Under" and slight to Titans, based on "totals" and spread trends.
Cincinnati Bengals at St. Louis Rams Rams 2-11 SU and vs. line TY, now 2-12 last 134SU and vs. spread since late 2010. Rams also "under" 8-5 TY and 12-6 "under" last 18 since late 2010. Cincy no covers last five TY (0-4-1). Slight to "under" and Bengals, based on Rams' "totals" and team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 18 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders Lions only 3-5 SU and 2-6 vs. points last eight in 2011. Raiders 5-14 last 19 as home chalk (though 5-4 last nine in role). Lions "over" 9-2-1 last 12 away, Raiders "over" 11-6 last 17 since late 2010. "Over" and slight to Lions, based on "totals" and Raiders' extended home chalk trends.

Sunday, Dec. 18 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Tebow has won last six SU and has covered five of those and is 7-1 SU, 6-2 vs. spread in his 2011 starts (all as dog). Broncos "under" four of last five in 2011, but "over" 23-11 last 34 since late 2009. Belichick "over" 24-8 last 32. "Over" and slight to Broncos, based on based on "totals" and team trends.
New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles Birds only 4-8 SU and vs. line last 12 TY and 2-7 against number last nine at Lincoln Financial Field. Rex Ryan "over" 9-4 TY, 23-9 since 2010, 27-10 last 36 since late 2009. "Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and team trends.
Cleveland Browns at Arizona Cardinals Brownies have covered three of last four TY after failing to cover 15 of previous 17 on board. Cards, however, have covered 6 of last 7 in 2011. Browns "under" 4 of last 5. Slight to Cards and "under," based on recent trends.

Sunday, Dec. 18 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers Norv Turner has won and covered last two weeks but still just 2-6 SU and vs. line last eight TY. Norv also surprisingly "under" 9-1 last ten at Qualcomm. Ravens and "under," based on Norv trends.

Monday, Dec. 19 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Pittsburgh Steelers at San Francisco 49ers Harbaugh 10-2-1 vs. line TY, 6-0-1 at home vs. number, 49ers now 17-5-1 last 23 vs. spread at Candlestick since mid 2008 (post-Mike Nolan). Tomlin 1-2 as dog TY and 1-4 last five in role after covering 8 of previous 10 in role. Slight to 49ers, based on team trends.

  
HEADLINES
Sportsbook: Jaguars made rare favorites
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Rose: Sharp Moves - Week 16
Simo: 'Dog Bengals help books
News: Betting Recap - Week 15
Lawrence: Trends to Watch - December
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Jaguars QB Bortles could start vs. Titans
Panthers' Cam Newton back to practice
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