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Tech Trends - Week 16

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Thursday, Dec. 22 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Even after Carolina loss,Ttexans still 7-1 SU and vs. lien last 8. Colts have posted three straight covers since Dan Orlovsky has started at QB, although Indy still only 3-10 last 13 vs. spread at Lucas Oil Stadium. Texans 6-3-1 vs. spread last 10 meetings. Texans, based on team trends.

Saturday, Dec. 24 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs Big visitor series reflected in Raiders' 7-0-1 spread mark last 8 at Arrowhead. Visiting team 16-2-1 vs. lien last 19 meetings. Chiefs "under" 8-1 last 9 TY. Raiders and "under," based on series and "totals" trends.
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills Denver has won last 6 and 8 of last 8 SU, also 6-3 vs. line last 9 with Tebow starting. Tebow now 8-4 vs. line as starter since LY. Broncos have also won and covered last five as visitor, all of those as dog! Bills 0-7 SU, 1-6 vs. line last six TY. Broncos, based on recent trends.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Jags beat Titans in opening week at home but have failed to cover 7 of last 9 as visitor. Jags also "over" three straight since Mel Tucker became interim HC after "under" 10 of first 11 TY. . Titans, however, are "under" last eight TY. Slight to Titans and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 1-4-1 last six vs. spread TY, while Big Red now 7-1 last 8 vs. spot in 2011. Marvin Lewis no covers last three as host TY and 1-3 as home chalk, 2-12 last 14 in role since 2009. Cincy "over" 8-5-1 TY. Cards and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Miami 4-1-1 vs. spread last 6 at Foxborough. Dolphins 22-8 their last 30 vs. points on road. "Overs" 6-3 last nine meetings, Belichick "over" 25-8 last 33 since late 2009. Dolphins and "over," based on series and "totals" trends.
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens Brownies only 6-16 last 22 on board since mid 2010, they've also dropped 6 of last 7 vs. line against Ravens. Browns also "under" 12-6-1 last 19 since late 2010. Ravens and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
New York Giants at New York Jets Jets "over" 10-4 in 2011, G-Men "over" 9-5 TY. Jets "over" 24-9 since LY and 28-10 since late in 2009 campaign. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins The Shan is "over" four of last five in 2011 after "under" 13-3 previous 16. Vikes "over" 7-2 last 9 TY. "Over," based on recent "totals" trends.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers Bucs really hitting skids, no SU wins last 8 TY after loss to Dallas, no covers last four or 7 of last 8, also 2-9 last 11 vs. points in 2011. Cam "over" 8-5-1 TY. Panthers and slight to "over," based on recent team and "totals" trends.
St. Louis Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers Rams 2-12 SU and vs. spread TY, also 3-15 last 18 on board since late 2010. Rams 1-8 against points last nine on road as well. Rams also "under" 13-5 last 18 since late 2010. Steel "under" 4-0-1 last four TY. Steelers and "under," based on team trends.

Saturday, Dec. 24 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
San Diego Chargers at Detroit Lions Note Philip Rivers' 23-2 SU mark in December as a starter in career. Norv 16-6-1 vs. number in last five reg. season games since 2007. Lions only 2-7 against points last 9 in 2011. Norv "over" 9-1 last 10 away (opposite from home "under" numbers), Lions "over" 21-11-2 last 34 overall since late 2009. Norv and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

Saturday, Dec. 24 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Pete Carroll has quietly covered 9 of last 11 TY. SF 11-2-1 vs. spread for Harbaugh in 2011 but only 2-2 last four TY. Niners only 2-5 vs. spread last 7 at Seattle. Pete Carroll also "over" 9-4 last 13 at home. Slight to Seahawks and "over," based on recent trends.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Birds have failed to cover last three (including playoffs in 2009) at Jerry Jones' new stadium. But Cowboys only 2-5 as home chalk TY and 3-10 in role in role since LY. slight to Eagles, based on extended Dallas home chalk woes. Slight to Eagles, based on extended Dallas home chalk woes.

Sunday, Dec. 25 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Even after loss at KC, Pack still 14-6 vs. spread last 20. Bears 0-4 SU and 1-3 vs. line since Jay Cutler's injury. Last eight in series "under" as well. "Under" and Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.

Monday, Dec. 26 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Last four games in this series decided by exactly 3 points. Falcs on 6-2-1 spread uptick last nine TY, but Saints 6-0 vs. spread at Superdome this season. Last three meetings "over" at Superdome. Slight to "over" and Saints, based on series "totals" and Saints recent home trends.

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Nelson: NFC West Preview
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