Eleven of the 13 games this weekend have favorites of four point or less, which shapes up as a similar scenario from Week 9 when the Las Vegas sports books experienced their single worst day in history with losses close to $10 million throughout the state.
On that dreadful week -- or awesome week, depending on what side of the counter you‘re on, there were two big favorites with all the other games hovering at five points or less. The big favorites – Green Bay and Houston -- got there along with all the other key favorites, and a few of the underdogs the public sided with also got there.
This week, the two big favorites are the Bengals, eight-point home favorites against the Raiders, and the Broncos laying 10-points on the road at Kansas City. Both sides figure to be prominently featured on bettors parlays which will make them target No. 1 for the sports book to root against.
Good luck guys!
The Raiders have become one of the more dreadful teams in football of late allowing 135 points combined during their current three-game losing streak. The last team Oakland beat was the Chiefs, the other team the books have to root for Sunday.
The Chiefs haven’t won a game since Week 3 at New Orleans, their only win of the season, which also came in overtime (27-24). They have covered only one game in their past five and face a Broncos squad that just set a team record of 30 points or more scored in five consecutive games.
The Broncos line hasn’t moved much due to now sharp action showing their hand on a side yet, but the parlay ratio is off the charts at a 5/1 ticket count ratio.
The Bengals opened as 7-point favorites and have been bet up -8.
If those two teams cover on Sunday it’s going to be a pretty good day for the bettors overall.
Here’s a look at some of the other movements during the week:
-- The Steelers will be led by Charlie Batch at Cleveland. They opened as one-point favorites and have been bet up to -1.5. Even though Batch seems like he’s 50 years old, he’s always been able to step in and do good job in relief, except when facing the Ravens (0-2). He’s 5-0 in all other starts at quarterback for the Steelers.
-- The Colts opened as three-point home favorites against the Bills and some Bills money has come in dropping the Colts to -3 (EVEN), even though the public is pretty one-sided with small money on the Colts.
-- The Titans opened as three-point road favorites against the Jaguars and have been bet up to -4. The Jags have lost their past seven games, but they have covered three of their past five.
-- The Bears-Vikings game has been off the board all week because of the uncertain status of Jay Cutler. Unlike the Steelers who seem to always get along without their star quarterback, the Bears seem to collapse without theirs. And the funny thing is that Cutler isn’t even in the same class as Big Ben.
-- The Buccaneers get a chance to show just how good they are this week after beating some pretty shabby teams. Despite the level of talent teams like the Panthers, Chargers, Raiders, Vikings and Chiefs have, the Bucs have done almost what they wanted offensively against them. The Falcons opened pick ’em and have been bet up to one-point road favorites.
-- The Seahawks opened as 2 1/2-point favorites at Miami and have been bet up to -3 as if they were playing at home. Not only is flying from Seattle to Miami the longest trip to make among NFL cities, but they’ll also have to play in an early Sunday start. The Seahawks are 1-4 on the road this season.
-- The Ravens opened as 2 1/2-point favorites at San Diego, but Chargers money has dropped the number to -1. Seems like a tough spot against a Chargers team that is anything but tough.
-- The Saints opened as a pick ’em for their home game against the 49ers in a clash from the old NFC West, but 49ers money has come in pushing them to one-point favorites.
-- The Cardinals haven’t won a game since the Rams gave them their first loss after starting 4-0. The Rams not only knocked off the win streak, they also knocked out quarterback Kevin Kolb, who has yet to return. The Cards opened -1.5 and Rams money has dropped it to -1.
-- The Giants opened as 2 1/2-point home favorites and have been bet up to -3 against the Packers, despite all the public small money siding with the Packers. The Packers were seven-point favorites at the Giants last season in Week 13 in a 38-35 win. That loss was the fourth in a row for the Giants, a very similar situation this time around with the Giants being winless in November. The Packers have won the past three regular season meetings, but the Giants have won the last two when they really counted -- during the playoffs.