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AFC Divisional Notes
NFC Divisional Notes

Saturday, Jan. 14, 2017

Houston at New England (CBS, 8:15 p.m. ET)

Line Movement: The Patriots opened as 14 ½-point home favorites and the number jumped to as high as 16 at some books. Most shops are holding New England -15 ½ as of Tuesday.  The total has dropped from an opener of 46 to 44 ½.

Houston Road Record: 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS
New England Home Record: 6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS

These teams have met eight times since Houston came back into the league in 2002 and this series has been dominated by New England. The Patriots have gone 7-1 and that includes a run of five consecutive victories. New England has covered six of the seven wins and five have come by double digits, which includes its 27-0 victory over Houston in Week 3 this season. The Patriots have scored the Texans 150-49 in the four meetings at Foxboro.

Playoff Notes: Bill Belichick has gone 22-9 in the playoffs with the Patriots. At home, the team has gone 15-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS during this span while the ‘under’ is 10-8. In the last eight postseason games played at Foxboro, the Patriots are 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS with four of the victories come by double digits. Including last week’s win over Oakland, Houston is now 3-3 all-time in the playoffs and that includes a 0-2 record on the road. New England defeated Houston 41-28 in the 2012 playoffs as a 9 ½-point home favorite.

Total Notes: The ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in the eight meetings between the pair but the ‘under’ has gone 2-0 in the most recent encounters. New England watched the ‘under’ go 10-6 this season, which includes a stalemate (4-4) from Gillette Stadium. The Texans saw the ‘under’ go 4-3-1 on the road behind an offense that only averaged 14.8 points per game as visitors. New England enters this game with the league’s best scoring defense with 15.6 PPG.

Sunday, Jan. 15, 2017

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (NBC, 1:05 p.m. ET)

Line Movement: The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Pittsburgh as a 2 ½-point road favorite but the number flip-flopped quickly. Most books have Kansas City now listed as a 1 ½-point home favorite as of Tuesday. The total in this game also dropped, going from 46 ½ to 44 ½.

Injuries: QB Ben Roethlisberger (ankle) has been upgraded to ‘probable.’

Pittsburgh Road Record: 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS
Kansas City Home Record: 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Steelers blasted the Chiefs 43-14 on Oct. 2 as 3 ½-point home favorites in wire-to-wire fashion. Pittsburgh led 36-0 behind five touchdown passes from QB Ben Roethlisberger and Kansas City added two meaningless scores in the fourth quarter. Including that outcome, Pittsburgh has now won four of its last five against Kansas City and the lone loss occurred last season when Landry Jones stepped in at QB for an injured Big Ben.

Playoff Notes: Pittsburgh improved to 12-6 in the playoffs with Big Ben as QB after last week’s Wild Card win over Miami. The Steelers have gone 6-3 away from home during this span and all three of the losses have been decided by seven points or less. Kansas City went 1-1 in the playoffs last season and the victory over Houston was the first for the franchise since 1994 and also the first for head coach Andy Reid with the Chiefs. Reid owns an all-time 11-11 record in the playoffs, which includes a 1-2 with KC. The last playoff win at Arrowhead Stadium took place in 1994 when coincidentally the Chiefs beat the Steelers 27-24 in overtime behind legendary QB Joe Montana. Since then, KC is 0-4 in its last six playoff games at home and 0-6 ATS in the previous six.

Total Notes: The Steelers have seen the ‘under’ 11-6 this season and that includes a 6-2 (75%) mark on the road. Kansas City has also been a very strong ‘under’ wager (10-6) and that includes a 6-2 lean to the low side at Arrowhead. Pittsburgh has scored 18 and 16 points in two playoff games on the road last season, both resulting in ‘under’ tickets. 

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