Rookie QBs to Watch
August 11, 2017
Which Rookie Quarterbacks Will Start in 2017?
There are truthfully two guys who have really good shots at starting in the 2017 NFL season, and both are the ones that everyone’s talking about right now. But there’s a third who may sneak in. Let’s take a look at the rookie quarterback class of 2017 and see who’s most likely to be moved up on the depth chart to QB1.
Mitchell Trubisky (Chicago Bears – 2nd Pick)
Breaking news! Mike Glennon isn’t very good! Everyone in Tampa Bay could’ve told you that. The Bears signed the former backup to a $45M deal over three-years which is looking more and more like a one-year deal for $18.5M. There’s a built in out for Chicago to dump him with a dead cap hit of just $4.5M after this season.
Glennon went just 2-for-8 and 20 yards and a pick in a brutal performance against one of the best defences in the NFL. Then in came Trubisky, the second overall pick who whizzed 18-of-23 passes for 166 yards and a touchdown to Victor Cruz.
Trubisky didn’t have to face the top end talent of the Broncos by the time he entered, but he far outclassed Glennon. Chicago is starving for a good quarterback after years of Jay Cutler and they have probably found the right guy.
The truth is that Trubisky needs a lot more time to develop, which is why it was always going to be worth it to start Glennon. The problem is that the NFL world doesn’t have much patience for terrible quarterback play when there’s a potential franchise guy on the sidelines. Chicago is an especially boisterous fanbase and they could propel Trubisky in to the starting lineup if the Bears realize that Glennon is nothing more than the backup he’s always been.
Deshaun Watson (Houston Texans – 12th Pick)
Everyone is buzzing about Watson after he dazzled against the backup units of the Carolina Panthers. Listen, Watson is great and we all know this. Watson completed 15-of-25 for 179 yards while also rushing for 24 yards and a pretty easy walk-in touchdown.
What stood out about Watson was how well he read the second unit of Carolina,. He was as poised and collected as he was when he beat the Alabama Crimson Tide not too long ago.
Tom Savage is a totally fine quarterback, but he has never felt like a franchise quarterback. The Texans have had a long standing history of bad quarterbacks, but they might have hit the nail perfectly in drafting Watson.
Pocket passers usually struggle as rookie starters which is why Watson’s playmaking ability as a runner might sneak him in as the first rookie quarterback to start in the 2017 NFL season.
If he remotely lives up to the hype that he’s generated this week, the value on the Texans to win the AFC South at +190 jumps up dramatically.
DeShone Kizer (Cleveland Browns – 52nd Overall Pick)
The former Notre Dame standout looked brilliant in an 11-for-18 performance that produced 184 yards. Brock Osweiler is close to playing his smug face out of yet another job after being absolutely brutal, but there’s a catch here when it comes to the idea that Kizer could start in 2017. And his name is Cody Kessler.
As a third-round pick in 2016, Kessler was decent in his rookie season with a 65.6 completion percentage, 1,380 yards and 6 touchdowns against 2 picks. This might come as a bit of a surprise, but Kessler actually outperformed the second overall pick from his own draft in Carson Wentz, who put up dodgy numbers. Wentz ended the year with an 79.3 quarterback rating. Kessler managed a 92.3 rating.
Don’t be surprised if the Browns smartly keep Kizer studying the playbook and the NFL game while Kessler takes his lumps throughout 2017.
Nathan Peterman (Buffalo Bills – 171st Pick)
Who? The Buffalo Bills are obviously hitting the reset button on their personnel after pulling off a trade that shipped out Sammy Watkins and brought in some great draft picks. If they want to move up the 2018 NFL Draft board, they already have a guy who can help them sink to the bottom of the rankings in Tyrod Taylor.
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs – 10th Pick)
Davis Webb (New York Giants – 87th Pick)
Joshua Dobbs (Pittsburgh Steelers – 135th Pick)
Brad Kaaya (Detroit Lions – 215th Pick)
Sorry guys, you’re playing behind established and very well paid franchise quarterbacks. Even Mahomes, who was the second quarterback taken in the draft, knows what the deal is. Kansas City went 12-4 SU ad 9-7 ATS while clowning the division last year with a perfect 6-0 SU record.
C.J. Beathard (San Francisco 49ers – 104th Pick)
Yup, when you’re the San Francisco 49ers anything is possible. Beathard was a third round pick so it’s not like he’s a scrub, and the only guys he has to beat are Brian Hoyer and Matt Barkley. The former was signed on to carry a franchise that can’t figure out how to win, while the latter is so barely wanted by any franchise looking towards the future.
If San Francisco plummets in to the toilet this year, as they’re projected to with a Regular Season Win Total of just 5.5 games, it wouldn’t be unlikely for Beathard to get the call. We’re talking about a guy that Kyle Shanahan reached for in the draft. The man knows what he wants and there’s certainty around San Francisco’s training camp that Shanahan really likes the former Iowa starter.
Chad Kelly (Denver Broncos – 253rd Pick)
There is little to no chance that Chad Kelly plays in 2017 but that’s largely because he is recovering from an assortment of serious injuries. The former Ole’ Miss Rebel tore his ACL in November 2016 and is still recovering. He also hurt his wrist and is simply unable to participate in practice. We can maybe chat about him going in to 2018 when Trevor Siemian has watched his career turned to ashes, but until then there’s no point in getting all hot and bothered about Kelly supplanting anyone in Denver.
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