Buyer's Remorse - Week 1
September 11, 2017
Lessons Learned From NFL Week 1
That had to be one of the worst Week 1 slates I’ve seen in a long time. Most of the games were awful to watch, and there was perhaps no bigger surprise than seeing Cincinnati get skunked at home by Baltimore, where they’re notoriously good.
So what do we do when we’re trying to bet on football and make money? We gain from our mistakes and move forward.
Presenting Buyer’s Remorse Week 1, a look back at five of Sunday’s biggest surprises and how they measured up against the odds at BetOnline.ag.
Let’s live and learn.
Cleveland Browns +10.0 over Pittsburgh Steelers
The Browns surprised everyone by covering a +10.0 line that not too many backed. DeShone Kizer looked like a lost lamb at times because the offensive playbook was far too complicated for a rookie, but overall he seemed capable enough to make Cleveland a stronger play than you’d think. The Browns also held the Steelers to just 35 rushing yards, ranking them as the best ground defenders of Week 1. And they did that without top overall pick Myles Garrett, who could be back soon.
Cleveland has possible layups against Baltimore and Indianapolis and are due for some more credit. If the BetOnline.ag oddsmakers don’t give them that credit, then it’s money on the table for you.
Detroit Lions +2.5 over Arizona Cardinals
Because the Cardinals have two-time Coach of the Year Bruce Arians at the helm, there’s always the thought that they’re going to be a threat. Toss in big names in the secondary, and a capable front-seven, and you should have a viable playoff threat. On Sunday, we saw just how bad they could be. Add to that the fact that the Cardinals have lost running back David Johnson for what might be the entire season as well.
Things just went from bad to worse for Arizona, while Detroit found a way to win 35-23 regardless of a brutal first quarter that had everyone wondering if Stafford was worth that mammoth contract extension. Detroit might be a great live-betting team if they’re willing to put themselves in holes like they did in Week 1. They were the best fourth-quarter comeback team in 2016, and that’s a trend that might continue this year.
Chicago Bears +6.5 over Atlanta Falcons
Is Mike Glennon worth $16 million? After his performance on Sunday, I’d say he is. Jordan Howard should be ashamed for being too scared to catch a game-winning touchdown.
The problem is that the Bears might not have much more to show than their heroic comeback effort against a Falcons team that looks completely out of sorts without Kyle Shanahan calling the shots. I’m not willing to sell the Falcons up the river just yet, but it’s worth noting that they may not be the world beaters we took them for last season.
Chicago is interesting, and have my attention, but if everything is riding on Tarik Cohen saving this franchise as a 5-foot-6, 180 pound prodigy…I’ll pass. This performance by Chicago felt like a once-in-season game. They’re more likely to come crashing back down considering that they lost their most talented wide receiver – Kendall White – to injury.
Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 over Houston Texans
In a game that the Texans simply had to win, they couldn’t come up with a single ounce of positivity. They were brutal in the trenches on both sides, getting manhandled by Jacksonville’s offensive and defensive lines. I’d say this is more positive for the underrated Jacksonville Jaguars.
Houston has a lot of ground to make up, and I’m not even sure that Deshaun Watson can fix the problems. Teams that aren’t good up front are never solid bets. Houston is prime example of that, which is tragic because the city needed this win in a big way.
Green Bay Packers -2.5 over Seattle Seahawks
Speaking of bad offensive lines, how about the Seahawks. What was supposed to be the Game of the Week turned in to an absolute bore-fest as Aaron Rodgers went to work in the second half while Russell Wilson couldn’t get anything going. Seattle looked bad and overmatched up front, and I don’t see how any of that gets better moving forward with Rees Odiahmbo and Germain Ifedi looking completely outmatched on the edges of the offensive line.
Facing the Niners in Week 2 might offer some reprieve, but Seattle is by no means the legitimate Super Bowl contender we thought they might be. Their +1000 Super Bowl odds at BetOnline.ag are a complete no-no right now.
Head to BetOnline.ag to get your action in this NFL season!
7-1 Y'day, 15-4 L2 Sun., 20-4 Streak
10-1 G-Plays, 3-0 L2 Sun., 9-1 Run
10-3 L3 Sundays, 7-3 G-Plays TY
15-4 G-Plays, 5-1 L3 Thursdays
4-0 L4, 9-2 Last 3 Sundays
5-0 L5 G-Plays, 8-4 L12 Picks
6-0 Record Sunday, 4-1 L5 G-Plays
8-2 L10 NFL Guaranteed Plays
5-1 Guarantees TY, 9-4 L3 Sun.
4-1 G-Plays, 15-8 Overall TY
6-2 Sunday, 4-1 L5 G-Plays
6-1 Last 7 NFL Selections
7-2 L2 Sundays, 4-1 G-Plays TY
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10%
off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20%
off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000
Member Plays each month!