User ID
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Betting Tools

Opening Line Report - Week 9

New customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

Editor’s Note: Stephen Nover continues to dominate the NFL this year by hitting 62% of his selections for a profit of $1,180. Don’t miss out on his early winners this week. Click to win!

Yes, the Atlanta Falcons are improved. But are they good enough to be a road favorite?

Sure when the opponent is the Oakland Raiders.

Atlanta is laying a field goal to the Raiders, a team that only has covered 29 percent of the time during their past 44 home contests.

“The Falcons should be favored because they are the better team,” said Mike Seba, a senior oddsmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

This leads to the next question, which is are the Falcons favored by too much? LVSC’s opening line recommendation was Atlanta minus 2 ½.

The Falcons have to make a long trip and will be playing on grass, an off-surface for them. Atlanta has lost road games to Tampa Bay, Carolina and Philadelphia by a combined 43 points. The Falcons averaged 10.6 points versus these three clubs.

Oakland isn’t near as good as the Buccaneers, Panthers and Eagles. But the Raiders do have decent running backs and play hard on defense.

Certainly don’t look for the line to rise above three.

“The professionals all will be on Oakland at plus three,” Seba said. “The line can only go down.”

Arizona appears to be another risky road favorite. The Cardinals are 16-59 in their previous 75 away matchups. They are 9-23-1 against the spread during their past 33 non-division road contests.

But on Monday the Las Vegas Hilton had Arizona minus three at St. Louis.

“I can’t imagine giving the Rams three at home considering how well they’ve been playing,” Seba said. “This is a huge division game for them. Sometimes you can handicap just by looking at the standings and the Rams desperately need this game.

“There would be a lot of value catching three at home with the Rams.”

Seba was shocked by the Miami-Denver line. LVSC’s opening send-out was Denver minus six. Early money has been on Miami. The line currently is at Broncos minus 3 ½ or three.

The Dolphins are off a huge home division victory against Buffalo, while the Broncos were idle this past week. Seba admits his company, which supplies the betting numbers to many of Nevada’s hotels, was too low with its opening number on Miami-Denver. But he says the spot is ripe for the Broncos.

“It’s hard to repeat a supreme performance week-to-week, especially when going on the road,” Seba said. “Denver is off a loss and a bye. That’s a dangerous combination for Miami to overcome.”

The New York Giants were favored on Monday from 7 ½-to-nine points against Dallas at home. The line only would have been three if injured Tony Romo were at quarterback for the Cowboys, Seba said.

“Seven is the right number,” Seba said about the Cowboys-Giants matchup. “You can’t totally discount Dallas because of the quarterback injury.

“Even though it’s a division game, the Giants might not play at a high level because they could subconsciously let down knowing Dallas doesn’t have Romo. The Giants also are off a huge road win against Pittsburgh.”

Playing the physical Steelers also takes a toll the following week. Opponents who just got done meeting the Steelers this season are a combined 1-5 in their next game.

The biggest spread is Chicago laying 12 ½ or 13 at home to winless Detroit. LVSC’s opening number recommendation was Bears minus 11.

“It’s crazy to lay double-digits in the NFL,” Seba said. “People laying double-digits are why sportsbooks stay in business.”

Teams getting 9 ½ or more points this season are 10-2 (83 percent) against the spread.

Rogers: Saturday's Tip Sheet
Simo: Vegas Line Moves - Week 16
David: Total Talk - Week 16
Marshall: Tech Trends - Week 16
Akins: Gridiron Angles - Week 16
Rose: Sharp Moves - Week 16
Sportsbook: Eagles face must-win spot
Sportsbook: Chargers, 49ers clash in SF
Cowboys' Murray listed as questionable
Why Buy Picks From
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
5-2 Sun., 15-5 Thurs., +2,397 TY
4-2 Sunday, 15-7 +758 L22 Picks
9-1 L2 Sundays, 44-20 L64 Run
7-2 L9, 11-2 L4 Sundays, 16-6 L22
14-5 L11 Sundays, 23-10 Run
4-0 Sun., 10-3 Last 3 Sundays
13-3 Last 16 Over/Unders
5-0 L5 Guarantees, 13-4 L17 Totals
7-3 NFL Record Last Sunday
9-2 L11 G-Plays, 15-6 L21 Totals
8-4 Record Last 2 Sundays
14-7 L21 Guaranteed Plays
4-1 Week 15, 16-6 Guarantees TY
6-2 Last 8 Guarantees
4-0 Record Sunday
8-4 Last 12 Guarantees
4 Wins in a Row, +1,794 This Year
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks - Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 2397
Antony Dinero + 1794
The Gold Sheet + 1385
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 401
Stephen Nover + 400
Mark Franco + 400
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Doc's Sports 60 %
Bruce Marshall 59 %
The Gold Sheet 58 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 1071
Mike Rose + 935
Marc Lawrence + 745
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 1347
Hank Goldberg + 855
Bruce Marshall + 605
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 1274
The Gold Sheet + 1176
Kevin Rogers + 703
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
2014 VI College Bowl Betting Guide