User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Soccer
Boxing/MMA
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
Opening Line Report - Week 11

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

Editor’s Note: Stephen Nover is currently listed as the No. 1 handicapper (+1,420) on VegasInsider.com. Don’t miss out on his winning selections. Click to win!

Is this the week the Tennessee Titans finally suffer their first defeat?

Bettors thought it would happen two weeks ago when they wagered heavily against the Titans. Tennessee beat Green Bay in overtime. It was the only time the Titans haven’t covered all season.

Money came against the Titans this past weekend, too, but Tennessee beat Chicago on the road.

There’s a feeling the Titans won’t be so fortunate away from home again this Sunday. The Titans are three-point road favorites versus Jacksonville.

“Any time you take Tennessee now you’re taking a chance,” said Mike Seba, a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants. “The Titans actually could use a loss. They know they’re not going undefeated and the pressure has to be on the minds, especially when on the road.”

Advertisement
There was divided opinion among the LVSC oddsmakers on the Titans-Jaguars matchup. The lines ranged from Jacksonville minus one to Titans minus 2 ½. The company’s recommendation to its many Nevada hotel clients was Titans minus one.

Bookmakers felt they couldn’t put out Tennessee as more than a field goal favorite against the Jaguars, after the Titans were minus three last week against the Bears.

“I don’t think you give three to Jacksonville at home,” Seba said. “I wouldn’t be surprised if the line came down to 2 ½.

“Jacksonville is looking better. The Jaguars are getting healthier and absolutely have to have this game. Even though their record isn’t good, the Jaguars are a decent team. This is a good spot for them.”

The Jaguars looked great this past Sunday. But that was against winless Detroit. In their previous game, the Jaguars lost to the Cincinnati Bengals, which hadn’t won a game.

You know what you’re going to get from Tennessee – a low-scoring, conservative type of hard-hitting smash-mouth game. That’s Jacksonville’s style, too. The key is which Jacksonville team will show up?

“The Titans always comes to play, but it has to catch up to them at some point,” Seba said.

The San Diego Chargers are kind of the opposite of the Tennessee Titans. They generate all kinds of betting interest with the public but are rarely consistent. The Titans produce wins and covers, but haven’t caught on with many recreational bettors who continue to fade them.

The Chargers came within a missed two-point conversion of losing to Kansas City as 15-point home favorites on Sunday.

Yet bookmakers had Pittsburgh listed as only a 3 ½-point home favorite on Sunday against San Diego.

The LVSC oddsmakers believed that number to be short. Their send-out number was Steelers minus 4 ½. Seba said power rating-wise with home-field thrown in the Steelers could have been six-point favorites versus the Chargers.

“It has to be at least four,” he said about the Chargers-Steelers line. “I was thinking six if Willie Parker and Heath Miller are able to play.”

Whether it’s because of a lingering toe injury or what, it’s becoming obvious LaDainian Tomlinson has lost some of his burst and explosiveness. Pittsburgh ranks No. 1 in total defense, second in rush defense yielding 69.2 yards on the ground per game.

Seba also disagreed with those books that have Buffalo more than a four-point home favorite against Cleveland on Monday night, even though LVSC sent-out Bills minus 5 ½.

“No way can you lay all of those points with the Bills the way they are playing,” he said. “It’s just too many points.”

Buffalo is off consecutive division losses to the Dolphins, Jets and Patriots. The Bills only have four sacks in their last five games, desperately missing star pass rusher Aaron Schobel.

The Bills also have had trouble running the ball, rushing for just 90 yards during the past two weeks on 35 carries for a 2.5 average.

The Browns have three extra days rest and their offense seems to have picked up with the insertion of Brady Quinn at quarterback.

  
HEADLINES
Simo: Cowboys, Seahawks hurt books
Nelson: 4th Quarter Covers - Week 16
News: Betting Recap - Week 16
News: Win Total Update
Broncos have NFL-high 9 Pro Bowlers
Griffin III limited with sprained shoulder
Rookie Shaw excited about start for Browns
Dalton sick as Bengals get ready for Pitt
Packers, Steelers, Panthers choices to win
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
8-4 L2 Sundays, +2,162 TY
9-2 L11 Picks, 14-5 L3 Sundays
9-1 L2 Sundays, 15-4 L4 Sundays
13-2 L3 Sundays, 48-24 L72 Run
12-4 L5 Sundays, 19-8 L27 Picks
19-12 +763 L31, +1,339 TY
15-7 L12 Sundays, 26-12 Run
14-5 L19 Over/Under Plays
5-1 L6 Picks, 11-4 L2 Sundays
9-5 L14 G-Plays, 17-8 L25 Totals
4-0 Record Last Sunday
3-1 Sun., 15-7 L22 Guarantees
17-6 Guarantees This Year
7-2 L9 Picks, 6-2 L8 Guarantees
6-3 Record L2 Sundays
11-5 L16 Totals, 4-2 L6 G-Plays
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks - Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
2014 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 2162
Antony Dinero + 1378
Joe Williams + 1339
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Vince Akins + 680
Stephen Nover + 390
Jimmy Boyd + 370
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Doc's Sports 60 %
Bruce Marshall 58 %
The Gold Sheet 58 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mike Rose + 1035
Bruce Marshall + 966
Marc Lawrence + 735
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 1422
Hank Goldberg + 845
Brian Edwards + 444
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 1474
The Gold Sheet + 1381
Kevin Rogers + 693
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
2014 VI College Bowl Betting Guide