Premier League Matchday 38 Free Picks
Matchday 38 of the Premier League, the final day of the season will take place on Sunday May 19, 2024 and feature all 10 games being played at the same time - 11:00 a.m. ET.
Premier League Matchday 38 Odds
It's been a great season and we'll be looking to finish strong with our final five best bets of the 2023-24 Premier League campaign.
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Premier League Matchday 38 Free Picks
Sunday, May 19, 2024
Arsenal Win to Nil (+100)
Newcastle ML (+125)
Crystal Palace-Aston Villa Over 3.5 Goals (+106)
Liverpool Win and BTS (+110)
Tottenham Win and Over 3.5 Goals (+100)
ML - Moneyline
BTS - Both Teams to Score
Odds Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change
Premier League Matchday 38 Predictions
Arsenal vs. Everton
- Date: Sunday, May 19
- Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
- Location: London, England
Best Bet: Arsenal win to nil (+100)
The final match day of the season is the hardest to predict, as chaos can ensure. However, the expected goal data suggests this game is the likeliest of the 10 to see a win to nil and it’s hard to argue.
Arsenal winning and shutting out Everton has also been the outcome in the last two meetings, with the Blues already losing to nil at the rest of the top four this season.
With Everton the second lowest away scoring team in the Premier League and the Gunners not needing to chase a crazy scoreline, a routine home win to nil looks inevitable.
Brentford vs. Newcastle United
- Date: Sunday, May 19
- Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Brentford Community Stadium
- Location: London, England
Best Bet: Newcastle United ML (+125)
The race for European football is a complicated one, but Newcastle needs a win here in case Chelsea loses unexpectedly at home to Bournemouth and it can steal sixth spot.
It should collect the three points too. The Magpies have won the last four meetings of these clubs and the last three in the league at Brentford.
The Bees have nothing to play for beyond potentially moving up one space in the table. While the home side has had the week off, Newcastle created chances galore at Manchester United on Wednesday. Do the same here and it should win.
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, May 19
- Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Selhurst Park
- Location: London, England
Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals (+106)
This match should be fun. Both teams will be relaxed and looking forward to next season with optimism.
Aston Villa has secured Champions League football for 2024/25 while Crystal Palace has been the fourth best team in the Premier League across the 12-match period in which Oliver Glasner has been in charge.
The reverse fixture ended in a 3-1 home win at Villa Park in September, while Palace triumphed by the same scoreline at Selhurst Park last season and 3-2 the year before. There’s always a final day match with a ridiculous score line and this could easily be it.
Liverpool vs. Wolverhampton
- Date: Sunday, May 19
- Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Anfield
- Location: Liverpool, England
Best Bet: Liverpool Win and Both Teams to Score (+110)
And so to Jürgen Klopp’s last stand. The German leaves Liverpool with a third-place finish and a trophy, a season all but a couple of clubs would kill to enjoy.
The Reds are also third in the ‘both teams to score: yes’ table for 2023/24, with Wolverhampton tucked in joint-fourth, just behind them. The last meeting ended in a 3-1 Liverpool win, one of 15 victories this term in which it failed to keep a clean sheet, the joint most in the division.
With Wolves having nothing at stake, perhaps the Reds will send off their manager with a routine, low scoring win. But that wouldn’t be very Klopp, would it? Chaos reigns.
Sheffield United vs. Tottenham
- Date: Sunday, May 19
- Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Bramall Lane
- Location: Sheffield, England
Best Bet: Tottenham Win and Over 3.5 Goals (+100)
Sheffield United and Tottenham would be happier than they are if the Premier League were decided by total goals per game, as both would be in the top four.
The Blades are also joint-second for matches which paid out on Over 3.5 Goals. The problem has been that they have conceded an average of 2.7 per game themselves.
Spurs won the last Premier League meeting at Bramall Lane 3-1, and a similar outcome feels likely. Tottenham needs a point to secure fifth spot, and with Ange Postecoglou unimpressed with his club’s attitude in midweek, a fired up away team should get a win.
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