Champions League Semifinals Free Picks
The second legs of the UEFA Champions League Semifinals will conclude on Tuesday May 7, 2024 and Wednesday May 8, 2024.
Champions League Semifinals Odds
As we close out the semifinals, I'm back with my Best Bets, Score Predictions and Analysis for the two matches.
Time to finish strong!
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Champions League Semifinals Free Picks
Tuesday May 7, 2024
PSG-Borussia Dortmund Over 3.5 Goals (+128)
Wednesday May 8, 2024
Real Madrid ML (-107)
ML - Moneyline
BTS - Both Teams to Score
Odds Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change
Champions League Semifinals Predictions
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Borussia Dortmund
- Date: Tuesday, May 7
- Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Parc des Princes
- Location: Paris, France
Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals (+128)
Score Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 3 Borussia Dortmund 1 (+1100)
Our selection of Paris Saint-Germain to win in Germany last week largely failed because it hit the woodwork twice and squandered four Opta-defined big chances.
But Dortmund wasted some very good opportunities too. These teams have met three times this season, with the clashes seeing five goals scored from chances cumulatively valued at 10.7 expected goals.
While we can’t assume there will automatically be a reversion to the mean, PSG’s recent matches have been far higher scoring. The five prior to the first leg all featured at least five goals, while Over 3.5 Goals proved successful in five of the previous seven games at Parc des Princes.
We’ve seen some glorious chaos in Champions League semifinal second legs in recent years and this match could easily provide another example.
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich
- Date: Wednesday, May 8
- Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
- Location: Madrid, Spain
Best Bet: Real Madrid ML (-107)
Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2 Bayern Munich 1 (+800)
Bayern Munich has not played a Champions League semi-final away match with supporters since 2018. On that occasion it drew 2-2 at Real Madrid, the same scoreline as these teams produced last week.
It was one of Bayern’s better results in Spain in the knockout phase of this competition. In the last decade, it has played there seven times, losing on five occasions. Thomas Tuchel’s side has also lost at Lazio and drawn at Arsenal this season, while only having one win on the road against the rest of the current Bundesliga top seven.
A look at Real’s home record in 2023/24 compels you to back them to win here: played 24, won 20, drawn four. If you need another reason, this is a Champions League knockout tie. Winning them is just what they do, case closed.
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