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ACC Report - Week 11

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Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 11 from Joe Williams. Click to win!

It's Week 11, and thankfully I was able to get back on track with my ACC plays. I sat in chilly conditions at Wallace Wade Stadium with my Clemson buddy Matt, watching the Tigers offense move the ball up and down the field. It was also my guaranteed play of the weekend, so even though I was clad in my Duke blue, I can't say I was terribly disappointed.

Joe Williams's ACC Season Picks:
Period: 8/31/2012 to 11/3/2012
Pick Type: All Picks
Record: 20-12-0 ( 62.5% , +675)
PICK DETAILS
Week Record Total
Week 10 (Nov. 1-3) 3-1   Won (+ 200) 
Week 9 (Oct. 25-27) 0-4   Lost (- 445) 
Week 8 (Oct. 18-20) 2-0   Won (+ 200) 
Week 7 (Oct. 11-13) 0-0   - (+/-0) 
Week 6 (Oct. 4-6) 2-1   Won (+90) 
Week 5 (Sept. 27-29) 3-1  Won (+190) 
Week 4 (Sept. 19-22) 3-1  Won (+190) 
Week 3 (Sept. 13-15) 3-2  Won (+80) 
Week 2 (Sept. 6-8) 2-1  Won (+90) 
Week 1 (Aug. 31-Sept. 3) 2-1  Won (+80) 
Saturday - Notre Dame at Boston College (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
Notre Dame at Boston College
In future years when Notre Dame joins the ACC for all sports except for football, this game would count against their five-team requirement for the football schedule. Over the years, BC has been a thorn in the side of the Irish. When things have been good, average or bad in the past, the Eagles have really stepped up against the gold-domers. It might officially be considered their bowl game this season, especially since they were eliminated from bowl contention with a loss last week. An upset this time around would send shockwaves throughout the college football world. Notre Dame is just 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight games against a team with a losing record, and 1-4 ATS in their past five games in the month of November. BC has not been much better, though, going 5-13 ATS in their past 18 home games, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven overall. In addition, the dog is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings, but the road team is also 7-2 ATS in the span. So it might be a good idea to shy away from the spread. All signs appear to point to the under for the total. The under is 6-1-1 in ND's past eight road games, and 13-3 in their past 16 against the ACC. The under is 5-1 in BC's past six against Independents, 11-4 in their past 15 home games, and 34-16-1 in their past 51 overall. In the past five meetings, the under has cashed each time.
Saturday - Maryland at Clemson (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
Maryland at Clemson
This game has the potential to be a real beatdown, as no one except for Florida State has been able to slow the Clemson offense. The Terps are just 5-15 ATS in their past 20 games overall, and a dismal 2-9 ATS in their past 11 ACC contests. In addition, they are 0-5 ATS in the month of November, including a loss last week against Ga. Tech. Clemson, meanwhile, has covered six straight games, and they are 5-1 ATS in the past six against a team with a losing record. In this series, though, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings, and Maryland is 5-1 ATS in their past six visits to Clemson. However, that can mostly be thrown out the window, because those Maryland squads weren't likely using a linebacker at the quarterback position after losing their first three signal callers to season-ending injuries. Like the ND-BC game above, the under might be the play. The under is 5-0 in five straight meetings in this series at Clemson, and 10-2 in the past 12 meetings overall.
Saturday - Wake Forest at North Carolina State (GamePlan/ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
Wake Forest at North Carolina State
North Carolina State was embarrassed last weekend against ACC doormat Virginia at home, leading some Wolfpack faithful to howl for the dismissal of head coach Tom O'Brien. A loss this weekend, and it might punch his ticket to the unemployment line. Both of these teams come in searching for their sixth win of the season, so someone is going to finish the day eligible for one of the ACC's bowl bids. Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in the past five road games, but just 4-10 ATS in their past 14 against a team with a winning record. N.C. State is now just 1-4 ATS in their past five ACC games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five games overall. They've been a hard team to figure, as they were good enough to nip Florida State, but then lose to Virginia. The home team is 13-3 ATS in the past 16 meetings, but Wake is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings. It might be a good idea to get your action elsewhere, or just flip a coin.
Saturday - Georgia Tech at North Carolina (ACC Network/ESPN3, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Georgia Tech at North Carolina
The Tar Heels have been on a roll, covering seven straight games at Kenan Stadium. They are also a solid 4-1 ATS in their past five home games against a team with a losing road record. The Jackets haven't had a lot of success this season, going 2-6 ATS in their past eight games against a team with a winning record. They are also 4-9 ATS in their past 13 games following a bye week. The over has cashed in six of Ga. Tech's past seven games, and is 4-1 in their past five ACC games. The over is also 6-1 in UNC's past seven home games, and 4-1 in their past five overall. However, the under has cashed in four of the past five meetings between these sides in Chapel Hill.
Saturday - Miami (Fla.) at Virginia (/ANCESPN3, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game
Miami at Virginia
The Hurricanes blow into Charlottesville looking to continue their solid play. They blasted Virginia Tech last Thursday night at home, covering for the sixth straight conference game. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall. In addition, Miami is 6-2 ATS in their past eight road games, so they might be a very solid play in this one. Virginia stunned N.C. State on the road in Raleigh last week, piling up a huge lead and winning in surprising fashion. While Virginia is 4-1 ATS in their past five games in the month of November, the Cavaliers are just 1-5 ATS in their past six conference games, 1-8-1 ATS in their past 10 games on grass, and 1-9-1 ATS in their past 11 games overall. In addition, they are 0-5-1 ATS in their past six games at Scott Stadium.

  
HEADLINES
Edwards: Monday's Tip Sheet
Marshall: Tech Trends - Bowls
ASA: Big Ten Bowl Report - Part 2
News: 2014-15 Bowl Betting Results
USC holds off Nebraska at Holiday Bowl
ASU wins Sun Bowl, but Duke cashes
Penn State tops BC in OT at Pinstripe Bowl
S. Carolina tops UM in Independence Bowl
Virginia Tech routs Cincy in Military Bowl
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