Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Game 2 Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies will be on the road taking on the Atlanta Braves for game-two of the NLDS on Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:35 PM ET at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia and can be viewed on FOX.  

Updated on 05/09/2024

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PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PREDICTION

Philadelphia took game one of this series on Tuesday with a final score of 7-6. The offense was rolling for the Phillies with 12 total hits, seven runs, and an efficient 5-12 with runners in scoring position. The bullpen did an impressive job with keeping the Braves bats at bay. Starting pitcher Ranger Suarez went 3.1 innings while giving up three hits and one run. The other four pitchers used gave up a combined six hits and five runs to finish the game. The Phillies have now won three straight games and appear to have things figured out on both sides of the ball. The right-hander Zack Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) is expected to take the mound in game-two.  

Atlanta was the heavy favorite headed into game one but came up just short after getting off to a slow start. The offense started to come alive towards the end of the game and finished with nine hits, six runs, and went 2-9 with runners in scoring position. Throughout the season they were the highest scoring team with two outs on the board, but this was not the case in game-one as it felt like a man was left on third quite often in this matchup. Starting pitcher Max Fried had his worst start of the season, giving up eight hits and six runs in 3.1 innings of work. The other four pitchers used did a respectable job, holding the Phillies to four hits and one run. Right-handed pitcher Kyle Wright (12-5, 3.19 ERA) is scheduled to start on Wednesday.  

Both of these pitchers performed very well during the regular season and Wheeler looked great in his Wild Card outing. However, I think this one will come down to the relief/closers which is why I like the Braves here. As seen in game-one, the Phillies bullpen struggles after the starter is taken out. Had they not had a five run lead they would have blown it in the last two innings. Expect a close game until Wheeler is taken out and for the Braves to run away with it from there. 

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
Best Bet: Braves ML (-125)

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING ODDS

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PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Wednesday, October 12, 2022
• Matchup: NL East
• Venue: Truist Park
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Time-TV: 4:35 p.m. ET – FOX
• Expert Picks

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING ANALYSIS

After taking game one the Phillies are now 90-75 SU and 84-81 ATS. Philadelphia is 6-2 SU over their last eight games and 3-5 SU in their last eight games against Atlanta. The total has gone over in seven of their last eight games when playing an NL East opponent. Following this trend, the total has gone over in seven of their last 10 games played in October.  

Philadelphia’s offense has been on point since the playoffs began with 15 total runs scored over their last three games. Designated hitter Bryce Harper has been very efficient over their last three games, batting 5-10 including a 3-3 outing on Tuesday. The left fielder Kyle Schwarber is still trying to find a rhythm as he is 0-12 thus far in the playoffs including an 0-5 day on Tuesday. This team will be tough to beat if he can get his bat working while this offense is on a roll. The Phillies offense was great during the regular season with a batting average of .253 (8th), on base percentage of .317 (11th), slugging percentage of .317 (11th) and 747 runs scored (7th).  

The Phillies bullpen has given up 11 runs through their three playoff games, right on par with their season ERA of 3.97 (18th). Right-handed pitcher Wheeler is scheduled to start game-two of this series. Wheeler went 12-7 SU with an ERA of 2.82 this season and gave up 125 hits, 48 earned runs, and struck out 163 batters in 153.0 innings of work. Wheeler was great in his Wild Card outing against the Cardinals this past weekend, allowing two hits and zero runs in 6.1 innings. The starters have been solid for Philadelphia this season, but the relief crew has struggled at times and could cost them at some point this series. 

ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING ANALYSIS

After Tuesday’s loss the Braves are now 101-62 SU and 83-80 ATS. Atlanta is 8-4 SU over their last 12 games. They are also 13-2 SU in their last 15 home games and 4-2 SU in their last six games when playing at home against Philadelphia. The Braves have an O/U record of 5-5 over their last 10 games.  

Atlanta’s offense started slow against the Phillies on Tuesday, but things seemed to pick up for the Braves as the game progressed. The right-fielder Ronald Acuna, Jr. had an efficient game, going 3-4 on the day. The first baseman Matt Olson was also solid, going 3-3 on the day with one home run and three RBIs. The Braves' offense was one of the best in the league throughout the regular season with a batting average of .253 (9th), on base percentage of .317 (9th), slugging percentage of .443 (1st) and scored 789 runs (3rd). 

The Braves' bullpen was exceptionally good during the regular season but starter Fried struggled on Tuesday, allowing eight hits and six runs in just 3.1 innings. This was uncharacteristic for a guy who had an ERA of 2.48 during the regular season. The right-hander Wright is expected to start Wednesday. Wright went 21-5 SU with an ERA of 3.19 this season and gave up 156 hits, 64 earned runs, and struck out 174 batters in 180.1 innings of work. In his three outings agains the Phillies this season, Wright gave up a combined eight hits and six runs in 19.0 innings.  

KEY PLAYERS

• PHI: Bryce Harper - DH (Last Game: 3-3, 2B, R, BB)
• PHI: J.T. Realmuto - C (Last Game: 1-5, 2 R)
• ATL: Austin Riley - 3B (Last Game: 0-4, BB)
• ATL: Ronald Acuna, Jr. - OF (Last Game: 3-4, 2B, R, BB)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

• PHI: Zack Wheeler - RHP (-)
• ATL: Kyle Wright - RHP (-)