San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The San Diego Padres will travel to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers for Game 2 of the NLDS. First pitch is scheduled for 8:37 PM ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California and can be viewed on FS1.  

Updated on 05/09/2024

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SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PREDICTION

The Padres faced their first loss of the postseason after falling to the Dodgers in the series opener. The offense had seven hits and three runs on the day and went 0-4 with runners in scoring position. It doesn’t help that Juan Soto and Manny Machado were a combined 1-7 at the plate. Starting pitcher Mike Clevinger had a bad outing, going just 2 2/3 IP while giving up six hits and all five of the Dodgers runs. The other four pitchers used did not allow a hit or run. RHP Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) is expected to start Game 2.
  
Los Angeles picks up right where they left off in the regular season with a 5-3 win in Game 1. The offense did not have a whole lot of production with only six hits, but they were efficient going 3-8 RISP. Starter Julio Urias gave up four hits and three runs in 5 innings of work. Not a terrible outing considering how hot the Padres bats were in the Mets series. The other four pitchers used gave up a combined three hits and zero runs. Southpaw pitcher Clayton Kershaw (12-3, 2.28) is scheduled to take the mound Wednesday.  

The Dodgers have dominated the Padres this season, going 16-4 SU in 20 matchups. Darvish will give San Diego a chance in this one, but going against Kershaw is a tough ask. There is no value in playing the Dodgers ML with most books offering it right around -200. I’ll play the UNDER here, as I think we should see a low-scoring game with Darvish and Kershaw slinging the ball. 

Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Padres 3
Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-110)

SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING ODDS

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SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Wednesday, October 12, 2022
• Matchup: NL West
• Venue: Dodger Stadium
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Time-TV: 8:37 p.m. ET – FS1
• Expert Picks

SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING ANALYSIS

San Diego is 91-75 SU and 74-92 ATS this season. The Padres are 1-5 SU in their last six games against the Dodgers, and 2-15 SU in their last 17 games when playing the Dodgers on the road. The total has gone over in six of their last seven games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in five of their last six games on the road.
  
The Padres offense was cooking in their Wild Card series with the Mets, scoring 16 runs in three games. Soto was a solid 4-12 with two RBIs in the Wild Card round, but came up empty in Game 1 against the Dodgers, hitless in three at-bats. C Austin Nola has been having a solid postseason, going 5-11 with three RBIs. San Diego’s offense was middle of the road throughout the regular season with a batting average of .241 (16th), on base percentage of .318 (8th), slugging percentage of .382 (22nd) and scored 705 runs (13th).  

San Diego’s bullpen pitched well in the Wild Card round, holding the Mets to a combined one run in games one and three. Throughout the regular season they held opponents to a batting average of .232 (9th), had a WHIP of 1.20 (9th), and a team ERA of 3.81 (11th). Darvish is scheduled to take the mound Wednesday. Darvish went 16-8 with an ERA of 3.10 and gave up 148 hits, 67 earned runs, and struck out 197 batters in 194.2 innings. In his most recent outing against the Dodgers on September 2nd, Darvish went 7.0 innings and held the Dodgers two hits and zero runs.  

LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Dodgers are 112-51 SU and 98-65 ATS after Tuesday’s win. Los Angeles is 14-7 SU in their last 21 games and 15-2 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against San Diego. The total has gone under in eight of their last 11 games and four of their last six when playing at home. 

Los Angeles showed how efficient their offense is in Game 1 with only six hits on the day, but managing to drive in five runs. SS Trea Turner hit a solo home run in the first inning, but all other runs came from playing small ball. Throughout the regular season they were one of the best in the league with a batting average of .257 (4th), on base percentage of .333 (1st)), slugging percentage of .442 (2nd) and scored 847 runs (1st).  

The Dodgers bullpen runs deep and were great during the regular season with a WHIP of 1.05 (1st), team ERA of 2.80 (1st), and held opponents to a batting average of .209 (1st). Kershaw is expected to start Game 2. Kershaw went 12-3 SU with an ERA of 2.28 and gave up 96 hits, 32 earned runs, and struck out 137 batters in 126.1 innings of work. In his two outing against the Padres this season, Kershaw gave up a combined eight hits and one run in 12.0 innings.  

KEY PLAYERS

• SND: Manny Machado - 3B (Last Game: 1-4, K)
• SND: Juan Soto - RF (Last Game: 0-3, BB)
• LAD: Mookie Betts - CF (Last Game: 0-4, K)
• LAD: Freddie Freeman - 1B (Last Game: 0-3, BB, K)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

• SND: Yu Darvish - RHP
• LAD: Clayton Kershaw - LHP

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish