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Masters Props - Best Bets
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2018 Masters Prop Betting Preview

After touching on some of the guys I like to win the 2018 Masters yesterday, today I'm looking at the various prop bets offered for the Masters and see plenty of opportunity to make a few units. Taking head-to-head matchups, Top 10/20 position bets can be the lifeblood of your golf bankroll and there is no better time to pad a few units then the Masters.

With a limited field and the majority getting through the cut line, the Make/Miss Cut prop bets are always popular. Laying all that juice on the “yes” prop for making the cut is difficult unless you parlay a bunch of them together, there are a few on the “no” side that are too juicy to ignore. That's where I'm going to start this Masters prop piece:

Odds per -

Prop Bet(s) #1

To Make Cut: No

Branden Grace (+200)
Charley Hoffman (+190)
Rickie Fowler (+325)

Starting with a guy like Branden Grace may be a little odd considering he is 13 for 13 in making cuts during this wraparound 2017-18 season, Augusta is a place that's never really been too kind to him with three missed cuts in five tries. He's a guy that tends to be outclassed in a field like this when conditions are ideal as he doesn't really have the length or approach game to really compete at a course like Augusta. Three missed cuts in five years tells me that Grace and Augusta don't get along to well and at 2-1 odds on him missing a cut for yet another time is by no means a bad price.

Hoffman is a guy who has three straight years of Top 30's or better at Augusta, but he's been inconsistent all year long. Hoffman can't seem to string rounds together all that often this year and I'm sure there a lot of “what ifs” running through his mind about his 2015 run at Augusta that went sour over the weekend. Past success doesn't outweigh current form in this case and I don't think we see Hoffman on the weekend.

Finally there is Rickie Fowler. Fowler has basically assumed the title of best pro yet to win a Major out there and many are expecting him to break through this year. He is a guy that has collapsed on weekends in three straight events (six straight rounds in the 70's on Sat/Sunday) and I'm not even sure he gets to that point this week.

Fowler's 73-73 last weekend after storming out to the top of the leaderboard was highly disappointing and not the 'one off' that many may make it out to be in terms of looking ahead to Augusta. That's three straight weeks for Rickie of putting up bad weekend numbers, and prior to that he was +7 through two rounds of the Honda Classic to miss the cut. His game just simply isn't there at the moment, and with Augusta never being a place where he's finished in the Top 10, at +325 I'm betting he won't be in the Top 50 after two rounds.

Odds per -

Prop Bet(s) #2

Top 20 Finish: Yes

Francesco Molinari (+400)
Patrick Cantlay (+250)
Patrick Reed (+150)

Taking plus-money odds on Top 20 finishes for both Cantlay and Reed should come as no surprise given my piece yesterday on liking them to be in contention on Sunday, and if both of them do find themselves in the Top 20 race, these plays get me my units back on those winner wagers and gives me a freerolling spot to work with.

Molinari is a different case as he narrowly missed out on being in yesterday's piece as I do believe he's got the game to perform well here this week. Molinari only has one Top 20 in six career starts at Augusta (and it was a T19), but coming back with a T33 here a year ago after missing out on the 2015 and 16 events showed signs of promise. But it's been his play this year in a few areas that has me liking Molinari's chances of having a solid week.

Molinari ranks 5th in strokes gained off the tee this year and is 19th in strokes gained from tee-to-green. He's a solid scrambler and has the length to keep Augusta at arm's length, but it's his approach shots and putting that typically do him in this year. Those can be a big concern at Augusta at times, but if Molinari can continue to put himself in good places off the tee and make the best of his inconsistent iron game, maybe his putter gets hot here. It's not like we need him to dominate the field, just hang around in contention for four days and get a nice 4-1 payout.

Odds per -

Best Bet #3

Top 10 Finish: Yes

Jon Rahm (+175)

Rahm is another guy I left of my list of golfers to watch yesterday, but he is definitely live to go out and claim his first career major. He's got all the skills needed to excel at Augusta, and getting his first crack at it out of the way a year ago eliminates all those possible red flags that can come up for Masters first timers with Rahm.

Rahm's length off the tee is going to be a big advantage over most in this field, and like Molinari, Rahm needs to keep it together with his approach shots and not lose control with the putter. Experience at Augusta tends to dominate the narratives, but we did see Spieth win it here on his second try and the younger guys on Tour are really taking over these days. Rahm needs to put his name in the mix with a Major victory and this +175 price gives us some wiggle room should he find a way to come up short.

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