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Win Total Update

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The 2014 pro baseball regular season is coming to a close as teams enter the final quarter of the 162-game season. Before the season began the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino SuperBook (LVH) posted win totals for all 30 teams.

Prior to the All-Star break in late June, we looked at the win totals and forecasted the pace for every team in the majors. To figure out a team’s pace, you take their win percentage and multiply by 162. (Ex. Baltimore Orioles are on pace to win 97 games (162 x .576) based on their record as of Sept. 15)

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In the below table, we looked at the latest projections and you can see that certain teams have turned up the heat in the past six weeks while other clubs have melted away in the summer.

In late June, the Giants and Brewers were on a torrid pace to win close to 100 games. As of mid-September, San Francisco is projected to win 89 games while Milwaukee is on pace for 84 victories.

Other clubs that have struggled in the second-half are the Rockies and Rangers, who are both on pace to have more than 90 losses.

Even though San Diego and Tampa Bay won’t be playing in the playoffs this October, the two teams have been very competitive in the second-half.

The Padres were projected to go ‘under’ their win total of 78 ½ at the midway point and now they’re on pace to win 74 games, as San Diego stumbled over the past month. Despite the Rays’ second-half surge, they’ll likely go ‘under’ their season win total (87 ½).

Contenders that have picked up the pace the past eight weeks include Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Washington.

Listed below are the win totals from the LVH, plus projections for each team from the midway point (6/23/14) and as of Sept. 15, 2014.

National League Win Totals
Team Win Total All-Star Pace Current Pace Projected Result
Arizona 80 65 66
Atlanta 88 82 81
Chicago Cubs 68.5 68 71
Cincinnati 84 81 77
Colorado 75.5 73 64
L.A. Dodgers 93.5 88 92
Miami 69 79 78
Milwaukee 79.5 98 84
N.Y. Mets 73.5 74 78
Philadelphia 76.5 74 75
Pittsburgh 84.5 80 86
San Diego 78.5 68 74
San Francisco 85.5 97 89
St. Louis 91.5 87 89
Washington 88.5 85 93
Projected Result Key:     Over Under Even
American League Win Totals
Team Win Total All-Star Pace Current Pace Projected
Baltimore 80 85 97
Boston 87.5 74 71
Chicago White Sox 76.5 74 74
Cleveland 80.5 79 83
Detroit 89.5 90 90
Houston 62.5 69 72
Kansas City 82 84 89
LA Angels 88 89 101
Minnesota 70.5 79 68
NY Yankees 86.5 85 83
Oakland 89.5 100 90
Seattle 80 85 88
Tampa Bay 87.5 65 78
Texas 87 75 62
Toronto 79.5 88 84
Projected Result Key:     Over Under Even



  
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