NASCAR 4EVER 400 Picks, Predictions

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

Only three races remain in the NASCAR playoffs before a new champion is crowned. Things head to south Florida on Sunday afternoon to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the 4EVER 400 (formerly the Dixie Vodka 400).

Kyle Larson captured the checkered flag at Las Vegas last week and is also the defending champion at Homestead. Larson went wire-to-wire at the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 by leading for 199 laps, while taking each of the first two stages for his career win at that track.

Eight drivers have a shot at the title, as Larson leads the way with William Byron, Martin Truex, Jr., and Denny Hamlin right behind through seven playoff races.

4EVER 400 TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #19 Martin Truex, Jr. (+550)
2) #8 Tyler Reddick (6/1)
3) #3 Austin Dillon (250/1)
4) #5 Kyle Larson (+250)
5) #24 William Byron (8/1)

4EVER 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS

Truex, Jr. captured the pole for Sunday's race as he seeks his first win since mid-July at New Hampshire.

The driver of the #19 Toyota went through a six-race stretch from July through August finishing in the Top-7, but Truex, Jr. has placed in the Top-10 only once in the last eight races.

Homestead has been good to Truex recently as he owns five finishes of sixth or higher in the last six years, including a victory in 2017.

Tyler Reddick is chalky at 6/1 as he makes his fourth appearance at Homestead. Last year didn't work out too well for him as he crashed and finished 35th.

But in Reddick's first two races in Homestead, he placed 4th in 2020 and 2nd in 2021, so as long as he finishes the race, he has an excellent shot for a Top-5 placement.

Austin Dillon is a longshot at 250/1, but the driver of the #3 Chevrolet has a nice track record at Homestead. Dillon has placed in the Top-8 in three of the last four races at Homestead, including a 4th-place finish in 2022.

4EVER 400 BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023
Venue: Homestead-Miami Speedway
Location: Homestead, Florida
Distance: 400.5 miles
Laps: 267
Network-Time: NBC - 2:30 p.m.
Defending Champion: Kyle Larson

4EVER 400 BETTING ODDS

• Kyle Larson +250
• Martin Truex, Jr. +550
• Tyler Reddick +600
• Ryan Blaney +600
• William Byron +800
• Denny Hamlin +1000
• Bubba Wallace +1400
• Christopher Bell +1600
• Ross Chastain +1600
• Brad Keselowski +1800
• Kevin Harvick +2000
• Kyle Busch +2500
• Chris Buescher +2800
• Chase Elliott +2800
• Alex Bowman +3500
• Ty Gibbs +4000
• Joey Logano +5000
• Daniel Suarez +10000
• Erik Jones +10000
• Austin Cindric +10000
• A.J. Allmendinger +12500
• Austin Dillon +25000
• John Nemechek +25000
• Michael McDowell +25000
• Aric Almirola +30000
• Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +30000
• Chase Briscoe +40000
• Justin Haley +50000
• Ryan Preece +75000
• Harrison Burton +75000
• Ryan Newman +150000
• Corey Lajoie +150000
• Todd Gilliand +200000
• J.J. Yeley +300000
• Josh Bilicki +300000
• Ty Dillon +300000

4EVER 400 WINNERS

• 2022 - Kyle Larson
• 2021 - William Byron
• 2020 - Denny Hamlin
• 2019 - Kyle Busch
• 2018 - Joey Logano
• 2017 - Martin Truex, Jr.
• 2016 - Jimmie Johnson
• 2015 - Kyle Busch
• 2014 - Kevin Harvick
• 2013 - Denny Hamlin

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers