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MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY...Cats 4-9 vs. spread last 13 on board since mid 2010. UK just 4-12 against line last 16 as SEC host. MSU has won and covered last two visits to Lexington. |
MSU, based on recent UK woes. |
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UAB at MARSHALL...UAB on surprising five-game cover streak. Blazers 6-3 against number last nine on road. Herd just 2-4 vs. spread as chalk since LY, but has won and covered last two years vs. UAB. |
UAB, based on recent trends. |
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CENTRAL MICHIGAN at AKRON...CMU 1-7 vs. line TY, now 3-13 vs. spread last 15 for Dan Enos. Chips also 1-5 last 6 as chalk. |
Slight to Akron, based on recent CMU woes. |
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BALL STATE at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Ball State 24-8 vs. line last 32 reg. season away from home, but 2-2 in role TY. Cards 9-1 vs. spread last 10 as MAC road dog. Ball had covered 5 of 6 in series prior to LY's 45-16 loss. Broncos have won and covered last five at Waldo Stadium, however. |
Slight to Ball State, based on extended road mark. |
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WAKE FOREST at NORTH CAROLINA...Wake 2-7 vs. spread last 9 away, but Heels only 2-5 against number last 7 at Chapel Hill. |
Slight to Wake, based on team trends. |
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NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE...Wolfpack has covered last six in series and is unbelievable 9-0-1 vs. spread last 10 in series! Tom O'Brien 1-1 as dog TY and 23-12-1 in role since arriving at NCS in 2007. |
NCS, based on team trends. |
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CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH...Ugh! Dabo has covered last six TY and is 7-1 vs. line in 2011. Dabo has also covered last four as visitor. Jackets have dropped last three vs. spread after covering first five TY. |
Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends. |
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IOWA at MINNESOTA...Floyd of Rosedale! Gophers have covered 4 of last 5 Floyd battles, but they've dropped last 4 vs. line TY. Iowa no covers last five as reg.-season visitor. |
Slight to Iowa, based on current trends. |
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MICHIGAN STATE at NEBRASKA...Huskers no covers first four at home TY and now 2-8 vs. line last 10 at Lincoln. Dantonio just 3-10 his last 13 as dog (1-1 TY). Dantonio 15-10 vs. spread away from East Lansing since 2007. |
Slight to MSU, based team trends. |
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NORTHWESTERN at INDIANA...Hoosiers have covered last three in series. Fitzgerald 2-7 as road chalk since 2007, Cats 5-19 last 24 as chalk overall. IU on 6-1 spread uptick at Bloomington. |
Indiana, based on series and team trends. |
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PURDUE at MICHIGAN...Purdue has covered last three in series, and Boilermakers slightly rallying vs. number with 4-1 mark last 5 TY. Wolverines were 2-9 vs. spread last 11 as host vs. FBS foes prior to TY. |
Slight to Purdue, based on series trends. |
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ILLINOIS at PENN STATE...Zook 4-1 vs. line against Shades since 2006. Zook 11-5 last 16 as dog. Shades 2-6 vs. spread TY and 2-8 last 10 vs. line since late 2010. |
Illinois, based on team and series trends. |
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VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE...Beamer has had at least one three-game or more cover streak in eight of the past ten seasons. Beamer 32-14 vs. line away from home since 2004, 23-10 last 33 as road chalk. |
VT, based on team trends. |
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WEST VIRGINIA at RUTGERS...Road team 5-0-1 vs. line last six meetings. Mountaineers just 4-3 vs. line after SU loss since 2009 and have won five straight at East Brunswick. |
Slight to WVU, based on series road trends. |
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SYRACUSE at LOUISVILLE...Syracuse had covered five straight in series prior to LY's 28-20 loss. Cuse was 6-1 vs. line away from home LY but is 0-2 in role to date TY. Cards 8-19 vs. points at home post-Bobby Petrino (since 2007) and have failed to cover last three hosting Orange. |
Syracuse, based on team and series trends. |
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BOSTON COLLEGE at MARYLAND...Spaziani has lost and failed to cover 3 of last 4 vs. Maryland. Edsall only 2-5 vs. line TY and has dropped last four spread decisions at College Park, but he was 19-6 his last 25 vs. line as host at UConn. |
Slight to Maryland, based on series trends. |
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OLE MISS at AUBURN...Houston Nutt 8-2 as road dog since arriving at Oxford in 2008. Tigers 0-2 laying DDs this season for Chizik. |
Ole Miss, based on team trends. |
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ARKANSAS at VANDERBILT...Commodores have covered first two SEC home games TY after dropping previous 10 vs. number. Petrino 25-11 vs. line last 36 spread decisions. |
Slight to Arkansas, based on extended trends. |
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KANSAS at TEXAS...Jayhawks 2-8 vs. line the last ten years in game following Kansas State. KU 3-9 vs. number last 12 away from home, and no covers last three in series vs. Longhorns. Mack only 2-8 vs. line at Austin since beating KU by 51-20 count in 2009. |
Texas, based on KU negatives. |
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BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE...BG 22-11 vs. spread away since 2007. Hazell only 1-6 vs. line in 2011, and Flashes 2-9 last 11, 4-13 last 17 vs. number since early 2010. Revenge for BG after 30-6 loss LY. |
BG, based on team trends. |
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AIR FORCE at NEW MEXICO...Lobos 11-20 vs. line since 2009, 5-10 at home vs. line against FBS foes since 2009. Falcs had covered six straight vs. UNM prior to LY's 48-23 win but no cover. |
Air Force, based on team and series trends. |
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SMU at TULSA...SMU had covered six straight in series prior to LY's 21-18 win and non-cover in Dallas. |
SMU, based on extended series trends. |
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COLORADO at ARIZONA STATE...CU no covers last 5 TY. ASU 12-4 vs. line last 16 vs. FBS foes. |
ASU, based on team trends. |
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TULANE at EAST CAROLINA...Wave on 9-25-1 spread slide since late 2008, but now moving on post-Bob Toledo. |
Slight to ECU, based on Tulane negatives. |
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MISSOURI at TEXAS A&M...Pinkel 4-1 as dog the past two years after 3-6 mark as "short" the previous three years. Mizzou 12-6 vs. spread as true visitor since 2007. Aggies 15-6 vs. line last 21 at home and in revenge mode after 30-9 loss to Tigers LY. |
Slight to A&M, based on team trends. |
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IOWA STATE at TEXAS TECH...Revenge for TT after 52-38 loss at Ames LY, and Tuberville 5-2 vs. line last seven at Lubbock. |
Slight to TT, based on recent trends. |
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BUFFALO at MIAMI-OHIO...Buffalo had covered four straight in series until Miami's 21-9 win LY. Red Hawks 4-12 last 16 as chalk (though 4-2 last 6). |
Slight to UB, based on extended trends. |
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NAVY at NOTRE DAME...Midshipmen have won 3 of last 4 SU vs. Irish after record 43-game series losing streak between 1964-2006. Mids, however, have made a habit out of covering at South Bend, covering 10 straight visits since 1991. Mids 2-0 as dog TY, 11-2 in role since '09. Irish 11-26-3 vs. line at home since late '05. |
Navy, based on team and series trends. |
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GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...Gators are 17-3 SU and 13-6-1 vs. line in what used to be the World's Biggest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Florida no wins or covers last three TY. |
Slight to Florida, based on extended series trends. |
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SAN JOSE STATE at LOUISIANA TECH...SJS covers in last three and five of last six TY. But LT is 9-4 vs. line last 13 at Ruston vs. FBS foes, and 31-17 vs. spread at Joe Aillet Stadium since 2000. |
LT, based on extended trends. |
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MEMPHIS at UCF...UCF fading with no covers last 5 TY after O'Leary's 22-6 spread mark in previous 28 on board. Hard to like Memphis, however, and its 10-22 spread mark last 31 on board. |
UCF, based on extended trends. |
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HAWAII at IDAHO...Idaho 1-6 vs. line last 7 vs. Hawaii since 2004. Vandals have now dropped last nine vs. line against WAC foes at Kibbie Dome. |
Hawaii, based on Idaho home WAC woes. |
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COLORADO STATE at UNLV...Rebs are 6-1 vs. spread at Sam Boyd Stadium vs. FBS foes since Bobby Hauck took over LY. Home teams are 16-2 vs. spread in UNLV games vs. FBS foes since LY. CSU 1-8 vs. line last 9 on board, 7-18 last 25 overall, and 3-12 last 15 away. |
UNLV, based on team trends. |
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OREGON STATE at UTAH...Utes now no covers last five at Salt Lake City since late LY. Mike Riley 21-7 last 28 as dog. |
OSU, based on team trends. |
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CAL at UCLA...Neuheisel 0-3 SU and vs. line against Tedford, no result closer than 19 points. Neuheisel 5-14 vs. line since 2010, and 1-9 last 10 on board. Cal 0-3 vs. line away TY and 10-21 last 31 in role. |
Cal, based on series trends and UCLA woes. |
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ARIZONA at WASHINGTON...Huskies 9-2 SU and vs. spread last 11 since late 2010. Cats only 2-5 vs. line last 7 away. |
UW, based on recent trends. |
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WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON...Ducks have won last four in series by wide margins but didn't cover LY at Pullman. Ducks 9-3 vs line last 12 vs. Pac-12 foes at Eugene. |
Slight to UO, based on team trends. |
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SOUTH CAROLINA at TENNESSEE...UT has covered 4 of last 5 in series, although Vols just 2-6 vs. spread since late 2010. Gamecocks just 4-9 vs. line last 13 away from Columbia. |
Slight to UT, based on series trends. |
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OKLAHOMA at KANSAS STATE...Note that Bill Snyder is 4-1 vs. line his last five against Bob Stoops. KSU on 6-game cover streak TY and Snyder now 12-5 as dog since returning to Wildcat sidelines in 2009. |
KSU, based on Bill Snyder trends. |
at  |
BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA STATE...OSU has annihilated Baylor each of the past five seasons. Gundy 16-4 vs. line since 2010, although surprisingly 6-4 at home compared to 10-0 away! Bears 0-2 SU and vs. line away TY and 3-7 against number last 10 away from home. |
OSU, based on team and series trends. |
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WISCONSIN at OHIO STATE...Even with MSU loss, Bielema 12-2 vs. line since mid 2010. |
Wisconsin, based on team trends. |
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SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP...Miners on surprising 6-game cover streak at moment, and UTEP 9-4 vs. spread as Sun Bowl dog since Mike Price arrived in 2004. USM has covered last 5 TY and 8-3 last 11 on board since late 2010. |
UTEP, based on team trends. |
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STANFORD at SOUTHERN CAL...Stanford actually 4-3 SU and 5-1 vs. line last 6 at Coliseum since 2009. Tree was 3-2 SU and 4-1 vs. line at Coliseum against Pete Carroll. Tree on 10-game cover streak and 12-1 last 13 vs. spread. Kiffin just 2-7-1 vs. spread as host since LY. |
Stanford, based on team trends. |
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NEVADA at NEW MEXICO STATE...DeWayne Walker 3-12 vs. line at Las Cruces since 2009, though Aggies on 4-game cover streak at moment. |
Nevada, based on team trends. |
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WYOMING at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs 6-3 against points at home since LY (2-1 TY). Wyoming 10-5 vs. line away since Dave Christensen arrived in 2009. |
Slight to Wyo, based on team trends. |