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Tech Trends - Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 17
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer no covers last four at home TY. Heels, however, just 1-3 vs. line away in 2011, and 0-2 as dog TY. Beamer has covered his last home game each of the past seven years. VPI, based on team trends.
at MARSHALL at MEMPHIS...Home team has failed to cover last four in series (0-3-1). Tigers only 3-12 vs. line at home vs. FBS foes since 2009. arshall, based on Memphis home woes.
at SOUTHERN MISS at UAB...Revenge spot for Golden Eagles after OT loss vs. UAB LY. USM 7-1 vs. line last 8 TY. USM, based on recent trends.

Friday, Nov. 18
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at TOLEDO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU continues to lose vs. spread, now 0-6 last 6 and 1-10 vs. number TY, 3-16 last 19 on board. Toledo, based on CMU negatives.
at OKLAHOMA STATE at IOWA STATE...OSU has now covered 11 straight on road and 17-5 vs. points overall since LY. Cyclones only 3-6 last 9 vs. line as host. OSU, based on team trends.

Saturday, Nov. 19
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at MINNESOTA at NORTHWESTERN...Go-Go Gophers have covered 5 of last 6 meetings. But Cats have won and covered big their last two TY as chalk. Slight to NU, based on recent trends.
at WISCONSIN at ILLINOIS...Zook only 5-15 against line last 20 at Champaign-Urbana, though Zook is 10-2 his last 12 as dog. Bielema 14-3 vs. spread last 17 since late 2010. UW, based on team trends.
at IOWA at PURDUE...Ferentz no covers last five as road chalk since early LY. Danny Hope 4-2 as home dog at Purdue since 2009. Purdue, based on recent Iowa road chalk woes.
at INDIANA at MICHIGAN STATE...MSU only 8-8 as home chalk since '09, and 2-4 last six laying DD. IU has covered its last two as Big Ten dog for Wilson. Slight to IU, based on recent trends.
at LOUISVILLE at CONNECTICUT...Cards continuing their road magic, now covering four straight away TY and six straight since late LY, as well as 8 of 9 since Charlie Strong took over in 2010. Louisville, based on road trends.
at GEORGIA TECH at DUKE...GT has won last seven SU from Duke and had covered five straight vs. Blue Devils prior to 30-20 non-covering win LY. GT, based on team trends.
at MARYLAND at WAKE FOREST...Terps no wins or covers last fiver or eight of last nine TY. Revenge for Grobe after humiliating 62-14 loss to Ralph Friedgen LY. Wake, based on recent Terp woes.
at VIRGINIA at FLORIDA STATE...Canes 1-4 last five on board the game following Miami. Cavs have won and covered last two on road TY for Mike London. Slight to Va, based on team trends.
at CLEMSON at NC STATE...Curious series trend in which the road team has covered the last six meetings. But Tom O'Brien 24-10 vs. points in last six games of reg.-season onward since arriving at NCS in 2007. Slight to NCS, based on team trends.
at AKRON at BUFFALO...Bulls 1-6-1 last 8 on board as chalk vs. FBS foes. But Zips only 5-12 against line last 17 as visitor. Slight to Akron, based on team and recent series trends.
at KENTUCKY at GEORGIA...Joker 1-8 vs. spread last 9 away from Lexington. Mark Richt on 7-1 spread uptick last 8 TY. Georgia, based on recent trends.
at VANDERBILT at TENNESSEE...Dores have covered last three trips to Neyland Stadium. In fact the home team has failed to cover the last six series meetings. Dores have covered last 5 TY and 8 of 10 in 2011. Vandy, based on series and team trends.
at TEXAS TECH at MISSOURI...Texas Tech "over" 8 of last 10 since late 2010. Tuberville only 3-5 as dog since arriving at TT LY. "Over" and slight to Mizzou, based on "totals" and team trends.
at EASTERN MICHIGAN at KENT STATE... Ron English has covered 5 of his last 6 as visitor for EMU and 4 of last 5 on MAC trail. Slight to EMU, based on road mark.
at ARMY at TEMPLE...Black Knights just 1-4 vs. line as visitor TY. Temple has won and covered last three meetings, but Owls no covers last three TY. Slight to Temple, based on series trends.
at NEW MEXICO at WYOMING...UNM 8-14 against spread since LY. Dave Christensen has covered last 4 TY and is 20-13 against number since arriving at Laramie in 2009. Wyo, based on UNM negatives.
at NEW MEXICO STATE at BYU...Ags 12-6 against spread on road for Walker since 2009. Cougs on 4-game spread win streak and 11-4 against spread last 15 since late LY. Slight to NMSU, based on DeWayne Walker road marks.
at TULSA at UTEP...Tulsa four straight covers TY. Golden Hurricane 9-1 against points last ten on road. Miners 15-26 vs. line from their sixth game of reg. season onward since 2005. Tulsa, based on team trends.
at TULANE at RICE...Physical battle at Rice Stadium. Wave 10-26-1 its last 37 games on board since mid 2008, also 5-12-1 last 18 on road. Owls 7-1 vs. spread last 8 as host, and are 7-2 as home chalk since 2007 and 9-2 as chalk anywhere since 2007. Rice, based on team trends.
at KANSAS at TEXAS A&M...A&M on 1-8 spread slide (1-6 as chalk) at moment. Slight to KU, based on recent A&M woes.
at UTAH at WASHINGTON STATE...Utes 9-4-1 vs. spread last 14 away from Salt Lake City. Slight to Utah, based on team trends.
at LSU at OLE MISS...Les Miles has now won and covered his last six away from home. Surprisingly, however, Rebs have covered 8 of last 10 in this old rivalry that includes some all-time classics (Billy Cannon 1959, etc.). But Rebs 2-7 last 9 vs. number and 4-12 last 16 against spread. LSU, based on team trends.
at COLORADO STATE at TCU...Rams 2-7 vs. line TY, 5-13 last 18 away, 8-19 last 27 on board since early 2009. CSU 2-6 vs. spread last 8 against TCU since 2002. TCU, based on CSU negatives.
at WASHINGTON at OREGON STATE...Another series Mike Riley has owned, winning last 6 and covering last 7 vs. Huskies. Riley 21-10 last 31 as dog (though 0-3 last two). U-Dub only 4-8 as road chalk since 2000. OSU, based on series trends and Riley marks.
at ARIZONA at ARIZONA STATE...Territorial Cup! Used to be a big road series but not as much lately. Cats just 5-13 last 18 vs. line since mid 2010. Dennis Erickson 8-4 last 12 on line at home. ASU, based on team trends.
at CAL at STANFORD...Big Game! Cal has covered 4 of last 5 at Palo Alto and is 7-3 vs. line last 10 Big Games. Tedford no covers last seven on road. Stanford, based on recent trends.
at NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN...Bo Pelini 5-1 last 6 as underdog, Brady Hoke 4-1 vs. line at home TY, 8-3 as host at SDSU & Michigan since LY. Slight to Michigan, based on Brady Hoke home marks.
at COLORADO at UCLA...Buffs no covers last 7 TY and 0-10 vs. spread last ten as visitor. Neuheisel has won and covered last two at Rose Bowl TY but still only 2-3 vs. line at home in 2011 and 0-2 as chalk TY. UCLA, based on Colorado road woes.
at UCF at EAST CAROLINA...O'Leary has covered last 3 vs. ECU but covered as a SU losing dog in two of those. UCF 2-6 vs. points last 8 TY. ECU, based on recent UCF woes.
at PENN STATE at OHIO STATE...OSU has won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. PSU 3-9 vs. line last 11 on board since late LY. Ohio State, based on team and series trends.
at CINCINNATI at RUTGERS...Cincy has mostly handled Rutgers, winning last five SU and covering four of those. Cincy, based on series trends.
at KANSAS STATE at TEXAS...Bill Snyder has won last three and covered last four vs. Texas dating back to 2003. Snyder 4-0 vs. line away TY and has covered 7 of last 8 in 2011. Snyder 14-6 as dog since returning to KSU sidelines in 2009. KSU, based on team and series trends.
at BOSTON COLLEGE at NOTRE DAME...Eagles won 6 in a row in series from 2001-08 and covered in narrow 20-16 loss in '09 before LY. Spaziani a bit tougher on road than at home lately (2-2 vs. spread away TY, 7-3 since LY). BC, based on series trends.
at NAVY at SAN JOSE STATE...Mids 9-3 vs. number last 12 away from Annapolis, although Spartans 4-1 against spread last 5 as home dog. Navy, based on road mark.
at LA TECH at NEVADA...Chris Ault 23-8 vs. line as Reno chalk since returning to Wolf Pack sidelines in 2004. Ault 6-0 SU, 5-1 vs. line against Bulldogs since 2005, or since he lost his first game back as Nevada coach in 2004 opener. Note Sonny Dykes' 5 straight covers TY and 5-0 mark as dog in 2011. Slight to Nevada, based on series and Ault home trends.
at UTAH STATE at IDAHO...Vandals 1-9 vs. line last 10 vs. WAC foes at home. Utags have won and covered last two at Kibbie Dome and are 13-5-1 last 19 vs. spread on road. USU, based on team trends.
at UNLV at AIR FORCE...Rebs have lost 14 straight on road (1-13 vs. line). Falcs, however, have dropped last 7 (0-6 TY) and 9 of last 10 vs. spread at home, although AFA has won and covered last four as host vs. UNLV. AFA, based on series home trends.
at SMU at HOUSTON...Cougs have covered last five TY and have also won last five SU vs. SMU, covering the last two. June Jones 4-7 last 11 and 7-12 last 19 on board with SMU, he's also 1-3 as dog TY and 2-5 in role since LY in what was once a good role for him. UH, based on recent trends.
at MISSISSIPPI STATE at ARKANSAS (at Little Rock)...Home team had covered eight straight in this series until Arkansas won at Starkville LY. Hogs have won and covered last four as series host. Petrino 18-5 last 23 vs. line as host. Arkansas, based on team and series home trends.
at MIAMI-FLORIDA at SOUTH FLORIDA...Canes are 1-5 vs. line last six right after facing Florida State. Skip 5-3 as dog at USF and 28-12 in role since 2005 at ECU & USF. Miami 8-16 as road chalk since 2005. USF, especially if dog, based on team trends.
at OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR...Note that visiting team has covered last six meetings. Bob Stoops 6-2 vs. number last 8 away from Norman. Baylor, however, has covered first four at home TY. OU, based on series trends.
at SOUTHERN CAL at OREGON...Note SC 0-5 SU and vs. line in state of Oregon since 2006 (0-3 at OSU, 0-2 at Oregon). Ducks have won and covered 3 of last 4 vs. SC and are 20-11 last 31 on board at Autzen Stadium. Lane Kiffin 7-2 vs. spread last nine away from home with Trojans. Oregon, based on series trends.
at BOISE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Broncs still 12-2 against line last 14 away from blue carpet. Rocky Long no covers last 3 at home TY. Boise, based on road trends.
at FRESNO STATE at HAWAII...Bulldogs have won and covered last three at Aloha Stadium in a very pronounced road series, with visiting team covering last six meetings. Pat Hill 11-6 as road dog since 2007. Fresno, based on team and series road trends.

Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at FLORIDA ATLANTIC at TROY...Neither too good lately, FAU 2-7 vs. line TY, 2-12 last 14, and 3-16 last 19 for Schnellenberger. Owls have lost and failed to cover 5 of 6 vs. Troy since 2004. But Trojans 7-15 against points since 2010. Troy, based on FAU woes.
at WESTERN KENTUCKY at NORTH TEXAS...WKU on 7-game cover streak! But Mean Green has won and covered handily last three meetings. Slight to WKU, based on recent trends.
at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at UL-MONROE...ULM has covered last five meetings. ULM, based on team and series trends.
at ARKANSAS STATE at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...Red Wolves sizzling 8-2 vs. line TY and 14-6 last 20 on board. MTSU 0-4 vs. line at home TY and 2-8 vs. spread at Murfreesboro since Ark State, based on team trends.

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