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PENN STATE at VIRGINIA...Bill O'Brien road debut! Nittany Lions, just 1-5-1 vs. spread away from home LY and 4-9-1 in role since 2010. PSU also just 2-7-1 as dog the past two seasons. UVa not a lot better as home chalk LY (1-3-1), although Mike London is 4-3-1 as home favorite since 2010. |
Slight to UVa, based on Penn State road negatives. |
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INDIANA at UMASS...Very rare road chalk role for IU (1-3 since 2007), although the Hoosiers have covered 7 of 12 away from Bloomington the past two years. |
Slight to IU, based on team trends. |
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AIR FORCE at MICHIGAN...While at SDSU, Brady Hoke was 1-1 SU vs. Air Force but managed spread covers in each. Troy Calhoun 5-1 vs. line away LY and 20-13 vs. spread on road since taking over in 2007, but he's only 2-4 as DD road dog that span. Wolverines 5-2 vs. line at Big House LY and also 5-2 vs. spread vs. non-Big Ten foes in Ann Arbor the past two years. |
Slight to Air Force, based on team trends. |
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NEW MEXICO STATE at OHIO...DeWayne Walker 9-5 vs. line since last season. Frank Solich 1-4 as home chalk LY and 0-3 vs. line laying DDs at Athens in 2011. |
NMSU, based on team trends. |
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KENT STATE at KENTUCKY...Joker 4-2 vs. line at home vs. non-conference foes since 2010. Joker also 5-2 as home chalk since taking over Cats in 2010. Golden Flashes only 1-5 vs. line as dog for Hazel LY and 4-10 as the short since 2010. |
UK, based on team trends. |
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UCF at OHIO STATE...Urban Meyer was 32-16 as chalk since 2007. But George O'Leary is 13-7 his last 20 as road dog since mid-2006. |
Slight to UCF, based on O'Leary extended road dog mark. |
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IDAHO at BOWLING GREEN...Falcs only 1-3 as home chalk since 2010. But Idaho only 8-14 vs. line since mid-2010. |
Slight to BGSU, based on team trends. |
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BALL STATE at CLEMSON...Pete Lembo's Cards were 5-2 as a road dog LY and Ball State is 18-6 in role since 2007. |
Ball State, based on extended road dog mark. |
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RICE at KANSAS...Charlie Weis teams were 8-18 as a home favorite during his Notre Dame tenure. Rice, however, only 2-10 vs. line away the past two seasons. |
Kansas, based on Rice road woes. |
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TOLEDO at WYOMING...If Wyoming chalk, note 5-13 spread mark in role since 2007. |
Slight to Toledo, if dog, based on team trends. |
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NORTH CAROLINA at WAKE FOREST... Teams met LY for first time since 2007. Grobe 5-2 vs. line at home LY and 7-4-1 in role since 2010. |
Slight to Wake Forest, based on Grobe trends. |
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GEORGIA at MISSOURI...Mark Richt 8-3 vs. spread as road chalk the past two years. Pinkel only 13-15 vs. line at home since '07 and 2-3 as home dog that span. |
Georgia, based on team trends. |
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MIAMI-FL at KANSAS STATE...Bill Snyder 9-4 vs. line LY, although he's only 2-4 as Manhattan chalk the past two years. Al "Touch of" Golden 4-1 as dog since LY and 19-8 in role since 2007 at Temple and Miami. |
Miami, based on Al Golden's extended dog marks. |
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MICHIGAN STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Dan Enos failed to cover again in opener for CMU and Chips now 1-12 vs. line since last season and now 7-18 vs. number since Enos arrived in 2010. Chips 4-11 as dog since then as well. Dantonio 4-1 as road chalk since 2010 (though 0-1 laying DDs in role). |
Michigan State, based on CMU/Enos negatives. |
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USC vs. SYRACUSE (East Rutherford, New Jersey)...Trojans were 4-1 vs. line away LY (covering last four) and Lane Kiffin is 8-4 vs. spread away from Coliseum since arriving in 2010. Kiffin 2-2 laying DDs away that span. Marrone 3-10 vs. number since 2011 and just 4-8 as dog since 2010 (1-6 as dog LY). |
Southern Cal, based on team trends. |
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PURDUE at NOTRE DAME...Brian Kelly covered only 7 of 19 as chalk in his first two years as the ND coach, although he's 1-0-1 vs. line against Purdue since 2010 and rolled by 38-10 count LY at Ross-Ade Stadium. Boilermakers haven't beaten Irish since 2007 and have covered just one of last five in series. Note Danny Hope only 2-4-1 as DD road dog since 2010. |
Slight to Purdue, based on subpar ND/Kelly chalk mark. |
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SOUTH FLORIDA at NEVADA...Skip Holtz 1-8 vs. line last nine in 2011 and if Bulls are favored note Skip's 5-10 mark as chalk the past two seasons. Pack 12-1 SU at home the past two years and if Chris Ault getting points note his 5-2 dog mark since 2010. |
Nevada, especially if dog, based on team trends. |
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WISCONSIN at OREGON STATE...Badgers bounced Beavs 35-0 LY at Madison and Mike Riley just 4-8 vs. line at Corvallis the past two seasons, but note his 20-10-1 dog mark since 2007 (5-3 as home dog). Bielema only 1-5-1 vs. line away LY and just 3-6-1 as road chalk since 2010. |
Oregon State, based on team trends. |
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FRESNO STATE at OREGON...Pat Hill's Fresno was 4-1 as a road dog LY and 13-7 in role from 2007-11 (5-3 as DD road dog). Chip Kelly has failed to cover last 6 as DD chalk in Eugene. |
Fresno, based on team trends. |
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EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH CAROLINA... Ruffin McNeill got the cover in this game a year ago at Charlotte but his ECU is just 4-7 as a road dog the past two seasons. |
Slight to South Carolina, based on ECU/McNeill road dog negatives. |
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IOWA STATE at IOWA...Revenge for Iowa after 44-41 OT loss LY, but Cyclones have covered six of last eight meetings and 5 of last 6 trips to Iowa City. Paul Rhoads 8-4 as dog since LY; Kirk Ferentz 5-9 vs. spread since 2011. |
ISU, based on series trends. |
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WASHINGTON at LSU...Steve Sarkisian only 5-9 as dog since 2010. Les Miles a bit better vs. line at home LY (3-3) after 9-18 mark in role from 2007-10. Miles only 11-19 as home chalk since 2007. Miles also only 1-6 last 7 and 3-8 last 11 vs. number hosting non-conference foes. |
Slight to UW, based on extended LSU home chalk and non-conference woes. |
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UTEP at OLE MISS...Hugh Freeze 11-2 vs. line since LY at Ark State and Ole Miss including 6-1 home chalk mark. Mike Price only 5-6 as road dog since 2010. |
Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze chalk marks. |
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AUBURN at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Auburn covered last two vs. MSU and has covered last 3 and 8 of last 10 meetings. If Chizik a dog note 1-5 mark on road in role since LY, and note Chizik's 1-6 spread mark last seven on SEC road without Cam Newton as his QB. |
MSU, based on Auburn non-Cam negatives. |
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TEXAS TECH at TEXAS STATE... Tuberville 5-2 as road chalk the past two seasons and 2-0 laying DD away from Lubbock. |
Texas Tech, based on team trends. |
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MARYLAND at TEMPLE...Edsall has dropped 11 of last 12 vs. number for Maryland. Addazio 10-4 vs. line since LY and Temple 40-22 vs. spread (much of that Al Golden's doing) since 2007, also 20-10 vs. line at home that span. |
Temple, based on team trends. |
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NEW MEXICO at TEXAS...Mack covered all three as DD home chalk LY after wretched home performance in 2010. But Mack just 14-18 vs. line as host since 2007 after non-cover vs. Wyo. Lobos were 1-6 as DD road dog the last two seasons. |
Slight to Texas, based on team trends. |
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FLORIDA at TEXAS A&M...A&M only 4-9 vs. line LY but note Muschamp only 5-9 vs. spread since LY, and if Gators a dog note 0-5 mark in role LY and 1-7 since 2010. |
Slight to A&M, based on team trends. |
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LOUISIANA TECH at HOUSTON...This becomes La Tech's opener after the Texas A&M rainout. Sonny Dykes was one of hottest spread coach in the country last year when LT covered its last eight games. Earlier in the season, the Bulldogs blew a big lead vs. UH but still managed a spread cover. Dykes also 8-0 vs. line away LY and 7-0 as a dog in 2011. |
La Tech, based on team trends. |
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NEBRASKA at UCLA...Neuheisel was just 8-14 vs. line as dog the past two seasons but let's see what Mora can do. Bruins 33-16 vs. spread their last 49 at Rose Bowl since early in 2004 campaign. |
UCLA, based on extended home marks. |
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ARMY at SAN DIEGO STATE...Army took SDSU to wire at West Point LY in 23-20 Aztec escape at Michie. Ellerson had problems in once-profitable road role LY, covering just 2 of 6 away from Michie. Rocky Long, however, just 3-6 as chalk LY, and 12-18 last 30 as chalk at New Mexico & SDSU. |
Army, based on extended Rocky Long chalk woes. |
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N.C. STATE at UCONN...Pasqualoni just 4-4 vs. line as host since LY but extended UConn home numbers are good (10-4 since 2010 and 21-10 since 2007). Huskies also 9-1 as home dog for Pasqualoni and Edsall since 2007. Meanwhile, O'Brien 1-4 as road chalk since 2010. |
UConn, based on team trends. |
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TULANE at TULSA...Tulsa has vaporized Tulane in recent years, winning and covering last seven meetings, all by 24 points or more. |
Tulsa, based on series trends. |
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VANDERBILT at NORTHWESTERN...Rematch of 2010 opener when NU squeezed out a 23-21 win at Nashville over Robbie Caldwell's lone Vandy side. The James Franklin Dores are now 10-4 vs. the number and have covered 7 of their last 9 on the board as well. Vandy 5-2 as dog for Franklin. NU 3-8 vs. line at Evanston since 2010 and 9-20 since 2007, also 4-12 as home Welsh-Ryan Dyche chalk that span. |
Vandy, especially if dog, based on team trends. |
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DUKE at STANFORD...Didn't look like the same Stanford in the opener vs. SJSU. Tree was 18-6 as chalk in 2010-11 but 0-1 in role TY. Cutcliffe 11-7-2 as dog since 2010 and Duke is 16-9-2 vs. line as road dog since 2007. |
Slight to Duke, based on Cutcliffe markss. |
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OKLAHOMA STATE at ARIZONA...OSU has pounded UA the last two years (including Alamo Bowl 2010), with Gundy winning and covering each by near-identical 36-10 & 37-14 scorelines. Cats only 5-9 vs. line in Tucson since 2010 and 9-17 overall vs. spread that span. Also just 3-6 as dog the past two seasons. OSU was 9-2 as road chalk in 2010-11. |
OSU, based on team and recent series trends. |
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ILLINOIS at ARIZONA STATE...Todd Graham teams 17-10 vs. line last 27 on board (Tulsa, Pitt, ASU). Tim Beckman Toledo teams just 5-5 as dog the past two seasons. Zook's Illini teams were 10-5 as road dog from 2007-11. |
Slight to ASU, based on Graham's recent marks. |
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