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NAVY at PENN STATE...Penn State 3-8 as home chalk since 2010. Mids lost vs. Irish in Dublin but are 15-9 as road dog since 2007. |
Navy, based on team trends. |
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UMASS at MICHIGAN...Brady Hoke 12-7 as chalk since 2010 at SDSU & Wolverines. |
Michigan, based on Hoke chalk trends. |
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BOSTON COLLEGE at NORTHWESTERN...NU just 4-12 as home chalk that span. Spaziani 7-3 as road dog past two seasons. Ugh! |
BC, based on team trends. |
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at PURDUE...Danny Hope has covered 8 of last 11 on board since early 2011 and Purdue 5-2 as chalk (3-1 laying DD) since LY. |
Purdue, based on recent trends. |
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NORTHERN ILLINOIS at ARMY...Revenge for Army after getting crushed 49-26 at DeKalb LY. But Ellerson did cover all four games on the board at Michie LY, while NIU just 1-4 as road chalk LY. |
Army, based on team trends. |
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WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE...Wake has actually won 4 of last 6 SU and covered 6 of last 8 vs. Seminoles. |
Wake, based on series trends. |
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UCONN at MARYLAND...Edsall's Terps won at Temple but still just 1-8 vs. line last 9 on board. Pasqualoni has covered 6 of last 8 on board since mid-2011. |
UConn, based on Maryland negatives. |
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TEXAS A&M at SMU...Sumlin was 10-3 vs. line LY at UH (he didn't coach in bowl) and beat June Jones 37-7. In fact, Sumlin has routed June Jones the past three years with easy wins and covers, all wins by 23 or more. SMU 2-7 vs. line last 9 since mid-2011. |
Texas A&M, based on team trends. |
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VIRGINIA TECH at PITTSBURGH...Panthers no covers last 3 since late LY. Beamer 4-13 vs. line last 16 on board but extended road chalk marks are pretty good (14-8 since 2007, 23-11 since 2005). |
VT, based on extended Beamer road chalk trends. |
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SOUTHERN CAL at STANFORD...Tree has beaten SC three straight and 4 of last 5 meetings, and only Trojan non-cover in their 7-game stretch to end last season came vs. Stanford. Tree is 22-13 vs. line at home since 2007. |
Stanford, based on series trends. |
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EAST CAROLINA at SOUTHERN MISS... USM has covered 4 of last 5 and 9 of last 11 in series. ECU 4-8 as road dog since 2010. |
Slight to USM, based on series trends. |
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CAL at OHIO STATE...Tedford only 2-5 vs. line on road LY, 3-9 since 2010, and 10-22 since 2-007, although Bears not nearly as bad as road dog (6-6 since '07) as road chalk that span. |
OSU, based on team trends. |
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TEXAS at OLE MISS...Hugh "Pointspread Cover Machine" Freeze now 12-2 vs. line last season at Ark State and now at Ole Miss. Mack Brown only 11-18 vs. spread last 29 on board since late '09. |
Ole Miss, based on Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze. |
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ARIZONA STATE at MISSOURI...Todd Graham teams 9-2 vs. line as dog since 2010, and Sun Devils 6-3 as road dog since 2010. Pinkel only 11-12 as home chalk since 2007. |
ASU, based on Graham trends. |
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BYU at UTAH...Cougs 8-1 vs. line last 9 since mid-2010. |
BYU, based on team trends. |
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NORTH CAROLINA at LOUISVILLE...Fedora's USM was 3-0 as dog LY, although Heels only 3-5 as short since 2010. Charlie Strong just 5-10 vs. line at Papa John's since 2010. |
Slight to UNC, based on team trends. |
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VIRGINIA at GEORGIA TECH...Paul Johnson lost 24-21 at Charlottesville LY and Jackets 1-4-1 last six as chalk. |
Slight to Virginia, based on recent trends. |
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MIAMI-OHIO AT BOISE STATE...Blue carpet magic disappeared for Boise last season when Broncos were 0-6 vs. line at home. RedHawks 10-6 vs. line away since 2010. |
Miami-O, based on Boise recent home problems. |
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TCU at KANSAS...Weis teams 16-25-3 vs. line last 44 on board at ND & Kansas. |
TCU, based on Weis negatives. |
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RICE at LA TECH... Sonny Dykes and LT on 9-game cover (although Tech was only 3-2 vs. line at home LY and 2-2 as home chalk). Rice got win at Kansas but just 3-10 vs. line away since 2010. |
La Tech, based on team trends. |
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at MINNESOTA...Broncos 4-2 as dog since LY. Jerry Kill 1-2 as home chalk LY but that role has been treacherous for Gophers past few years (1-4 since 2010, 5-11 as home favorite since 2007). |
WMU, based on Minnesota home chalk issues. |
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BOWLING GREEN at TOLEDO...Nearby rivals. BGSU has covered 4 of last 5 meetings, and Falcs now 17-7 as road dog since 2007. |
Bowling Green, based on team and series trends. |
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UAB at SOUTH CAROLINA...Blazers were 10-5 as dog for Callaway past two years but didn't cover in role vs. Troy in opener. UAB has covered 3 of last 4 vs. SEC, however. Spurrier only 5-5 as DD home chalk since 2010. |
Slight to UAB, based on team trends. |
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OHIO at MARSHALL...Revenge for Herd after Solich punished Marshall LY in 44-7 romp. Solich 6-3 vs. line away since LY and overall he's 20-9 vs. number since 2010. Herd is 3-0 as home dog for Doc the past two seasons. |
Slight to Ohio, based on Solich spread trends. |
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NEW MEXICO at TEXAS TECH... Tuberville only 4-5 as home chalk since 2010, and Red Raiders surprisingly only 6-9 in that role at Lubbock since 2007. |
Slight to UNM, based on recent trends. |
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FLORIDA at TENNESSEE...Vols have lost seven in a row SU vs. Gators and are 2-4 vs. line last six. But Gators just 1-5 as dog since LY for Muschamp, and Derek Dooley 9-4 as chalk since 2010 (compared to 3-11 as dog). |
Tennessee, based on recent trends. |
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COLORADO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...Rams just 5-9 against points on road since 2010 and 12-21 since 2007. Spartans 12-4 vs. number last 16 on board. |
SJSU, based on team trends. |
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UTAH STATE at WISCONSIN...USU 2-0 SU and vs. line TY, now 4-0 as dog since 2010. Badgers just 2-7-1 vs. line last ten since mid-2011. |
USU, based on recent WAC and team trends. |
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IDAHO at LSU...Akey is 7-4 as road dog the past two years. Les Miles better laying DD away (4-0) than at Baton Rouge (5-7) last since 2010. |
Slight to Idaho, based on team trends. |
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NOTRE DAME at MICHIGAN STATE...ND got MSU LY and has won 2 of last 3 SU in series, covering last two, after Spartans had really controlled series for many years (MSU 7-2-1 vs. line against Irish 2000-09). Note Brian Kelly teams are 12-4 as dog (Cincy & ND) since 2007. |
ND, based on team trends. |
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BALL STATE at INDIANA...Cards 9-5 vs. line for Lembo and are 25-11 vs. spread away since 2007. |
Ball State, based on Card road trends. |
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COLORADO at FRESNO STATE...Embree was 1-6 as road dog LY and Buffs 1-10 vs. line in role since 2010. Buffs also 3-12 vs. spread away from Boulder since 2010. DeRuyter (2-0 vs. line) looking to reverse Pat Hill home spread woes (FSU was 6-19-1 vs. line at Dog House 2007-11). |
Fresno, based on CU road negatives. |
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NEW MEXICO STATE at UTEP...UTEP 4-1-1 vs. line last six meetings but Price only 8-15 as chalk since 2007). |
Slight to NSMU, based on extended Price chalk woes. |
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HOUSTON at UCLA...Bruins 34-16 vs. points at Rose Bowl since early 2004. |
UCLA, based on team trends. |
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