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Tech Trends - Week 3
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Thursday, Sept. 13
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at RUTGERS at USF...Rutgers has covered five straight in this series. Scarlet Knights 8-4-1 as road dog since 2007. Rutgers, based on series and team trends.
Friday, Sept. 14
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at WASHINGTON STATE at UNLV...UNLV now 8-2 as home dog since Bobby Hauck arrived in 2010. UNLV, based on Hauck road mark.
Saturday, Sept. 15
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
 vs NAVY at PENN STATE...Penn State 3-8 as home chalk since 2010. Mids lost vs. Irish in Dublin but are 15-9 as road dog since 2007. Navy, based on team trends.
at UMASS at MICHIGAN...Brady Hoke 12-7 as chalk since 2010 at SDSU & Wolverines. Michigan, based on Hoke chalk trends.
at BOSTON COLLEGE at NORTHWESTERN...NU just 4-12 as home chalk that span. Spaziani 7-3 as road dog past two seasons. Ugh! BC, based on team trends.
at EASTERN MICHIGAN at PURDUE...Danny Hope has covered 8 of last 11 on board since early 2011 and Purdue 5-2 as chalk (3-1 laying DD) since LY. Purdue, based on recent trends.
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS at ARMY...Revenge for Army after getting crushed 49-26 at DeKalb LY. But Ellerson did cover all four games on the board at Michie LY, while NIU just 1-4 as road chalk LY. Army, based on team trends.
at WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE...Wake has actually won 4 of last 6 SU and covered 6 of last 8 vs. Seminoles. Wake, based on series trends.
at UCONN at MARYLAND...Edsall's Terps won at Temple but still just 1-8 vs. line last 9 on board. Pasqualoni has covered 6 of last 8 on board since mid-2011. UConn, based on Maryland negatives.
at TEXAS A&M at SMU...Sumlin was 10-3 vs. line LY at UH (he didn't coach in bowl) and beat June Jones 37-7. In fact, Sumlin has routed June Jones the past three years with easy wins and covers, all wins by 23 or more. SMU 2-7 vs. line last 9 since mid-2011. Texas A&M, based on team trends.
 vs VIRGINIA TECH at PITTSBURGH...Panthers no covers last 3 since late LY. Beamer 4-13 vs. line last 16 on board but extended road chalk marks are pretty good (14-8 since 2007, 23-11 since 2005). VT, based on extended Beamer road chalk trends.
at SOUTHERN CAL at STANFORD...Tree has beaten SC three straight and 4 of last 5 meetings, and only Trojan non-cover in their 7-game stretch to end last season came vs. Stanford. Tree is 22-13 vs. line at home since 2007. Stanford, based on series trends.
at EAST CAROLINA at SOUTHERN MISS... USM has covered 4 of last 5 and 9 of last 11 in series. ECU 4-8 as road dog since 2010. Slight to USM, based on series trends.
at CAL at OHIO STATE...Tedford only 2-5 vs. line on road LY, 3-9 since 2010, and 10-22 since 2-007, although Bears not nearly as bad as road dog (6-6 since '07) as road chalk that span. OSU, based on team trends.
at TEXAS at OLE MISS...Hugh "Pointspread Cover Machine" Freeze now 12-2 vs. line last season at Ark State and now at Ole Miss. Mack Brown only 11-18 vs. spread last 29 on board since late '09. Ole Miss, based on Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze.
at ARIZONA STATE at MISSOURI...Todd Graham teams 9-2 vs. line as dog since 2010, and Sun Devils 6-3 as road dog since 2010. Pinkel only 11-12 as home chalk since 2007. ASU, based on Graham trends.
at BYU at UTAH...Cougs 8-1 vs. line last 9 since mid-2010. BYU, based on team trends.
at NORTH CAROLINA at LOUISVILLE...Fedora's USM was 3-0 as dog LY, although Heels only 3-5 as short since 2010. Charlie Strong just 5-10 vs. line at Papa John's since 2010. Slight to UNC, based on team trends.
at VIRGINIA at GEORGIA TECH...Paul Johnson lost 24-21 at Charlottesville LY and Jackets 1-4-1 last six as chalk. Slight to Virginia, based on recent trends.
at MIAMI-OHIO AT BOISE STATE...Blue carpet magic disappeared for Boise last season when Broncos were 0-6 vs. line at home. RedHawks 10-6 vs. line away since 2010. Miami-O, based on Boise recent home problems.
at TCU at KANSAS...Weis teams 16-25-3 vs. line last 44 on board at ND & Kansas. TCU, based on Weis negatives.
at RICE at LA TECH... Sonny Dykes and LT on 9-game cover (although Tech was only 3-2 vs. line at home LY and 2-2 as home chalk). Rice got win at Kansas but just 3-10 vs. line away since 2010. La Tech, based on team trends.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at MINNESOTA...Broncos 4-2 as dog since LY. Jerry Kill 1-2 as home chalk LY but that role has been treacherous for Gophers past few years (1-4 since 2010, 5-11 as home favorite since 2007). WMU, based on Minnesota home chalk issues.
at BOWLING GREEN at TOLEDO...Nearby rivals. BGSU has covered 4 of last 5 meetings, and Falcs now 17-7 as road dog since 2007. Bowling Green, based on team and series trends.
at UAB at SOUTH CAROLINA...Blazers were 10-5 as dog for Callaway past two years but didn't cover in role vs. Troy in opener. UAB has covered 3 of last 4 vs. SEC, however. Spurrier only 5-5 as DD home chalk since 2010. Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
 vs OHIO at MARSHALL...Revenge for Herd after Solich punished Marshall LY in 44-7 romp. Solich 6-3 vs. line away since LY and overall he's 20-9 vs. number since 2010. Herd is 3-0 as home dog for Doc the past two seasons. Slight to Ohio, based on Solich spread trends.
at NEW MEXICO at TEXAS TECH... Tuberville only 4-5 as home chalk since 2010, and Red Raiders surprisingly only 6-9 in that role at Lubbock since 2007. Slight to UNM, based on recent trends.
 vs FLORIDA at TENNESSEE...Vols have lost seven in a row SU vs. Gators and are 2-4 vs. line last six. But Gators just 1-5 as dog since LY for Muschamp, and Derek Dooley 9-4 as chalk since 2010 (compared to 3-11 as dog). Tennessee, based on recent trends.
at COLORADO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...Rams just 5-9 against points on road since 2010 and 12-21 since 2007. Spartans 12-4 vs. number last 16 on board. SJSU, based on team trends.
at UTAH STATE at WISCONSIN...USU 2-0 SU and vs. line TY, now 4-0 as dog since 2010. Badgers just 2-7-1 vs. line last ten since mid-2011. USU, based on recent WAC and team trends.
at IDAHO at LSU...Akey is 7-4 as road dog the past two years. Les Miles better laying DD away (4-0) than at Baton Rouge (5-7) last since 2010. Slight to Idaho, based on team trends.
at NOTRE DAME at MICHIGAN STATE...ND got MSU LY and has won 2 of last 3 SU in series, covering last two, after Spartans had really controlled series for many years (MSU 7-2-1 vs. line against Irish 2000-09). Note Brian Kelly teams are 12-4 as dog (Cincy & ND) since 2007. ND, based on team trends.
at BALL STATE at INDIANA...Cards 9-5 vs. line for Lembo and are 25-11 vs. spread away since 2007. Ball State, based on Card road trends.
at COLORADO at FRESNO STATE...Embree was 1-6 as road dog LY and Buffs 1-10 vs. line in role since 2010. Buffs also 3-12 vs. spread away from Boulder since 2010. DeRuyter (2-0 vs. line) looking to reverse Pat Hill home spread woes (FSU was 6-19-1 vs. line at Dog House 2007-11). Fresno, based on CU road negatives.
at NEW MEXICO STATE at UTEP...UTEP 4-1-1 vs. line last six meetings but Price only 8-15 as chalk since 2007). Slight to NSMU, based on extended Price chalk woes.
at HOUSTON at UCLA...Bruins 34-16 vs. points at Rose Bowl since early 2004. UCLA, based on team trends.
Sept. 15 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. GEORGIA...FAU now 3-11 vs. line since LY and 6-20 since 2010, 10-28 since 2009. Richt 8-4 vs. line as Athens chalk (7-3 laying DD) even after non-cover vs. Buffalo in opener. Georgia, based on FAU negatives.
at ARKANSAS STATE at NEBRASKA...Red Wolves 5-1 as DD road dog since 2010. Bo Pelini only 6-9 as Lincoln chalk since 2010. Ark State, based on team trends.
at SOUTH ALABAMA at NC STATE...Tom O'Brien 9-3-1 vs. line at Raleigh since 2010. NCST, based on home trends.
at FIU at UCF...O'Leary is 9-4 vs. line at home since 2010 (all as chalk) and 21-10 vs. spread at Orlando since 2007 (17-8 as home chalk that span). UCF, based on team trends.
at LOUISIANA at OKLAHOMA STATE...Cajuns got the cover in 61-34 loss LY at Stillwater. Hudspeth 8-0 as dog LY and 7-0 as road dog, Cajuns now 13-2 vs. line away since 2010. Louisiana, based on team trends.
at NORTH TEXAS at KANSAS STATE...Dan McCarney now on 9-3 spread run. Bill Snyder only as DD Manhattan chalk since 2010. Slight to UNT, based on recent trends.
at MTSU at MEMPHIS...Tigers only 3-8 as home dog since 2010 although did get a win and cover vs. MTSU at Liberty Bowl in that span. Slight to MTSU, based on Memphis woes.
at WESTERN KENTUCKY at KENTUCKY...Tops now covers in 11 straight since early LY! Joker, however, has done well as home chalk (6-2 in role since 2010). WKU, based on recent trends.
at MISSISSIPPI STATE at TROY...Troy only 2-9 vs. line at home since 2010, and Dan Mullen 5-3 as road chalk since 2010. Troy 4-5 vs. line against SEC since 2005. Slight to MSU, based on team trends.
at UL-MONROE at AUBURN...Chizik only 5-10 vs. line since Cam left town and Tigers were 1-3 as DD Jordan-Hare chalk LY. ULM, based on recent Auburn spread woes.

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