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ACC Report - Week 4

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ACC   ·  PAC-12   ·  Big Ten

Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 4 from Joe Williams. Click to win!

Saturday - Clemson at Florida State (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
Clemson at Florida State
The Florida State Seminoles played nobody in the first two weeks. Everyone said that Wake Forest, their first FBS opponent of the season, would give them a much better game. Well, FSU went on to roll Wake 52-0, taking care of the over by themselves, by the way. After that, well, everyone is saying it was just Wake. Wait until Clemson comes to town, with their vaunted offense, led by QB Tajh Boyd, RB Andre Ellington, WR Sammy Watkins and WR DeAndre Hopkins. I tend to believe that, too. I think Clemson will be able to score much more than FSU has been allowing on defense. By the way, FSU has pitched back-to-back shutouts, and they are allowing 1.0 ppg through their first three scrimmages. These Tigers are coming to play. The public has been generally split on the 14.5-point spread, and rightly so. FSU clobbered a four-TD dog last weekend, and Clemson is 1-2 ATS this season. However, this is prime time, and when Clemson was in the national spotlight last time against Auburn in Atlanta, they shined in a 26-19 win. Of course, looking back, was that as impressive as it seemed at the time? Hmm.
Saturday - Miami (Fla.) at Georgia Tech (ESPN3/GamePlan, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
Miami at Georgia Tech
Check out Ga. Tech getting love from Vegas after flattening Virginia last weekend. The 14-point number also might have something to do with UM going out to Manhattan, Kansas a couple of weeks ago and getting steamrolled by K-State. Still, both teams find themselves at 2-1, and the Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their past six road games, save for that Kansas State debacle. Meanwhile, the Yellow Jackets are 1-4-1 ATS in their past six games following a straight-up win. So it appears the scales are tipped in the favor of bettors taking the Canes. Well, as ESPN's Lee Corso says, "not so fast, my friend." The favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series. This is a confusing game for those looking at the total, too. The under has cashed in four of the past five meetings in the series. However, the under is just 1-9 in Ga. Tech's past 10 games in the month of September, and 2-5 in Miami's past seven road trips. This one screams, stay away! It should be a good game, however.
Saturday - East Carolina at North Carolina (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
East Carolina at North Carolina
I live in the state of North Carolina, and you would think that there would be a lot of pre-game hype leading up to this one. Two in-state rivals clashing on the gridiron, separated by roughly 100 miles or so. However, they are having some down times at ECU, and UNC is coming off a pair of disappointing defeats, albeit in different ways getting there. The number stands at, or around, 17 points, which might be a bit much considering how Carolina's defense has played lately. However, the Pirates are a perfect, or imperfect, 0-5 ATS in their past five meetings with their big brother from Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their past four meetings against Conference USA foes, and UNC boss Larry Fedora knows ol' Ruffin McNeill and the Pirates well from his days in C-USA with the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. The last nugget, the Pirates are 2-8 ATS against the ACC in their past 10 meetings. If I were to lean one way, I'd take Carolina. However, it would really be nice to know whether or not RB Giovani Bernard is playing first. He has missed the past two games due to injury.
Saturday - Virginia at Texas Christian (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Virginia at Texas Christian
After being demolished in Atlanta last weekend, the Virginia Cavaliers step back out of conference to take on a Top 20 opponent in Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs were methodical, yet not that impressive, in taking down Kansas in their first Big 12 conference game last weekend in Lawrence. An 18-point line seems a bit much based on what we saw from TCU's offense last weekend. Then again, from what we saw from UVA last week, it might very well be warranted. The Froggies are 0-4 ATS in their past four meetings at home against team's with winning records, although UVA is 0-5-1 ATS in their past six non-conference games, and 0-4-1 ATS in their past five games overall. The under (o/u - 54) might be the astute play here. First off, it will kick at 11 am local time. There very well could be a sluggish start by both sides. The under is also 12-2 in Virginia's past 14 games on grass.
Saturday - Memphis at Duke (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game
Memphis at Duke
Let's give the Dukies of the gridiron some love, shall we? They opened with a solid offensive effort against FIU, but then were torched by QB Josh Nunes and Stanford in Week 2. However, after the Cardinal took down USC last weekend, that isn't looking so bad for the Blue Devils. They came home and handily took care of cross-town rival North Carolina Central, 54-17. In fact, in two games at Wallace Wade Stadium this season, Duke has averaged 50.0 ppg. Memphis opened with a home loss to FCS opponent Tennessee-Martin, and they have dropped games against Sun Belt foes Middle Tennessee and Arkansas State. The Tigers are 1-2 ATS, and things are in total disarray overall. It's odd to see Duke favored, let alone by so much, but the way QB Sean Renfree and WR Conner Vernon have been clicking on offense, that line is awfully tempting.
Other Games to Watch
Matchup Notes
Army at Wake Forest
Wake Forest has been extremely hard to figure this season. They barely scraped by Liberty in their opener, they pulled a surprise against UNC despite being a double-digit dog, and then they were thoroughly embarrassed in Tallahassee last weekend. Who is going to show up? Well, the homestanding Deacs are favored by just 7 points, and perhaps 6.5 depending on your book. That makes Wake an interesting play. While the Black Knights are 3-1-1 in their past five games agianst ACC opponents, they are 5-11 ATS in their past 16 meetings against a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Wake is 4-1 ATS in their past five against team's with a losing record.
Matchup Notes
Maryland at West Virginia
This used to be an entertaining matchup back in the day. Now, Maryland is a doormat, and West Virginia is high-flying. The Terps haven't had a lot of success in College Park, but they are really bad on the road lately. Maryland is 1-4 ATS in their past five road trips, 1-5 ATS in their past six non-conference games, and 2-12 ATS in their past 14 games overall. In addition, they are 0-9 ATS in their past nine games following a straight-up loss. Meanwhile, Maryland does have a winning record, and West Virginia is 12-5 ATS in their past 17 meetings with a team with a winning record. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, and Maryland is 0-5 ATS in their past five shots against West Virginia. In addition, they are 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Morgantown. The over looks like the play with more overwhelming evidence. The over is 7-1 ATS in Maryland's past eight games overall, and 4-1 in their past five road trips. For West Virginia, the over has cashed in six of its past seven home games, and it has hit in four of the past five meetings between these two sides.

  
HEADLINES
Marshall: Team to Watch - Louisville
Edwards: 2014 ACC Predictions
Nelson: September Situations
Edwards: 2014 Big 12 Predictions
Marshall: Team to Watch - Marshall
Edwards: 2014 Pac-12 Predictions
Lawrence: 2014 Sun Belt Preview
Blankenship: Fade Alert - Ohio
Edwards: 2014 SEC Predictions
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