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ACC Report - Week 5

Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 5 from Joe Williams. Click to win!

Saturday - Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
Virginia Tech at Cincinnati
Virginia Tech bounced back from a shocking loss at Pittsburgh by thumping Bowling Green in Blacksburg last weekend. With the Hokies, they're developing a bit of a Jekyll & Hyde personality, as we really don't know what we're going to get - a Top 20 caliber team, or a middle-of-the-road club. For Cincinnati, the last time we saw them, they were struggling to get by Delaware State. QB Munchie Legaux, who looked great in an opening game win against Pitt, put the ball on the ground twice against Del State, and he tossed two more picks. This game will take place in Landover, Md., and that's generally bad news for Frank Beamer. The Hokies are just 12-18 in neutral site games with Beamer at the helm, including an 0-2 mark at FedEx Field. The Hokies are just 1-4-1 ATS in their past six games, and 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight non-conference tilts. However, the Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their past five neutral site battles, although they have covered four straight games overall. The total might be a better play than the line. The under has cashed in six of Va. Tech's past seven, and the under is 6-1 in their past seven non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in Cincy's past four games against the ACC. The under is 8-3 in Cincinnati's past 11 games overall.
Saturday - Florida State at South Florida (ESPN, 6:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
Florida State at South Florida
The Seminoles picked up a big win against Clemson at home, and now we'll find out quite a bit about the No. 4 team in the nation. FSU steps back out of conference, and down in competition, to meet a South Florida team that will be gunning for them. This is a huge measuring stick game for USF, who comes in a 17-point dog. The 'Noles are 6-2 ATS over their past eight games, including a loss against Clemson last week against the spread. The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their past eight games against ACC opponents, but they are just 1-6 ATS in their past seven games overall, and 0-7 ATS in their past seven home games. Like the game above, the under could very well be the play. The under is 10-1 in Florida State's past 11 non-conference games, while the under is 4-1 in South Florida's past five games against the ACC. The under is also 11-4-1 in the past 16 non-conference matchups.
Saturday - North Carolina State at Miami (Fla.) (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
North Carolina State at Miami (Fla.)
If a football game is played at Sun Life Stadium, will anyone notice? This battle between 3-1 teams might be the most competitive game on the ACC schedule, but the apathetic South Florida fan base likely has much more to do than enjoy a good college football game. The Wolfpack struggled in their opening game loss to Tennessee in Atlanta before bouncing back with a road win at Connecticut. Then, they took out their frustrations on South Alabama and The Citadel at home. So far, the Pack is just 1-2-1 ATS, and the under has cashed in two of their three games. For Miami, they're coming off an impressive comeback at Georgia Tech, which very well could have turned around their season. If you take out their loss at K-State, the Canes have averaged 40.3 ppg. The last time these two battled, it was 2008 when NC State took down Miami 38-28. The Wolfpack haven't been as great on the road lately, at least against the spread. NC State is 1-4-1 ATS in their past six games, while Miami is 4-1 ATS in their past five ACC games.
Saturday - Duke at Wake Forest (ESPN3/GamePlan, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Duke at Wake Forest
Duke has started out 3-1, taking care of business at home. While that's not a huge deal for most teams, a 3-1 mark for the Blue Devils is big news. More importantly, they are 3-1 ATS. However, in their only road game, they were blitzed by Stanford 50-13. Of course, knowing what we know now, after Stanford took down USC, perhaps that wasn't as bad of a loss as it looked at the time. Wake bounced back nicely with a fourth quarter cover against Army last weekend. That followed a 52-0 thumping at FSU. It's hard to get a gauge on the Deacs, as one weekend they look good, the next they look atrocious. Duke is 5-1 ATS in their past six September games, although they are 0-4 ATS in their past four road games, and 0-4 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a winning home record. Wake is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 home games, including 2-0 ATS this season. As far as the total, the over might be the play here, although 60 points seems a bit ambitious. The over has cashed in four of the past five meetings between these sides.
Saturday - Clemson at Boston College (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game
Clemson at Boston College
I actually attended last season's meeting when Clemson QB Tajh Boyd went down with a knee injury. You've never heard Death Valley so quiet. Now, the Tigers hit the road for Chestnut Hill. Clemson might be a favorable play as long as they do not have any emotional letdowns following their disappointing loss in Tallahassee last weekend. BC is just 4-12 ATS in their past 16 home games, and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games in the month of September. BC lost at Northwestern in their last time out, as the Wildcats picked up a late cover. Remember, BC has had two weeks to prepare for this game, so that single-digit road number for Clemson might not be as attractive as it looks initially.
Other Games to Watch
Matchup Notes
Idaho at North Carolina
I'll be taking my oldest son to Kenan Stadium Saturday, and we'll see an Idaho team which is winless in four games so far. The Vandals are just 1-3 ATS, including a home loss to Wyoming. The thing bettors will want to take note of is that Idaho has gone over the past two games. Still, it might be difficult scoring on a UNC defense which has allowed a total of six points in two home games. Look at those numbers, that 61.5 total might be a tad bit high. If you're looking to pick a side, UNC is 4-0 ATS in their past four home games, while Idaho is 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference games.
Louisiana Tech at Virginia
This is a very underrated game, as Louisiana Tech heads to Charlottesville looking to remain unbeaten. In fact, La. Tech opened as a 3.5-point favorite. At first glance, this appears to be a slam-dunk play for the home team. Virginia is 3-1 all-time against WAC opponents, including a 2-0 mark at Scott Stadium. With that, a moneyline play on the Cavaliers might be warranted. However, the Bulldogs have a seven-game road winning streak working, and a 10-game win streak overall, which is third-longest in the nation. Louisiana Tech has rolled up 536.7 yards per game on offense, which is 11th in the nation. Louisiana Tech is 15-3 ATS in their past 18 road games, and 13-3 ATS in their past 16 games overall. However, they are 0-4 ATS in their past four games against ACC opponents. For UVA, they're 0-5-1 ATS in their past six games, and 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven non-conference tilts. All recent trends point to Louisiana Tech covering on the road, but all good things come to an end, too.
Middle Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Middle Tennessee got off to an underwhelming start, getting dumped by FCS opponent McNeese State at home. However, they bounced back with a home win and cover against Florida Atlantic, and a road win and cover at Memphis. Now, they've had two weeks to prepare for this trip to Atlanta. Georgia Tech hasn't had a tough time scoring the football, as they have averaged 50.3 ppg over their past three games. However, they're still licking their wounds after a shocking comeback win by Miami last Saturday. Their last two games have gone over, and it wouldn't be surprising to see the Ramblin' Wreck bounce back with a high-scoring game as they take out their frustrations on their Sun Belt visitors.

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