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Pac-12 Report - Week 6

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Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 6 from Joe Williams. Click to win!

Big Ten  ·   ACC  ·   Pac-12

For the second consecutive week in the Pac-12, we have just four scheduled games Saturday, with Arizona State and Colorado resting their bumps and bruises. Southern California hit the road for Rice-Eccles Thursday night, and came away with a 38-28 win at Utah. The Utes pulled off a late backdoor fourth quarter cover, so hopefully you weren't burnt by that. If so, my condolences. Utah has burnt me a couple of times this season, so I shied away from making a selecting in that game, opting for a Sun Belt play instead.

Saturday - Washington at Oregon (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
Washington at Oregon
After Washington's stunning 17-13 upset of Stanford in their last game Sept. 27, the Huskies find themselves in the Top 25. Remember, though, that before the victory over the Cardinal, this is a team which barely slid by San Diego State in their opener, before being clobbered 41-3 on the road at LSU. Sure, they smoked Portland State Sept. 15, but don't put too much credence into a pounding of a FCS team. Now, they get a crack at a heavyweight, and this one could turn ugly. Huskies RB Bishop Sankey came up big against Stanford, rolling for 144 yards and a TD. He has acclimated to a starting role well after Jesse Callier (knee) went down to a torn ACL in the opener. The Ducks can score early and often, but they've been far from impressive against the spread. They are just 1-4 ATS this season, that lone cover coming in a 49-0 pasting of Arizona at home. The other games Oregon had well in hand, but they took their foot off the gas peddle, allowing second half covers. Last season, the Ducks barely covered a 16.5-point number in Seattle, winning 34-17. Washington is 0-5 ATS in their past five road games, and 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record. However, the Ducks are just 2-6-2 ATS in their past 10 home games, and 1-3-1 ATS in their past five Pac-12 battles. The big numbers, though, are that the favorite is 10-1-1 ATS in their past 12 meetings in this border war, and the Huskies are 0-7-1 ATS in their past eight meetings with Oregon, and 0-4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Eugene.
Saturday - UCLA at California (Pac-12 Network, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
UCLA at California
The Bruins are 2-0 on the road this season, and the public is ALL OVER them. Cal is 1-4 SU and ATS, winning at home against Southern Utah, and covering at Ohio State Sept. 15. The Bears haven't been terrible, however, hanging with USC in the Coliseum two weeks ago in a 27-9 setback. Cal has shown some spurts of brilliance, but they'll need to contain RB Johnathan Franklin and the UCLA running game if they're to keep the Bruins within their sights. Now, UCLA hasn't won in Berkeley since 1998, and they have been outscored 222-129 during that span. But this is a different UCLA, and a different Cal, right? The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their past five games, while we mentioned Cal's woes. In this series, however, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, while the Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Cal. UCLA 'should' be able to tame the Bears, and you should be able to get a number of less than three. If so, the Bruins are well worth the risk. They are the better team, but Cal does have history on its side.
Saturday - Arizona at Stanford (FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
Arizona at Stanford
It's a noon time kick (local time) at Palo Alto, as the Cardinal look to pick themselves off the mat after a stunning upset at Washington last time out. They'll face a Wildcats team that is 0-1 in their only road game this season, getting rolled 49-0 at Oregon two weeks ago. The Wildcats are 2-3 ATS this season, and 1-4 ATS in their past five road games. Meanwhile, the Cardinal are 12-3-1 ATS in their past 16 conference games, and 22-8 ATS in their past 30 games at home. In addition, Stanford is 4-1 ATS in their past five home games against Arizona. It appears that Stanford is the play. The trends on the over/under are a little less clear. The over is 12-5 in Arizona's past 17 conference games, and 9-4 overall. For Stanford, the under is 27-13 in their past 40 games in the month of October. The under is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series in Palo Alto, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall. The total screams stay away.
Saturday - Washington State at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 6:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Washington State at Oregon State
All Oregon State does is win, win, win, no matter what. And they cover, too. Not only are the Beavs 3-0 SU this season, but they are 3-0 ATS. They return to Corvallis to play just their second game of the season at Reser Stadium, and the place should be rocking. Washington State comes to town, and they'll be looking for their first win since Sept. 14 at UNLV. The Cougs lost 51-26 against Oregon last time out, but at least they covered. However, that was their first cover of the year (1-3-1) this season. Washington State is 1-4-1 ATS in their past six games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four road games. Oregon State, meanwhile, is 3-0-1 ATS in their past four games against Pac-12 opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS in their past five games overall. The over has cashed in three straight WaZu games, and is 4-1 in their past five conference games overall. The over is also 7-3 in the past 10 meetings between these sides. Lastly, Washington State is 2-10 ATS in their past 12 meetings with Oregon State, but the road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

  
HEADLINES
Edwards: 2014 ACC Predictions
Nelson: September Situations
Edwards: 2014 Big 12 Predictions
Marshall: Team to Watch - Marshall
Edwards: 2014 Pac-12 Predictions
Lawrence: 2014 Sun Belt Preview
Blankenship: Fade Alert - Ohio
Edwards: 2014 SEC Predictions
Marshall: Team to Watch - UNC
MORE HEADLINES
 
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