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Tech Trends - Week 7
 
 
 
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NFL Trends

Thursday, Oct. 11
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO...Todd Graham's ASU 4-0-1 vs. line TY, and Graham teams 19-10-1 vs. line since 2010 (Tulsa, Pitt, ASU). Jon Embree 5-13 vs. line with Buffs, no covers first two at home TY. ASU, based on team trends.
at UTEP at TULSA...Tulsa 8-5 as home chalk since 2010. Tulsa, based on team trends.
at WESTERN KENTUCKY at TROY... WKU now 14 wins in a row vs. the number. Troy only 3-9 vs. line as host since 2010. WKU, based on recent team trends.
Friday, Oct. 12
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at NAVY at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU 2-15 vs. line since LY and 4-21 last 25 on board. Navy, based on CMU negatives.
Saturday, Oct. 13
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at TEXAS vs. OKLAHOMA (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Stoops has won and covered last two vs. Mack after Texas 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 vs. line previous five meetings. Mack only 2-6 as dog since 2010. Slight to OU, based on team and series trends.
at IOWA at MICHIGAN STATE...Teams combined 2-9 vs. line to start 2012, Hawkeyes just 3-9 vs. number last 12 since mid 2011. Dantonio won and covered vs. Iowa LY but Ferentz had covered previous five meetings. Iowa, however, only 1-4 since 2010 in once-profitable road dog role. Slight to MSU, based on recent Iowa negatives.
at NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Miami's wins and covers the last two years broke UNC's 3-game cover streak in series. Since Fedora arrived at Chapel Hill, home team has covered in all five Heel games (UNC 0-2 vs. line away). Slight to Miami, based on current home-in-Heel trend.
at MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN...RedHawks 1-5 vs. line TY but 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MAC foes away from Yager Stadium. Slight to Miami-O, based on recent MAC road mark.
at KENT STATE at ARMY...West Point 6-1 vs. line at home since LY, but Black Knights 3-5 vs. line last 8 on board since late 2011. Kent State on 7-2 spread run last ten since mid 2011. Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.
at AKRON at OHIO...Solich has won and covered last four years vs. Zips. Solich won and covered first two at home TY but still just 3-4 against number at home since LY. Bowden has covered first two on road TY after Zips were 1-5 vs. line on road for Rob Ianello LY. Slight to Solich, based on series trends.
at TOLEDO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU 5-18 vs. line at Rynearson Stadium since 2007. Rockets have won and covered last five, all wins by 24 or more. Toledo 3-0 vs. line away TY. Toledo, based on team and series trends.
at MARYLAND at VIRGINIA...UVa 5-1 vs. line last six in series, but Cavs no covers last 5 TY and just 5-12-1 last 17 on board since early LY. Mike London 1-5-1 vs. line as home chalk since 2011. Terps have covered first two on road TY. Maryland, based on recent trends.
at DUKE at VIRGINIA TECH...Cutcliffe 18-10-2 vs. number since 2010. Blue Devils have covered 2 of last 3 in series. Beamer just 5-16 last 20 vs. line since late 2010. Duke, based on team trends.
at WISCONSIN at PURDUE...Bielema 2-6-1 against number last nine away from Madison. Danny Hope 9-5 against points last 14 on board for Purdue. Purdue, based on recent trends.
at NORTHWESTERN at MINNESOTA...Pat Fitzgerald only 3-7 as road chalk since 2007. Gophers have covered last three in series and Jerry Kill 7-2-1 last 10 on board. Minnesota 3-1-1 vs. line as home dog under Kill. Minnesota, based on series and team trends.
at SYRACUSE at RUTGERS...Cuse 4-12 vs. line since 2011 and just 1-6 vs. line away since 2011. Slight to Rutgers, based on recent Cuse woes.
at BOSTON COLLEGE at FLORIDA STATE...This had been a pretty good role lately for Spaziani (BC 7-3 as road dog 2010-11), but Eagles failed to cover first chance in role at N'western this season. Slight to BC, based on extended trends.
at TEMPLE at UCONN...Pasqualoni only 2-5 as home chalk since LY. Temple 11-6 vs. line for Addazio and 1789 as dog since 2007 (Al Golden & Addazio). Slight to Temple, based on team trends.
at LOUISVILLE at PITTSBURGH...Ugh! Charlie Strong no covers first two away TY (both as chalk) after 11-2 spread mark on road past two seasons. But series has been all Pitt lately as Panthers have won last 4 and covered last five meetings. If Pitt a home dog note 6-2 mark in role (1-0) since 2007. Panthers 16-7-2 as dog since 2007, back into Wannstedt era. Piutt, based on series trends.
at MEMPHIS at EAST CAROLINA...Ten straight covers in series for ECU, last six wins all by 15 points or more. Memphis just 6-11 vs. line since LY. ECU, based on series and team trends.
at FLORIDA at VANDERBILT...Dores haven't beaten Florida since the Watson Brown era (vs. Galen Hall!) in 1988. Vandy 9-0 vs. line at home since James Franklin arrived in 2011. But Gators 2-0 vs. line away TY and have covered big their last two at Nashville. Slight to Vandy, based on recent home mark.
at AIR FORCE at WYOMING...Force 6-2 vs. line away since LY, 9-5 as road chalk since 2007 for Calhoun. Wyo only 2-6 as home dog under Christensen since 2009, but Christensen has covered last three vs. Falcs. Slight to AFA, based on team trends.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...WMU has won last two meetings SU but Ball State 4-1 vs. spread last five meetings. Cards 9-3 vs. spread last 12 on board. Broncos 1-5 vs. line last 6 away from Waldo Stadium. Ball State, based on series and team trends.
at BUFFALO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Note dog side has covered in first five UB games this season (Bulls 3-0 as dog), but Buffalo still only 8-13 as "short" since Quinn took over in 2010. NIU 6-9 as chalk since 2011 (3-2 TY). Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
at IDAHO at TEXAS STATE...Vandals 2-5 vs. points last 7 away from Kibbie Dome. Texas State, based on Idaho road woes.
at KANSAS STATE at IOWA STATE...Bill Snyder 6-1 vs. line away since LY; 13-5 vs. line since 2011. KSU, based on Snyder trends.
at AUBURN at OLE MISS...Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze now 15-3 vs. line since LY with Ark State & Ole Miss (5-1 with Rebs). Chizik 1-4 vs. line TY and 6-12 vs. spread since Cam left campus. Tigers 3-6 vs. line away post-Cam. Ole Miss, based on recent trends.
at UAB at HOUSTON...Blazers have covered their last three after failing in first two vs. line this season. UAB 12-7 as dog since 2011 (2-2 TY). Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
at ILLINOIS at MICHIGAN...Illinois has covered 3 of last 4 in series. Brady Hoke 3-1 vs. line as Big Ten host LY, although Wolves only 1-3 vs. line in 2012. Slight to Illinois, based on extended trends.
at FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE...Tim DeRuyter 6-0 vs. line to start his career at Fresno. Although Bulldogs have been crucified the past six years vs. Boise, never closer than 13. Boise 1-7 vs. line last 8 as blue carpet chalk. Fresno, based on current trends.
at SOUTHERN CAL at WASHINGTON...Huskies have won SU in 2 of last 3 and have covered 5 of last 7 meetings vs. SC. Trojans no covers last three at Seattle, and Kiffin 1-4 vs. line TY (0-3 away from home). UW, based on recent series and team trends.
at OREGON STATE at BYU...Mike Riley 3-0 SU as dog this season and 23-10-1 as dog since 2007. OSU, based on team trends.
at ALABAMA at MISSOURI...Mizzou 0-3 vs. line vs. new SEC foes. Nick only 2-3 vs. line TY but Tide 7-2 last 9 on road, and 28-16 overall vs. number since 2009. Bama, based on team trends.
at STANFORD at NOTRE DAME...Irish 5-0 SU and vs. line TY. Tree has won and covered last two vs. ND and is 11-3 vs. line away since 2010. Slight to Stanford, based on recent trends.
at UTAH STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...USU 21-5 as road dog since 2007. But SJSU 5-0 vs. line TY, 8-0 last 8, and 10-1 last 11 vs. spread. Slight to SJSU, based on extended road dog mark.
at KENTUCKY at ARKANSAS...Joker Phillips 3-10 vs. line away from Lexington since 2010. Slight to Arkansas, based on recent Joker road negatives.
at TENNESSEE at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Derek Dooley only 4-11 vs. line as dog since 2010 at UT. MSU, based on team trends.
at SOUTH CAROLINA at LSU...Les Miles only 7-9 as home chalk since 2010. Gamecocks 7-1 vs. line last 8 on board since late 2011. SC, based on team trends.
at CAL at WASHINGTON STATE...Tedford 4-10 vs. line away since 2010 (1-1 TY). Leach 0-2 vs. line in Pullman TY after Cougs 4-1 vs. line at home LY. Bears 3-7 vs. line last 10 in series. Slight to WSU, based on extended team and series trends.
at WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS TECH...WVU 6-2 vs. line away under Holgorsen since LY. Slight to WV, based on recent trends.
at TCU at BAYLOR...Art Briles 7-1 vs. line at home since LY. TCU 0-2 vs. line away TY and 6-11 in role since late 2009. Baylor, based on recent trends.
at SOUTHERN MISS at UCF...USM 1-4 vs. line under Ellis Johnson and 0-2 away. O'Leary 10-6 as home chalk since 2010. UCF, based on team trends.
at OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS...OSU has destroyed KU the past two seasons and Cowboys 19-7 as chalk (9-3 as road chalk) since 2010. Cowboys 11-3 vs. line away since 2010. OSU, based on team trends.
at OHIO STATE at INDIANA...The Tressel Buckeyes had won and covered six straight vs. IU from 2003-10 but last year's OSU could not cover vs. Hoosiers. Still, OSU 6-1 vs. line last 7 and 7-1 last 8 vs. IU. OSU, based on extended series trends.
at SMU at TULANE...Wave 4-18 last 22 vs. spread at Superdome. SMU, based on Tulane negatives.
at UTSA at RICE...Coker 3-0 vs. line TY! Rice 9-4-1 vs. line as host since 2010 and 9-3 as chalk since 2007 (2-1 since LY). UTSA, based on recent trends.
at NEVADA at UNLV...Fremont Cannon has lived in Reno since 2005 as Wolf Pack has won last seven meetings, covering six. But Pack only 4-7 as road chalk since 2010, but Bobby Hauck remains formful, now 10-2 as home dog since arriving at UNLV in 2010. Slight to UNLV, based on Hauck home dog mark.
at COLORADO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...CSU 5-11 vs. line away since 2010 and 6-14 overall last 20 vs. spread. SDSU, based on CSU woes.
at UTAH at UCLA...Utes 2-3 vs. line TY and 9-15 last 24 on board. UCLA 35-17 last 52 on board at home since early 2004. Home team has covered easily in three meetings since '06. UCLA, based on team and series trends.
at NEW MEXICO at HAWAII...Norm Chow no covers last three TY and Bob Davie 3-0 his last three. Lobos 4-2 on line for Davie and 7-2 last nine on board since late 2011. UNM, based on recent trends.
Saturday, Cot. 13 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at FLORIDA ATLANTIC at UL-MONROE...FAU has covered three in a row but has lost all three SU, while ULM 5-0 vs. line TY. Warhawks have won last three SU and covered last five vs. Owls. FAU 3-8 vs. line as host since 2010. ULM, based on series and team trends.
at SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State 13-6 vs. line since LY (3-3 for Gus Malzahn TY). Ark State, based on team trends.
at MIDDLE TENNESSEE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL...MTSU 3-1 vs. line last four TY while FIU 2-4 vs. line for Cristobal in 2012. MTSU, based on recent trends.
at TEXAS A&M vs. LA TECH (at Shreveport)...LT has covered last 11 away from Ruston! LT, based on team trends.

  
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