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Tech Trends - Week 8
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NFL Trends

Thursday, Oct. 18
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at OREGON at ARIZONA STATE...Sun Devils have actually covered last two meetings after dropping previous five vs. spread against Ducks. Todd Graham's ASU 5-0-1 vs. line TY, UO 2-4 vs. spread first five in 2012. Graham teams 20-10-1 vs. line since 2010 (Tulsa, Pitt, ASU) and 9-2 as dog since 2010. ASU, based on team and series trends.
at HOUSTON at SMU...June Jones 12-19 last 31 vs. number since early 2010. SMU has failed to cover last three vs. UH and hasn't beaten Cougs since 2006. Mustangs 11-20 vs. spread at home since 2007. UH, based on team and series trends.
Friday, Oct. 19
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at UCONN at SYRACUSE...Pasqualoni got revenge on old employer Cuse with a 28-21 win LY. Series has been all-UConn lately, with Huskies winning and covering last five meetings. Marrone only 4-14 vs. line since 2011 and 2-5 vs. line at Carrier Dome that span. Pasqualoni, based on series and team trends.
Saturday, Oct. 20
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at NEBRASKA at NORTHWESTERN...Cats scored upset win at Lincoln LY. Pat Fitzgerald also 6-1 SU and vs. line in 2012, including three straight covers at home after 1-5 spread mark at Evanston LY. Bo Pelini no covers last 4 on road since late 2011. Northwestern, based on recent trends.
at MINNESOTA at WISCONSIN...Paul Bunyan Axe and Slab of Bacon! Badgers 3-6 vs. spread last nine since late 2011 (though covers in last three). Jerry Kill 5-2-1 last 7 as dog. Wiscy has have covered only one of last five in Paul Bunyan game. Minnesota, based on team and series trends.
at ARMY at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Army 2-8 vs. line and 0-10 SU away since last season, but EMU winless SU in 2012 and 6-18 vs. line last 24 on board at Ypsilanti. Slight to Army, based on extended EMU home woes.
at BALL STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Lembo 7-3 vs. line away since LY and Cards 26-12 vs. number on road since 2007. Chips 4-22 last 26 on board for Dan Enos. Cards have won and covered last two in series. Ball State, based on team trends.
at BOWLING GREEN at UMASS...BGSU 6-4 vs. line last 10 away, 2-1 as DD chalk since 2010. Slight to BGSU, based on team trends.
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS at AKRON...NIU just 2-5 as road chalk since last season (1-1 TY). Slight to Akron, based on team trends.
at GEORGIA at KENTUCKY...UK has actually covered 4 of last 6 in this series, including a year ago at Athens, but Joker just 8-18 vs. spread his last 26 on board since mid 2010. Richt 5-2 as road chalk since LY. Georgia, based on recent Joker woes.
at WAKE FOREST at VIRGINIA...Cavs no covers last 6 TY, now on 1-8 spread run since late 2011, 6-14-1 last 20, 9-19-1 last 29 on board since early 2010 for Mike London. Wake, based on extended UVa spread woes.
at NORTH CAROLINA at DUKE...Cutcliffe has covered first four at Durham TY and is 18-11-2 vs. number overall since 2010. Home team 3-0-1 vs. number last four in series. Home team has won and covered in first seven Fedora games this season (Heels 0-3 away). Duke, based on series home and team trends.
at NC STATE at MARYLAND...Now we're into the second half of the season thing with O'Brien and NCS; Pack now 27-9 vs. line after fifth game of season since O'Brien arrived in 2007. Although NCS only 2-7 vs. line away since 2011 (0-3 TY). NCS, based on O'Brien extended marks.
at CINCINNATI at TOLEDO...Rockets 0-2 as Glass Bowl dog since 2010 and 5-7 in role since 2007, but Toledo is 6-1 SU. Cincy 6-2 SU (5-3 vs. line) away from Nippert since LY. Slight to Cincy, based on team trends.
at BOSTON COLLEGE at GEORGIA TECH...Under-fire Spaziani 1-5 SU and vs. line TY, while GT no wins or covers its last three TY. Paul Johnson just 13-19-1 vs. spread since late in 2009 season. Eagles no covers first three away TY. Slight to GT, based on recent BC negatives.
at RUTGERS at TEMPLE...Owls 20-11 vs. line at Linc since 2007 and 8-1 as home dog since 2007. Temple, based on extended trends.
at NEW MEXICO at AIR FORCE...Bob Davie making a difference as Lobos have covered last four and 4 of 6 this season. Force 2-9 vs. line at home since LY and 4-13 vs. spread as host since 2010. Road team has covered last three years in series, and UNM 9-2 vs. spread last 10 on board since late 2011. New Mexico, based on team trends.
at SAN JOSE STATE at UTSA...Coker's UTSA 5-1 SU and 3-1 vs. line to start the season, but SJSU 8-1 last nine and 13-4 last 17 on board. Spartans have also covered last five away. SJSU, based on extended trends.
at NEW MEXICO STATE at UTAH STATE...NMSU five SU losses in a row and only one cover in that bunch. USU 6-1 vs. line TY including 3-0 at home, also 3-0 as home chalk. USU, based on current trends.
at VIRGINIA TECH at CLEMSON...Beamer only 6-15 vs. line since LY and that included a pair of lopsided losses vs. Clemson. Beamer's extended road mark is still good (32-20 vs. points away since 2004) but that has been worsening steadily since last season (3-8 vs. line last 11 away from Blacksburg). Clemson, based on recent trends.
at UNLV at BOISE STATE...Bobby Hauck form chart continues, Rebs now 1-15 vs. line away on Bobby's watch since 2010. UNLV has also lost last 18 in a row SU on road and 1-17 vs. spread in those games! Boise, based on extended UNLV road woes.
at BYU at NOTRE DAME...Bronco Mendenhall 5-0 vs. line as road dog since LY (1-0 TY) and Cougs 11-5 vs. spread away since 2010. BYU, based on extended team trends.
at ALABAMA at TENNESSEE...Nick 29-16 against number overall since 2009. He's 4-0 SU vs. Vols (3-1 vs. line) as Tide HC and Bama 6-1-1 vs. spread last 8 in series. Nick also 8-1 as road chalk since LY and note visiting team is 6-0 vs. points in Tide games TY. Derek Dooley 4-12 as dog since 2010. Bama, based on team and series trends.
at STANFORD at CAL...Road team has covered last three in Big Game and Tedford is 3-1 vs. line last four vs. Tree. Cal 1-3 vs. line at home TY and Tedford only 2-4 as home dog since 2007. Tree 12-3 against points on road since 2010. Stanford, based on team trends.
at WASHINGTON at ARIZONA...Rich Rod 1-2 as home chalk TY and his teams at Mich & UA are 5-10 in that role since 2008. Home team has won and covered last three years in series, however, and Sarkisian just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away. UA, based on team and recent series home trends.
at PURDUE at OHIO STATE...Urban Meyer 2-2 vs. line at home TY, while Purdue has covered last three on the road since late LY. Purdue 6-2 vs. line last 8 meetings. Slight to Purdue, based on team and series trends.
at MICHIGAN STATE at MICHIGAN...Four straight wins and covers in series for MSU, also 4-0-1 vs. number last five meetings. But Dantonio only 1-6 vs. number in 2012, and Brady Hoke 7-3 vs. spread at Big House since arriving LY. Slight to Michigan, based on recent trends.
at INDIANA at NAVY...IU only 3-7 as road dog since 2010 (0-1 TY; 2-3 since LY). Slight to Navy, based on recent IU road dog woes.
at TEXAS TECH at TCU...Frogs only 8-12 last 20 on board since late 2010, 4-6 as home chalk since LY. Tuberville 2-0 vs. line away TY but Red Raiders just 2-4 as road dog for Tuberville since 2010. Slight to Texas Tech, based on recent TCU woes.
at COLORADO at SOUTHERN CAL...Lane "Daniel Tosh" Kiffin only 1-5 vs. line TY but Jon Embree just 1-5 vs. spread in 2012. Embree 5-13 vs. line since taking over at CU in 2011. Buffs also 2-11 as road dog since 2010 (2-7 for Embree). Tosh Kiffin, based on CU negatives.
at FLORIDA STATE at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Big road-oriented series lately, with visitor covering last six meetings. Al "Touch of" Golden 19-9 as dog since 2007 at Temple & Miami. Jimbo no covers first two as road chalk TY after 4-1 mark in role LY. Slight to FSU, based on series road trends.
at UTAH at OREGON STATE...Utah 5-3 as road dog since LY. OSU 4-1 vs. line in 2012, though Beavs only 1-8 as chalk (1-7 in role at Corvallis) since 2010. Utah, based on OSU chalk woes.
at KANSAS STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...Bill Snyder 9-1 last 10 as road dog and 13-5-1 overall vs. number since 2011. WVU only 3-6 vs. line at Morgantown since 2011. Bill Snyder, based on team trends.
at LSU at TEXAS A&M...LSU no covers last three away from Baton Rouge, though Les Miles still 10-5 vs. line away from home since LY and 7-3 as road chalk since 2010. Sumlin teams 2-4 as dog since 2010 (1-0 TY) but also 8-2 at home since LY. Slight to LSU, based on team trends.
at SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA...Spurrier has wins and covers last two years vs. alma mater and 5-2 vs. line vs. Gators since taking over SC in 2005. Spurrier 6-1 vs. line TY. Muschamp unbeaten SU in 2012 and has covered last four. Slight to South Carolina, based on series trends.
at AUBURN at VANDERBILT...James Franklin's 9-1 vs. spread at Nashville since taking over the Dores last year! Auburn 1-5 vs. line TY and 6-13 vs. points post-Cam Newton. Vandy, based on team trends.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at KENT STATE...Kent State 5-1 vs. line TY (covered last 4). Broncs 0-2 vs. line away in 2012, Cubit now 14-21-1 vs. line away since 2007. Kent State, based on team trends.
at MARSHALL at SOUTHERN MISS...USM still winless SU for Ellis Johnson and only 2-4 vs. line this season. Herd 2-1 vs. line away TY after 4-8 spread mark on road past two seasons. Marshall, based on team trends.
at UCF at MEMPHIS...Tigers just beat Rice but still just 5-10 vs. number at home since 2010. O'Leary 2-0 vs. line away TY after 1-5 a year ago, also 7-4 as DD chalk since 2010. UCF, based on Memphis negatives.
at SOUTH FLORIDA at LOUISVILLE...Charlie Strong only 6-10 vs. line at Papa John's since 2010. Skip Holtz 3-12 last 15 on board since early LY. Skip is , however, 2-0 as a dog TY as the favored team has failed to cover in first six Bulls games this season. Skip 6-2 as road dog since 2010. USF, based on Skip Holtz dog marks.
at IDAHO at LA TECH...LT 5-1 vs. line TY and Sonny Dykes now 13-1 vs. spread last 14 on board since mid 2011! Five straight covers for LT over Vandals! La Tech, based on team and series trends.
at IOWA STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...Big revenge for OSU after being dealt its only loss of 2011 by the Cyclones! But ISU has covered its first two away TY, Paul Rhoads now 6-3 as road dog since LY. Gundy 2-0 as DD home chalk TY, 12-6 in role since 2007. Slight to OSU, based on extended Gundy marks.
at KANSAS at OKLAHOMA...KU 5-8 vs. line away since 2010 (Weis 1-1 TY). Stoops 18-12 as DD home chalk since 2007, OU 8-6 vs. line at Norman since 2010. OU, based on team trends.
at BAYLOR at TEXAS... Baylor won and covered last two years vs. Texas and has covered 4 of last 5 vs. Horns. Mack 1-2 vs. line at home TY and 5-11 since 2010. Baylor, based on team and recent series trends.
at PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO...Pitt 19-11-2 vs. line away since the mid-Wannstedt era of 2007. Panthers also 4-1 as somewhat-rare road chalk since 2007. Slight to Pitt, based on team trends.
at EAST CAROLINA at UAB...Ruffin McNeill 6-11 vs. line on road since arriving at ECU in 2010. Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
at PENN STATE at IOWA...O'Brien has won last 4 and covered last 5 TY for Nittany Lions! He's 2-0 vs. line away after PSU 4-8 vs. points away last two years. Penn State, based on recent trends.
at TULANE at UTEP...Wave had covered four straight vs. UTEP prior to 44-7 home loss LY. Miners no covers last three TY after Tulsa loss. Slight to Tulane, based on recent trends.
at WYOMING at FRESNO STATE...Wyo 3-0 as road dog TY and HC Dave Christensen 16-4 vs. line in role since arriving at Laramie in 2009. Slight to Wyo, based on extended road dog trends.
at SAN DIEGO STATE at NEVADA...Chris Ault no covers first 3 at Reno TY and Mackay Stadium home chalk mark now 25-13 since 2004 after 1-6 last 7 in role. Slight to SDSU, based on recent Nevada woes in Reno.
Saturday, Oct. 20 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at UL-MONROE at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Tops now 6-0 vs. line TY and with as astounding 15 covers in a row since early 2011! Last three meetings decided by 5 or fewer! WKU, based on extended trends.
at MIDDLE TENNESSEE at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Dan Mullen 7-3 vs. line at home the past two seasons. But MTSU has covered first three away TY. Slight to MTSU, based on recent trends.
at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at TROY...FIU only 2-5 vs. line TY and 5-12 last 17 on board. Troy 1-2 vs. line at home TY and 3-10 in role since 2010. FIU, based on extended Troy home woes.
at FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTH ALABAMA...Note that road team has covered in first six USA games this season. FAU has managed covers in last four outings for Carl Pelini. FAU, based on team trends.

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