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Games to Watch - Week 11

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Christian Alexander is finishing the college football season (58%, +917). Stop losing and start winning in Week 11 now!
Saturday's Winners - Season Package
Saturday - Texas A&M at Alabama (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny
Texas A&M at Alabama
These two schools are forever linked by legendary head coach Paul Bear Bryant and meet for the first time this week as SEC opponents. Alabama is 3-1 all-time against A&M, however the teams have not met since 1988. Personally I will tune in just to see if AJ McCarron has stopped crying yet? Dude, I get that you just drove down the field and beat a very good LSU team on the road to keep your season alive but crying on the bench and being almost inconsolable in that situation was one of the strangest things I've ever seen in football. Where's Tom Hanks when you need him? Anyway, the bigger problem Alabama faces right now is the fact that its defense just gave up 435 yards to Zach Mettenberger and the previously inept LSU offense, and now they have Johnny Manziel and the prolific Texas A&M offense coming to Tuscaloosa. The Aggies over the past six weeks have scored 58 points on Arkansas, 59 on Louisiana Tech, 63 on Auburn and 38 last week on a Mississippi State Bulldogs defense that was previously one of the best in the SEC. There is of course one major catch though, none of those teams have the talent on defense that Alabama has, and the Aggies have been slowed down twice this year against similar SEC defenses in Florida and LSU; and if anyone in the country can game plan and make adjustments in just six days, it is Nick Saban. However, if the same Alabama defense shows up this week that let Mettenberger and LSU move the ball with relative ease against them, they could be in for a long day against the much more talented Johnny Manziel. Alabama has two cupcakes to end the regular season (sorry Auburn fans) so this is the last test they will face before the SEC Championship game, but this game has become much more of a threat to Alabama than it looked to start the season. Can Manziel and the Aggies shock the world and shake up the college football landscape or will the Tide remind everyone why they are the clear cut number one team in the country? Even though they were out gained last week and looked beatable against LSU, Alabama is not surprisingly a 15-point early favorite at home this week against the Aggies.
Saturday - Oregon State at Stanford (FOX, 3:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny
Oregon State at Stanford
The previously struggling Cardinal offense got the much needed spark it needed when Kevin Hogan, a redshirt freshman replaced senior quarterback Josh Nunes on Saturday and lead Stanford to a 48-0 victory over Colorado. Hogan impressed everyone with not only a cannon for an arm but showed great running ability as well. Then again, that was against arguably the worst team in the country; so how much can you really take from his performance? Cardinal Coach David Shaw won't commit to a starter this week against a very good Oregon State defense, only saying ""There's a chance you might see more than one quarterback, but you'll see a whole lot of Kevin Hogan." The Beavers have been arguably the biggest surprise of the season in college football starting 7-1 and have done so mostly with a very solid defense allowing only 18 points per game. Oregon State has also seen its own share of QB controversy this year with Cody Vaz starting two games for the Beavers while Sean Mannion recovered from left knee surgery. Mannion started the Beavers' first four games and averaged 339 yards passing, but was replaced again after he returned not looking quite as sharp in a 20-17 loss to Washington. While Oregon looks all but unbeatable, this is essentially an elimination game for the Pac-12 North Division as both teams already have one loss but each still has Oregon left on their schedule. Even with the starting quarterback for Stanford still up in the air The Cardinal has opened as a five-point home favorite on The Farm.
Saturday - Kansas State at TCU (FOX, 7:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny
Kansas State at TCU
The story of this game, and the rest of the season for that matter is the health of quarterback Collin Klein. The severity of his injury will have a direct effect on not only the Wildcats season but subsequently the National Championship race and the Heisman Trophy race as well. There are conflicting reports all over the place as to not only what the injury is but if and when Klein might return. As good as Barner and Mariota are for Oregon, or Te'o for ND, or even McCarron to a degree for 'Bama, Klein absolutely means more to his team than any other player in college football. Kansas State has a very solid football team, both defensively and surrounding Klein on offense, but make no mistake, he is absolutely the engine that drives the Wildcats. Freshman QB Daniel Sams filled in for Klein and was able to steady the ship long enough for the defense and special teams to take over; but starting this weekend against TCU, if Sams has to take over at QB this is simply not the same Kansas State team. Then again, Bill Snyder is still the head coach there and that man seems to have no problem working football miracles so you never know. TCU comes in with a backup QB of their own every since Casey Pachall entered the Fort Worth police hall of fame. Under the circumstances, freshman Trevone Boykin has been impressive since taking over for Pachell, including a very dramatic come-from-behind double overtime win this weekend against West Virginia. Kansas State either way is a much better team than West Virginia though, and due to the Klein injury there is no line on this game for now. Even if Klein plays this could be a tough road spot for the Wildcats; and if he doesn't this may be the end of the line for the Kansas State dream season.
Other Games to Watch
Matchup Skinny
Florida State at Virginia Tech
Florida State at Virginia Tech (Thursday) - This game made it because the schedule this week is that bad and the Thursday night game has a top 10 ranked team playing, even if it is the ACC. FSU had won 12 straight in the series between 1976 and 2005, but Tech has won two of the last three matchups including a 44-33 win in the 2010 ACC title game. This isn't the same V-Tech team though. Before the season started this looked like a possible ACC Championship preview, however the Hokies have pretty much gone the way of the entire ACC. Meanwhile Florida State ranks 3rd in the country in both points scored and points allowed this year and come in off a bye-week. So the fact that they are a two touchdown road favorite is no real surprise, however this is still Florida State and they like to lay an egg when you least expect it so you may want to watch just in case.
West Virginia at Oklahoma State
West Virginia at Oklahoma State - "The Mullet" vs. "The Man" takes place on Saturday as WVU head coach Dana Holgorsen returns to Stillwater where he was the offensive coordinator for Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy in 2010 before leaving for Morgantown. Not surprisingly both of these schools rank in the top ten nationally in points for, however Oklahoma St at least pretends to play defense allowing a respectable 25 points per game while The Mountaineers come in 119th out of 124 NCAA schools in scoring defense allowing 40 points per game. "The Man" is a home touchdown favorite and while the total is not out yet it's safe to say it will be a very large number.
Penn State at Nebraska
Penn State at Nebraska - Nebraska handed PSU a 17-14 defeat in a game played just days after Joe Paterno's firing last year in State College. This year they meet in Lincoln and The Cornhusker's need another victory to maintain their lead in the Losers Legends Division after a big comeback win last week against Sparty. Nebraska is the highest ranked Big 10 team in the BCS at #16, and was the only one prior to Northwestern creeping in Sunday night. Why does that matter you ask; because The champion of Conference USA, the Mid-American Conference, the Mountain West Conference, the Sun Belt Conference, or the Western Athletic Conference will earn an automatic berth in a BCS bowl game if such team is ranked in the top 16 of the final BCS Standings and its ranking in the final BCS Standings is higher than that of a champion of a conference that has an annual automatic berth in one of the BCS bowls. Ladies and gentleman…I present the 2012 Big 10.

  
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