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Big Ten Report - Week 2
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Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
In Week 1, the 12 schools in the Big Ten went 10-2 straight up in non-conference action. Unfortunately for their backers, the group was just 5-7 against the spread. The conference isn't normally known for shootouts, yet the 'over' produced an 8-4 mark (67%) in Week 1. Eight teams scored over 40 points and three eclipsed the 50-point barrier.

Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Illinois 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Indiana 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Iowa 0-1 0-0 0-1 1-0
Michigan 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Michigan State 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
Minnesota 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Nebraska 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Northwestern 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Ohio State 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Penn State 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
Purdue 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1
Wisconsin 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-1

Illinois (+8, 54) vs. Cincinnati (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The good news is that Illinois QB Nathan Scheelhaase looked much more comfortable in Bill Cubit's offense. He threw for a career-high 416 yards (78%) and two touchdowns against FCS Southern Illinois and led the Illini to 42 total points (Illinois averaged just 16.7 PPG last season). The bad news is that the Illini almost blew a 22-point lead at home against a FCS opponent. They allowed the Salukis to gain 407 total yards and score 34 points. SIU QB Faulkner completed 25-of-40 passes for 312 yards with three touchdowns and no picks. The Illini defense has to get better or Cincinnati will run up points in a hurry. Cincinnati looked strong on both sides of the ball in a 42-7 win over Purdue. The Bearcats passed for 204 yards and rushed for another 221. The defense held the Boilermakers to just 226 total yards and 12 first downs. The Illini have dropped 10 straight games against FBS opponents, and nine of those losses were by 14 points or more. Cincy has now won and covered four straight games dating back to last season.

Iowa (-24.5, 48) vs. FCS Missouri State (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Despite the loss, Iowa looked like an improved team from last year’s version that finished 4-8. The Hawkeyes outgained and had more first downs than Northern Illinois (who went to the Orange Bowl last year). New QB Jake Rudock had 256 passing yards with one passing touchdown and one rushing touchdown, but had a costly interception late in the game that led to NIU’s game-winning field goal. The good news is that they get to regroup here against FCS Missouri State. Missouri State finished 3-8 a year ago with losses against Kansas State (42 points) and Louisville (28 points). The Hawkeyes are 47-5 all-time against FCS opponents and all of those losses came prior to 1939.

Michigan State (-23.5, 44) vs. South Florida (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)
As dominant as the Spartan defense was against Western Michigan, the concerns that doomed an anemic offense in 2012 were still apparent. QB’s Andrew Maxwell and Connor Cook combined to complete just 17-of-36 passes for 116 yards with no touchdowns (the offense scored just one touchwon the entire game). The receivers didn’t help the cause either with six dropped passes. Defensively the Spartans remained stout. This unit allowed just 204 total yards and 14 first downs. WMU had just 11 rushing yards on 27 carries and their quarterbacks completed just 38% of their passes with three interceptions. South Florida was surprised by FCS McNeese State last week in a 53-21 home loss. The Bulls had three costly turnovers (one which was turned 76 yards for a TD) and had a 33-7 deficit at halftime. They played better in the 2nd half after inserting QB Bobby Eveld (137 yards and two touchdowns) but the defense has a long way to go. MSU is 0-7 as a home chalk the last seven opportunities. The Spartans are also just 2-6 ATS their last eight at home against non-conference opponents.

Penn State (-24, 48.5) vs. Eastern Michigan (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Penn State fought through some adversity to notch a quality win over a major-conference team away from its home stadium. True freshman QB Christian Hackenberg had his ups and downs, but overall finished with a good day (278 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT). He did not to a good job on third down (1-of-15) and too often the Nittany Lions were forced to punt. PSU also only had 57 rushing yards on 38 carries – a stat that must improve as the season goes on. The Nittany Lions are a heavy 24 point favorite as they debut at home this week against Eastern Michigan. They recently played EMU in 2011 at home and won by 28 points. The Eagles beat FCS Howard last week by 10 points, but they are 0-31 against the Big Ten. They’ve lost to four Big Ten teams the last two years by an average of 28 points per game.

Purdue (-17, 58) vs. FCS Indiana State (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)
HC Darrell Hazell should get an easy win here after an embarrassing debut as Purdue’s head coach. Purdue generated just 226 yards of offense, 12 first downs, and seven points against Cincinnati last week. QB Henry threw two interceptions and the offense lost two more fumbles. Defensively the Boilers allowed 425 yards and 42 points as Cincy was able to move the ball with ease. Purdue has an opportunity to get right against an FCS opponent before a home battle with Notre Dame next week. Indiana State allowed 632 yards and 73 points in a trip to Indiana last week. Purdue isn’t nearly as dynamic as Indiana, but it bodes well for the Boilermakers offense. Purdue has won nine straight home openers with the average score 46-17. The Boilers are 3-0 against Indiana State, winning last in 2006 by 35 points. They finished 7-4 last year with a seven-point loss to Indiana.

Wisconsin (-45, 59) vs. FCS Tennessee Tech (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)
It was just UMass, but Wisconsin and new head coach Gary Anderson put on a good show in the opener. The Badgers racked up 598 yards of offense, including 393 rushing yards where three players finished over 100 yards. Anderson’s new 3-4 defense also looked strong, allowing just 212 yards and 13 first downs. Again, it was just UMass, and the competition doesn’t get any stronger this week as the Badgers take on FCS Tennessee Tech. TTU went 3-8 last year with a 49 point loss at Oregon. Wisconsin is 5-0 against FCS opponents over the last five years – winning by an average of 30.4 PPG.

Ohio State (-28, 54) vs. San Diego State (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The competition level steps up a bit for the Buckeyes after their home opening win against Buffalo. They’ll host San Diego State this week before traveling to Cal next week. The Buckeyes had a flawless record in 2012, but they were a flawed team. They still have their issues as they weren’t able to pull away from Buffalo until the 4th quarter last week. QB Braxton Miller completed 15-of-22 passes for 178 yards and two scores, but had a costly interception that Buffalo returned for a touchdown. OSU’s running game racked up 261 yards (5.8 YPC). San Diego State’s upset loss against Eastern Illinois last week inflated this line a bit as this team is not as bad as that loss indicates. This will be the Aztec’s fourth trip to the Horseshoe since 2001. They are 0-3 so far but only losing by 13 PPG. San Diego State has traveled to Washington, Missouri, and Michigan over the last three years and only losing by 11 PPG and outgained by 13 YPG. OSU is 1-4 ATS its last five when laying double digits.

Indiana (-13, 67) vs. Navy (Big 10, 6:00 p.m. ET)
The Hoosiers offense set a Memorial Stadium record with 73 points against Indiana State while notching 632 total yards of offense. Indiana now has multiple weapons at quarterback, running back and wide receiver. Still, the defense must improve. The Hoosiers allowed 306 yards and 21 points to Indiana State (ISU scored two defensive touchdowns leading to 35 total points). They also notched 131 rushing yards against this Indiana defense. Navy represents a much more difficult test as the Midshipmen bring in a tricky triple-option offense. The Hoosiers will be hungry for revenge after blowing a double-digit lead last year and surrendering the game-winning touchdown with 2:00 to play. Indiana has been a double-digit favorite just nine times in non-conference play over the past 10 years and is 6-3 ATS in those games. Navy is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games as an underdog.

Nebraska (-28.5, 59.5) vs. Southern Miss (Big Ten, 6:00 p.m. ET)
The concerns about Nebraska's young defense were confirmed in week one against Wyoming. Nebraska surrendered 35 first downs and 602 yards at home to the Cowboys. Dating back to last season, the Huskers have now allowed 610 YPG (307 rush YPG, 303 pass YPG) and 49.6 PPG to the last three opponents. They are heavy 28.5 point favorites against Southern Miss as oddsmakers are apparently assuming the defense will step up a bit more this week. Southern Miss lost at home to Texas State last week 15-22. That final is a bit misleading considering SM had +193 yards and more first downs. The Golden Eagles had SIX turnovers, dooming them in the end. The Huskers beat Southern Miss by 29 points in the season opener last season and have won 12 straight at home against non-conference opponents by an average of 32 points per game.

Northwestern (-12, 57) vs. Syracuse (Big Ten, 6:00 p.m. ET)
The Wildcats had one of the most impressive performances in the Big Ten in week one. They played a night game at Cal and had to play the majority of the game without their two top players, QB Kain Colter and RB Venric Mark; both of whom left the game in the first half with injuries. Northwestern was still able to rack up 508 yards and 22 first downs and two interception returns for touchdowns certainly helped the Wildcats’ cause. The defense struggled, however, allowing 548 total yards and 30 first downs to Cal’s high-octane offense. They won’t face another offensive scheme like that all year long, but Syracuse still represents a tough challenge. NU won at Syracuse last season, 42-41 with the game-winning touchdown scored with 44 seconds remaining. Syracuse lost a lot of firepower from last year’s squad, including head coach Doug Marrone. ‘Cuse lost at home to Penn State last week and had a shaky start for QB Allen, who completed just 16-of-37 passes with two interceptions. NU has covered 13 of its last 14 games and has won six straight home openers by 24 points per game.

Michigan (-3.5, 52) vs. Notre Dame (ESPN, 8:00 p.m.)
The Wolverines host the Fighting Irish in Ann Arbor as a 3.5 point favorite. The ESPN Gameday crew will be on location as this is the final meeting between these two rivals in Ann Arbor scheduled. Michigan had a thoroughly dominating performance against Central Michigan in week one. QB Gardner accounted for three touchdowns but did have two interceptions that should be worrisome. Michigan had +253 yards and +10 first downs, but that was rather easy after CMU lost its starting QB & RB. The defense kept the Chippewas out of the end zone and held them to nine total points. The competition steps up considerably this week as Michigan will take on one of the top defenses in the nation in 2012. Notre Dame also received strong play from QB Rees last week, who threw for 346 yards and three scores. The underdog has covered 14 of the last 17 meetings between these two. Notre Dame is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog.

Minnesota (-16.5, 51) @ New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. ET)
It was a big win, but the 51-23 score masked some of the issues Jerry Kill's team must address before the competition level improves. Three of Minnesota’s seven touchdowns against UNLV were non-offensive (Kickoff return, blocked field goal return, and interception return). The Gophers had -99 yards and -5 first downs. We might not get a good gauge on Minnesota this week as they take on another bottom feeder. New Mexico State surrendered 715 yards to Texas last week. The Aggies are just 4-12 ATS the last 16 games and have dropped four of the last five home openers by 17 points per game.

News: 2018 Power 5 Win Totals
BetDSI: Handicapping Texas A&M (7)
BetDSI: Handicapping LSU (7.5)
BetDSI: Handicapping Miss State (8)
BetDSI: Handicapping Auburn (9)
BetDSI: Handicapping Alabama (10.5)
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