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Tech Trends - Week 4

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Editor's Note: Bruce Marshall's college football selections can be purchased weekly on VegasInsider.com. Click to win!

NFL TRENDS

Thursday, Sept. 19
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at CLEMSON at NC STATE...NCS has covered the last three meetings. Dabo, however, was 3-0 as road chalk and 4-0 as ACC visitor in 2012, and is 10-5 overall vs. number since last season. Pack was 10-3-1 as home dog for O'Brien 2009-12. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.
Friday, Sept. 20
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at BOISE STATE at FRESNO STATE...FSU no covers last three after 11-1 break from gate vs. spread. FSU 0-1 vs. line at Dog House TY after 6-0 mark LY. Boise has won and covered last seven years in series. Boise, based on series trends.
Saturday, Sept. 21
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at NORTH TEXAS at GEORGIA...UGa was 0-4 laying 20 or more LY (0-3 in role at Athens) after 4-1 mark in role previous two years. UNT 4-1 getting 20 or more since 2011. Slight to UNT, based on team trends.
at FIU at LOUISVILLE...FIU has covered the last two years vs. 'Ville and won outright at Papa John's in 2011. Although Golden Panthers no covers first 3 this season and just 4-8 last 12 as dog. Cards only 6-9 as Papa John's chalk since 2011, and 1-4 last 5 laying 20 or more. Slight to Louisville, based on recent trends.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at IOWA...Ferentz 5-12 last 17 vs. line since late 2011, 11-21-1 last 33 vs. line overall, and 3-10 laying DDs since 2010. WMU only 4-11 last 15 vs. line since late 2011. Slight to WMU, based on extended Iowa woes.
at VANDERBILT at UMASS...UMass 7-12 vs. line for Molnar since LY. James Franklin 12-3 as chalk since 2011 and 7-0 laying DDs that span. Vandy, based on team trends.
at WAKE FOREST at ARMY...Deacs only 5-10 vs. line since LY but did win and cover vs. Army LY. West Point just 5-10 vs. line since LY and Black Knights poor 12-22 as home dog since 2003. Slight to Wake, based on team trends.
at PITT at DUKE...Blue Devils 7-2 vs. line last 9 vs. non-ACC. Duke, based on team trends.
at MICHIGAN at UCONN...Wolves are 5-2 as DD chalk since LY and 2-0 as road chalk that span. Huskies 7-2 as Rentsch dog since 2009 (4-2 for Pasqualoni) but only 10-16 overall vs. spread since late 2010. Michigan, based on team trends.
at PURDUE at WISCONSIN...Badgers have won and covered last four meetings since 2009 and six straight dating to 2005. Purdue 3-0 as road dog for Danny Hope LY but 0-2 vs. line in 2013 for Hazell. Gary Andersen teams 14-2 vs. line since LY at USU and Wiscy and Badgers 11-4-1 laying 20 or more since 2010. Wisconsin, based on team trends.
at BALL STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Ball 16-6 vs. line last 22 for Pete Lembo since mid 2011. Cards 9-5 vs. line away for Lembo and have won and covered last two years vs. EMU. Eagles only 9-21 vs. line at Ypsilanti since 2007. Ron English 5-10 as home dog with EMU. Ball State, based on team trends.
at KENT STATE at PENN STATE...Kent State no covers last three or since Hazell left late LY. Golden Flashes were 2-7 as visiting dog 2010-11 before 3-1 mark LY. Kent State also 3-11 vs. line vs. non-MAC 2008-11 prior to 3-2 LY. Bill O'Brien has covered six straight as Happy Valley chalk since early LY and Nittany Lions 6-2 vs. line as host for O'Brien. Penn State, based on team trends.
at MARSHALL at VIRGINIA TECH...Herd has lost and failed to cover in 2009 & '11 vs. Beamer. Beamer 8-21-1 last 30 on board since late 2010. Herd 3-1 as road dog LY and 9-6 as dog since 2011. Marshall, based on recent trends.
at CINCINNATI at MIAMI-OHIO...Miami 4-10 vs. line since LY. RedHawks have lost and failed to cover last 3 in series and have lost last 7 SU vs. nearby Cincy, never closer than 24 last six. Cincy 8-4 as DD chalk since 2010, Tuberville 6-1 laying 20 or more at TT from 2010-12. Cincy, based on team and series trends.
at NORTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA TECH...Wild games lately with GT winning last three, and a 68-50 scoreline LY! Tech now 11-5 vs. line since LY. Heels 1-5-1 last seven as dog since late 2010. GT, based on team trends.
at WEST VIRGINIA vs. MARYLAND (at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore)...Terps have started 3-0 SU and vs. line TY and have covered last four since late LY. WVU 6-2 as dog since 2011. Maryland, based on recent trends.
at SAN JOSE STATE at MINNESOTA...Spartans 2-0 vs. line for Caragher, now 13-2 vs. line since LY and 16-2 last 18 since late 2011. Also 23-6 last 29 on board and 8-2 as road dog since 201l. If favored, Minn.3-0 as home chalk since LY and 5-1 overall as chalk since 2012. SJSU, based on team trends.
at TROY at MISSISSIPPI STATE...MSU 1-6 last seven vs. line against FBS foes. Though Dan Mullen is 11-4 as home chalk since 2010 for Mullen. Troy 5-1 vs. line non-Belt since LY. Troy, based on team trends.
at UL-MONROE at BAYLOR...ULM 5-1 as dog vs. non-Belt since LY (including cover vs. Baylor). Baylor now 8-2 as home chalk since 2011, and 3-0 laying 20 or more since LY. Slight to Baylor, based on recent trends.
at WYOMING at AIR FORCE...AFA has won 4 of last 5 meetings SU but has dropped last 4 vs. line against Wyo. Falcs 5-16 vs. line at home since 2010. Wyo 2-0 as road chalk LY and 14-8 last 22 vs. line overall. Cowboys 18-8 vs. line away since Christensen arrived in 2009. Wyo, based on team trends.
at UTAH at BYU...Utah has won last 3 SU in series and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Kyle Whittingham 19-13 as dog since 2005. BYU only 1-5 as single-digit chalk since LY. Utah, based on series and team trends.
at HAWAII at NEVADA...Norm Chow has covered last five since late 2012. Warriors have also covered 4 of last 5 in series. Pack 0-4 as home chalk LY but Polian covered first try in role this season. Nevada still 25-14 as Reno chalk since 2004 (25-11 if tossing out 2012 mark). Slight to UH, based on recent trends.
at UTAH STATE at SOUTHERN CAL...Lane Kiffin 4-12 vs. line since LY. Also 1-5 vs. line last six vs. non-Pac 12. USU 13-3 vs. line since 2012 and 7-2 last nine vs. points away from Logan. USU, based on recent trends.
at SMU at TEXAS A&M...A&M only 4-3 as home chalk since LY, although Ags have won and covered last two years vs. SMU by big margins. June Jones 3-8 last 11 as visiting dog. A&M, based on SMU road woes and series trends.
at RICE vs. HOUSTON (at Reliant Stadium)...UH has won and covered big the past two seasons, but Rice has covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 on board since midway in 2012 season. Rice, based on recent trends.
at MICHIGAN STATE at NOTRE DAME...Irish have won and covered last two meetings and covered last three vs. MSU, which had enjoyed much spread success prior in series. Spartans have covered last four as dog away from East Lansing. Brian Kelly only 7-9 as DD chalk since 2010. MSU, based on team trends.
at KANSAS STATE at TEXAS...Bill Snyder has won and covered last three vs. Mack Brown. KSU also 9-3 as dog since 2011, 17-8 in role since Snyder returned in 2009. Mack 9-15 as home chalk since 2009. KSU, based on Snyder trends.
at ARKANSAS STATE at MEMPHIS...ASU has won SU last two years although Memphis got the cover in 2012. Tigers 5-1 vs. line since late 2012. Ark State, however, 21-8 since 2011 vs. line, 10-3 as home chalk that span, 9-4 laying DD. Slight to Arkansas State, based on team trends.
at LA TECH at KANSAS...La Tech and Skip Holtz each no covers their last 8 since late 2012, Holtz also 4-19-1 vs. line last 24 at USF & LT. Weis, however, 0-3 as chalk since LY, 1-11 last 12 as chalk dating to ND days. Slight to LY based on extended Weis negatives.
at COLORADO STATE at ALABAMA...CSU 4-1 vs. line last 5 since late LY and has covered last three as dog. Nick only 2-5 as home chalk since LY and 1-6 last 7 laying 30 or more. CSU, based on recent trends.
at ARKANSAS at RUTGERS...Hogs only 1-6 vs. line last seven as visitor since mid 2011. If dog note Bielema 8-3-1 in role from 2009-12 at Wiscy. Rutgers 1-5 vs. line last five. Slight to Arkansas, if dog, based on Bielema dog marks.
at ARIZONA STATE at STANFORD...Teams haven't met since 2010. Tree only 1-6 last 7 as Farm chalk since LY, 2-8 last 10 in role. But ASU only 1-4 as dog LY. Favored teams are 12-3 in ASU games since Todd Graham took over last season. Slight to Stanford, based on chalk-in-Graham trends.
at LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE at AKRON...Terry Bowden 0-4 as home dog since taking over Zips LY. Ragin' Cajuns 12-5 vs. spread away from Lafayette for Hudspeth since 2011, but 0-2 TY. Louisiana, based on Akron negatives.
at IDAHO at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach has now covered four straight since late LY. Vandals 3-13 last 16 vs. spread. WSU, based on Idaho negatives.
at MTSU at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Carl Pelini and FAU have now covered 10 of their last 11 as dog. Although MTSU has won and covered the last 4 meetings and has won last 5 SU in series. Stockstill 4-0 as road chalk since 2011. Slight to FAU, based on Carl Pelini trends.
at TULANE at SYRACUSE...Wave 7-3 last 10 on board since mid 2012 after La Tech win. Tulane also 6-1 last 7 as dog for Curtis Johnson. Cuse 5-8 last 13 overall as favorite. Tulane, based on team trends.
at TOLEDO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Rockets have won and covered last three meetings, all DD wins. Toledo 14-6 vs. line as visitor since 2010. Chips 1-5 as home dog since 2011. Toledo, based on team and series trends.
at TEXAS STATE at TEXAS TECH...Kingsbury 3-0 SU and vs. line. Red Raiders also 10-4 vs. non-Big 12 since 2010 and 7-1 laying 20 or more since 2010. Franchione and TSU 4-1 last 5 as dog since mid 2012. TT, based on team trends.
at OREGON STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Rocky only 5-5 as dog since 2011 (1-2 as home dog). Mike Riley 0-2 as visiting chalk since 2010 and 1-5 last 6 as DD chalk. Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.
at AUBURN at LSU...Gus Malzahn 9-6 vs. line since LY at Ark State & Auburn. LSU has won 5 of last 6 SU in series but is only 3-3 vs. line in those games and 15-23 as home chalk since 2007. Auburn, based on Malzahn numbers.
at UTSA at UTEP...Coker 3-0 vs. line TY, 10-3 vs. points since 2012, also 6-1 vs. line away. UTEP 0-4 as home chalk since LY. UTSA, based on team trends.
at MISSOURI at INDIANA...Pinkel 7-3 vs. line non-conf. since 2010. If favored note Tigers 9-3 as visiting chalk since 2007. Mizzou, based on team trends.
at NEW MEXICO STATE at UCLA...Ags 1-5-1 as road dog since LY, 1-9 last 10 getting 20 or more since late 2011. More 10-6 vs. line with UCLA, 2-0 laying 20 or more. UCLA, based on NMSU negatives.

  
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