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Tech Trends - Week 6

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Editor's Note: Bruce Marshall's college football selections can be purchased weekly on VegasInsider.com. Click to win!
NFL TRENDS
Thursday, Oct. 3
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at TEXAS at IOWA STATE...ISU 1-3-1 as home dog LY, and has lost and failed to cover last two years vs. Mack Brown. Mack 8-5 vs. line away since 2011. Slight to Texas, based on team and series trends.
at WESTERN KENTUCKY at UL-MONROE...Road team has covered last four meetings. WKU 8-1 vs. line last nine away from home (1-1 TY). WKU, based on series trends.
at UCLA at UTAH...Bruins 11-5 vs. line in reg. season for Mora. UCLA 5-2 vs. line as visitor for Mora as well, though Bruins have lost big last two in Salt Lake City (2007 & '11). UCLA, based on team trends.
Friday, Oct. 4
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at BYU at UTAH STATE...Utags have covered last five in series and now 15-3 vs. line since 2012. USU also 10-2 as chalk since LY and 5-1 as Logan chalk. BYU, however, has covered last nine as road dog since early 2010 and last 10 as dog. Slight to BYU, based on Cougars' dog trends.
at NEVADA at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs only 8-11 as chalk for Rocky Long since 2011. Pack, however, has failed to cover last six as reg.-season visitor. Slight to SDSU, based on recent Nevada road woes.
Saturday, Oct. 5
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at AIR FORCE at NAVY...Navy broke 2-year SU losing steak with OT win at AFA in 2012, Mids now 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 vs. line last ten meetings. Slight to Navy, based on extended series trends.
at MICHIGAN STATE at IOWA...Ferentz 8-3-1 as home dog since 2003 and is 5-1 vs. line last six vs. MSU. Iowa 3 wins and covers in a row TY. Slight to Iowa, based on series and recent trends.
at LOUISVILLE at TEMPLE...Charlie Strong only 1-4 laying 20 or more since 2010 (1-1 TY), but Cards have covered 4 of last 5 away. Owls just 1-4 as home dog since LY. Louisville, based on team trends.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO...Road team has covered last six in series. WMU was 4-0 as road dog in 2011 but 2-5 since, and Toledo 4-1 vs. line in 2013. Slight to WMU, based on series road trends.
at EASTERN MICHIGAN at BUFFALO...EMU has won and covered last two meetings (2010-11). Note favored Bulls 5-14 as home chalk since 2008. EMU, based on team and series trends.
at GEORGIA STATE at ALABAMA...Both of these schools were once coached by Bill Curry. GSU has covers in its last two in 2013, and Nick 1-7 last 8 laying 30 or more. GSU, based on Bama big chalk woes.
at ARMY at BOSTON COLLEGE...Army beat BC 34-31 LY. Ellerson 2-7 as visiting dog since 2011. BC 3-1 as home chalk since LY but was 1-7 in role the previous two years. Army, based on extended BC home chalk woes.
at CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MIAMI-OHIO...CMU 0-5 vs. line TY and 7-23 since beginning of 2011 season. Take out that 5-1 stretch to close 2012 and...whew! Chips also 1-11 last 12 vs. spread as visitor for Enos. But Miami lost to CMU LY, and RedHawks 5-10 vs. line since 2012. Miami-O, based on CMU woes.
at BALL STATE at VIRGINIA...Pete Lembo 18-6 vs. line last 24 since mid 2011. Lembo also 8-2 last 10 as dog and 10-5 vs. line as visitor since 2011. Mike London 3-11-1 last 15 vs. line with Cavs. Ball, based on team trends.
at MARYLAND at FLORIDA STATE...Md 4-0 SU and vs. line and has covered 6 straight since late 2012. Note Edsall's UConn teams covered 22 of their last 36 as dog. Maryland, based on team and extended Edsall trends.
at GEORGIA TECH at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Miami has won and covered last four meetings. Al Golden 17-6-1 last 24 on line since mid 2011 for Canes. Miami, based on team and series trends.
at CLEMSON at SYRACUSE...Dabo 3-1 as road chalk since LY and 5-1 vs. line away from Death Valley. Though Cuse 7-1 vs. line last 8 since late LY (3-1 for Shafer) and 6-3-1 as dog since 2012. Slight to 'Cuse, based on team trends.
at NC STATE at WAKE FOREST...Grobe just 12-18 as dog since 2010. Home team, however, has won and covered last six in this series. Pack 0-13 as visiting chalk since 2003! Wake, based on NCS visiting chalk negatives.
at ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA...Bo Pelini just 2-2 as home chalk TY but 8-3 in role since LY, also 6-3 laying DD since 2012. Illini 0-5 as visiting dog since LY. Nebraska, based on team trends.
at UTSA at MARSHALL...Coker 10-5 vs. spread since 2012 and 7-3 as dog. Doc Holliday 2-5-1 as chalk since LY. UTSA, based on Coker trends.
at NORTH TEXAS at TULANE...Rare road chalk for UNT, just 0-2 in role since 2005. McCarney is 4-1 last five on board since late LY. Tulane 5-2 as home dog since LY, 8-4 last 12 on board. Slight to UNT, based on recent McCarney trends.
at OREGON at COLORADO...MacIntyre 7-1 last 8 and 10-2 last 12 as dog at SJSU & CU. MacIntyre teams also 16-3 last 19 on board. Ducks have won and covered by 115-16 scoreline last two years vs. Buffs and now 9 straight covers as visiting chalk. Slight to CU, based on MacIntyre trends.
at GEORGIA at TENNESSEE...Richt 5-3 as visiting chalk past two years. Vols 4-11 last 15 vs. line in Knoxville. Georgia, based on team trends.
at ARKANSAS at FLORIDA...Will Muschamp 2-9 vs. line last 11 as home chalk. Bielema 8-3 as dog at Wiscy 2009-12 (1-1 TY with Ark), but Hogs 1-8 last 9 vs. line as visitor. Slight to Arkansas, based on Gator home chalk woes.
at LSU at MISSISSIPPI STATE...LSU has won last 13 SU vs. MSU and covered the last three. Dan Mullen 1-5 last six as dog, 2-4 as home dog since 2010. Les Miles 8-4 last 12 as chalk away from home. LSU, based on series trends.
at RICE at TULSA...Rice has lost last six SU vs. Tulsa but did get the cover LY. And Golden Hurricane 0-4 vs. line TY after ISU loss. Owls 8-2 vs. line since mid 2012, and has covered last seven as road dog. Rice, based on team trends.
at NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH...Even with win at GT, Beamer only 9-22-1 last 32 on board and VT only 1-3-1 vs. spread TY. VPI 3-9-1 as home chalk since 2011. Fedora only 1-6 vs. line away since 2012 with Heels. Slight to UNC, based on extended Beamer spread woes.
at TCU at OKLAHOMA...Although Frogs 5-1 as visiting dog since 2011, TCU just 5-11-1 vs. line since 2012 and 8-18-1 last 27 on board since early 2011. OU won and covered LY at Fort Worth. OU, based on recent TCU negatives.
at CINCINNATI at SOUTH FLORIDA...USF 1-12-1 last 14 vs. spread in Tampa. Bulls also 1-8 last 9 and 5-19-1 last 25 on board. But caution that Tuberville 0-2 as road chalk with Bearcats TY. Cincy, based on USF woes.
at KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...Bill Snyder 17-9 in preferred role as dog since 2009. Snyder has covered last two years vs. OSU, too. Cowboys have covered last 8 as Stillwater chalk and 11 of last 12 in role. Slight to K-State, based on Bill Snyder dog trends.
at MISSOURI at VANDERBILT...If getting points, note Pinkel 6-3 as visiting dog since 2011. Vandy only 2-3 vs. line TY after 18-8 mark last two years for Franklin. Mizzou, if dog, based on team trends.
at MINNESOTA at MICHIGAN...Hoke only 4-6-1 last 11 on board since mid 2012. Wolves have won and covered last five vs. Minn. Kill was 0-3 as visiting dog LY. Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.
at UCF at MEMPHIS...Memphis 6-1 vs. line last 7 since late LY for Fuente. Home team has covered last four years in series. O'Leary just 3-5 as visiting chalk since 2011. Memphis, based on team and series home trends.
at RUTGERS at SMU...Rutgers 5-2 vs. line away since LY, 1-1 as road chalk. SMU 6-2 as home dog since 2009. Slight to Rutgers based on team trends.
at FRESNO STATE at IDAHO...Bulldogs 0-4 vs. line TY but still 11-6 vs. spread for DeRuyter since LY. Visitor covered last four meetings, and Idaho 4-14 last 18 on board. Slight to Fresno, based on team trends.
at TEXAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...ULL 1-3 vs. line TY after crackling success vs. line past two seasons. Franchione 8-3 as dog since LY. Slight to Texas State, based on recent trends.
at SOUTH ALABAMA at TROY...USA wins and covers last three (all as dog) TY. Troy only 4-11 as home chalk since 2010. USA, based on recent trends.
at NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Note that road team has covered last five meetings. But Ags 1-9-1 last 11 as road dog. Lobos 3-1 as chalk for Bob Davie (0-1 TY). Slight to UNM, based on NMSU woes.
at WASHINGTON STATE at CAL...Cal 0-4 vs. spread in 2013, Sonny Dykes now 0-9 last 9 at LT and Cal, and Bears 3-14 last 17 on board. Leach 5-1 vs. line last six since late LY. WSU, based on recent trends.
at WASHINGTON at STANFORD...Tree just 3-8 last 11 as Farm chalk, and had won and covered four straight vs. UW prior to LY's 17-13 loss. Sarkisian 6-3 as dog LY nut just 2-3 as road dog since 2011. Slight to UW, based on team trends.
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS at KENT STATE...Kent 7-4 as dog since LY. NIU 5-2 as visiting chalk since LY. Slight to NIU, based on team trends.
at OLE MISS at AUBURN...Hugh Freeze 22-7 vs. spread since 2011 at Ark State & Ole Miss, Rebs also 7-2 vs. line away from Oxford since LY. Malzahn 3-2 as dog since LY Ark St-Auburn. Ole Miss, based on team trends.
at KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA...UK was 0-4 as visiting dog for Joker LY, and Cats lost and failed to cover last two vs. Spurrier. Cats 2-13 vs. line last 15 away form home since early 2010. SC, based on UK negatives.
at FIU at SOUTHERN MISS...USM no covers last four as chalk, but FIU no covers first four TY for Ron Turner. Slight to USM, based on FIU negatives.
at UMASS at BOWLING GREEN...Mass has covered two in a row after 4-10 mark for Molnar since LY. Mass 2-1 as DD dog TY. But BGSU 4-0 as chalk TY and 10-2 in role since 2012. BGSU, based on extended trends.
at FAU at UAB...Carl Peilini 10-1 last 11 as road dog at FAU. UAB 4-9 as chalk since 2010. FAU, based on team trends.
at TEXAS TECH at KANSAS...Weis 0-3 vs. line TY and 5-10 since LY. Weis 25-44 vs. line last 5+ years as coach at ND & Kansas. TT 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. spread for Kingsbury. TT, based on Weis negatives.
at ECU at MTSU...MTSU 1-4 vs. line TY, 1-5-1 last 7 on board since late LY. Stockstill 0-6 as home dog since 2009. ECU, based on MTSU woes.
at OHIO at AKRON...Zips 2-6 vs. line at home since LY. Solich 5-0 SU and 4-1 vs. line last 5 vs. Akron but was 0-3 as road chalk LY after 5-3 previous two years. Solich has won and covered last 3 in 2013. Ohio, based on team trends.
at ARIZONA STATE vs. NOTRE DAME (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington)...ND no covers last six since BCS title game. ND 4-9 vs. line last 13 away from home. ASU 9-2 as chalk since LY. ASU, based on recent trends.
at WEST VIRGINIA at BAYLOR...Baylor on rampage with nine straight covers since late LY. WVU 6-11 last 17 on board but a bit better 4-2 as dog that span. Baylor, based on recent trends.
at LA TECH at UTEP...La Tech and Skip Holtz both still 1-9 last ten vs. line. Skip still 9-7-1 as dog since 2010. UTEP 0-2 as chalk TY and 0-6-1 in role since LY. Slight to La Tech, based on UTEP woes.
at OHIO STATE at NORTHWESTERN...No NU SU wins in series since 2004. Fitz 14-3 vs. line since LY and 5-1 as dog. NU, based on team trends.
at PENN STATE at INDIANA...O'Brien 11-5 last 16 vs. line but only 1-1 as road chalk that span. Penn State hasn't lost SU to Indiana since joining Big Ten in 1993. IU 4-7 last 11 as dog since late 2011. Penn State, based on team trends.
at SAN JOSE STATE at HAWAII...SJSU big losses to Minn. & Utags last two after 16-2 spread run prior. Pre-Caragher Spartans were 5-0 as road chalk LY. Hawaii 6-1 last seven vs. line. Slight to Hawaii, based on recent trends.

  
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