GOY Odds updated
October 8, 2013
By Brian Edwards
With Week 7 on the horizon in college football, there are 17 unbeaten teams remaining. Sixteen of those schools are in this week’s version of the Associated Press Top 25. The lone exception is a 4-0 Houston team from out of the AAC.
Many of these teams are going to face each other in the coming weeks and a slew of one-loss teams certainly remain in the mix to garner a berth to the last BCS Championship Game in January.
Our friends at LVH in Las Vegas update the lines for Games of the Year every Monday, so let’s touch on some of the more interesting ones.
With its clubbing of Maryland by a 63-0 count this past weekend, Florida State has an open date to prep for its Week 8 trip to Clemson. The Seminoles haven’t won in Death Valley since 2001, dropping five in a row at Memorial Stadium.
LVH has the Tigers installed as one-point favorites. Both of these schools have met expectations to date, evidenced by the fact that LVH had Clemson as a 1 ½-point ‘chalk’ vs. FSU back in August.
If Jimbo Fisher’s team can win at Clemson, it will have only three more hurdles of significance before the teams destined for Pasadena will be decided. The first is a home game against Miami on Nov. 2.
LVH has FSU as an 11-point favorite against the Hurricanes. The ‘Noles travel to The Swamp for their regular-season finale and they’re currently favored by 2 ½ against the Gators. A third obstacle would be the following week in the ACC Championship Game.
As for Clemson, it has two regular-season games beyond FSU that could be tricky. The Tigers play at Maryland on Oct. 26 in a game that would qualify as a vintage letdown spot if they get past the ‘Noles. LVH doesn’t have a line for this game and the status of Maryland QB C.J. Brown is in doubt after he was knocked out of the loss to FSU with a concussion.
Clemson concludes the regular-season slate at South Carolina. The Gamecocks have beaten CU in four consecutive meetings by margins of 17, 22, 21 and 10. LVH has Steve Spurrier’s team as a one-point home favorite.
In other action on Oct. 19, LSU faces a critical road assignment at Ole Miss. Of course, the Tigers will need to beat Florida at home this Saturday to still be in the national-title picture. They are favored by seven at most spots over the Gators, while LVH has them as six-point ‘chalk’ in Oxford.
Stanford faces a potential tester at Utah this weekend. The Utes gave UCLA fits last Thursday but if the Cardinal can emerge unscathed, it will host the Bruins on Oct. 19 in a battle of unbeaten schools (Jim Mora Jr.’s team should cruise pat Cal at home this weekend). LVH has David Shaw’s squad as an eight-point home favorite vs. UCLA.
In all likelihood, Stanford or UCLA will still be undefeated on Oct. 26 but both have tough games that weekend. The Bruins are 23 ½-point underdogs at Oregon, while the Cardinal is favored by 10 at Oregon St.
The first weekend of November will go a long way toward deciding the SEC East. Georgia and Florida have both been decimated by injuries, and they both must face a new contender to get to Atlanta (Missouri) between now and their annual showdown in Jacksonville. LVH has UGA tabbed as a 3 ½-point favorite against the Gators. We should note that Will Muschamp has a 0-6 record in this series, going 0-4 as a UGA player vs. UF before dropping the first two meeting to his alma mater as the head coach at UF.
On Nov. 7, we might have the best Thursday of college football action ever seen. In the Big 12, Baylor will host Oklahoma in what might be the most important game ever contested in Waco. The Bears are going to be heavily favored in their three games before taking on OU, so it’s basically a given they’ll be sporting a 7-0 record.
Bob Stoops’s team is a double-digit favorite over Texas this weekend, and its game at home vs. Texas Tech on Oct. 26 could prove to be tougher than the battle with the Longhorns. But there’s a good chance OU and Baylor will both be unbeaten when they collide. LVH has the Bears as 7 ½-point home favorites.
The other monumental matchup on Nov. 7 will go down in Palo Alto, where Stanford will meet Oregon. The Ducks lost out on a shot at the national title when they dropped a 17-14 overtime decision to the Cardinal in Eugene last year. However, UO cruised to a 53-30 win at Stanford two years ago.
LVH has Oregon as a 9 ½-point road favorite. On Shaw’s watch, Stanford has only been a home underdog once, beating USC outright by a 21-14 score as a 7 ½-point home puppy in 2012.
Two days later on Nov. 9 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama will take on LSU. LVH has the Crimson Tide as a seven-point home favorite. Back in August, LVH has ‘Bama favored by 12 vs. the Tigers, who won 9-6 in overtime in their last trip to Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Whether Washington or UCLA will still be in the picture to get to the Pac-12 title game by mid-November remains to be seen, but they’ll square off on Friday, Nov. 15 regardless. LVH has the Bruins as 3 ½-point home favorites.
On Nov. 16, South Carolina is a 3 ½-point home favorite vs. Florida. The Gators dealt out woodshed treatment to the Gamecocks last season at The Swamp, capturing a 44-11 victory. This will also be a big day in the Big Ten Legends Division race. Nebraska is a four-point home favorite vs. Michigan St., while Michigan is favored by one at Northwestern.
With Auburn off to a surprising 4-1 start and seemingly getting better each week, the Iron Bowl isn’t looking like a lay-up game for Alabama anymore, especially since it will be contested on The Plains. LVH had the Tide favored by 21 ½ over Auburn back in August. That number has now been reduced to 15 ½.
Back in August, Louisville was favored by double digits in every one of its games with the exception of its regular-season finale at Cincinnati. The Cardinals were only favored by 2 ½ over the Bearcats before the season started. However, the Bearcats have seen their stock plunge based on their last two outings.
Tommy Tuberville’s team only got past Miami (OH.) by a 14-0 score on Sept. 21. The RedHawks are winless and fired their head coach yesterday. Then this past Saturday, Cincy lost 26-20 in Tampa to a previously-winless South Florida squad. Therefore, U of L is now a 14-point ‘chalk’ for its game Dec. 5 at Cincy.
All Game of the Year Odds at the LVH listed below for the remainder of the season.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2013
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2013
OKLAHOMA ST -7
NOTRE DAME -4.5
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 24, 2013
MISSISSIPPI ST -11
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 25, 2013
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2013
SOUTH CAROLINA -2
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2013
ARIZONA ST -7.5
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2013
OREGON ST -1
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2013
MIAMI FL QB
FLORIDA ST -11
GEORGIA -3.5 @ JACKSONVILLE, FL
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 7, 2013
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2013
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 9, 2013
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2013
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 15, 2013
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 16, 2013
SOUTH CAROLINA -3.5
OKLAHOMA ST -4.5
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2013
AIR FORCE -5
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2013
SAN JOSE ST
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23, 2013
NOTRE DAME -4.5
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 28, 2013
OLE MISS -3
FRIDAY, NOVEBER 29, 2013
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 30, 2013
VIRGINIA TECH -10.5
OHIO ST -3
FLORIDA ST -2.5
SOUTH CAROLINA -1
KANSAS ST -18
TEXAS A&M -5
ARIZONA ST -8.5
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5, 2013
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 7, 2013
OKLAHOMA ST PK
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2013
ARMY @ PHILADELPHIA, PA
LVH HOUSE RULES
**GAME MUST BE PLAYED WITHIN 8 DAYS OF SCHEDULED DATE FOR ACTION
**GAME MUST BE PLAYED AT DESIGNATED SITE
22-5 Streak, 72% +2,969 Overall
2-0 Bowls, 19-5 Run, 63% +2,705
5-0 G-Plays, 16-4 Picks, +1,948 TY
6-0 L6, 20-8 Picks, 18-5 Totals
4-1 Saturday, 13-5 L18 Picks
10-4 L14, 24-10 Run, 13-3 G-Plays
10-2 L12 Picks, 62% +1,445 TY
31-15 L46 G-Plays, 8-3 L11 Totals
21-9 Picks, 4-2 G-Plays, 13-5 Totals
2-0 Bowls, 13-5 G-Plays, +1,642
9-4 L13 G-Plays, 23-13 L36 Picks
6-3 L9 Picks, 15-8 G-Plays, +1,467
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 5-2 L7 Totals
5-2 Picks, 9-4 G-Plays, +1,020 TY
3-1 Bowls, 13-4 Run, 23-10 G-Plays
32-16 Record L12 Saturdays
6-1 L7 College Guarantees
2-0 Bowls, 7-1 L8 NCAA FB Run
3-1 Bowls, 7-3 L10 Guarantees
13-6 L19 Guaranteed Plays
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