Temple at Cincinnati
October 10, 2013
By Brian Edwards
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Gamblers are undoubtedly stuck with a scrub game Friday night but like I always say, every wager pays the same. Cincinnati is coming off a painful setback against previously-winless South Florida and looking to get back into the win column vs. Temple.
Most betting shops have the Bearcats installed as 21-point favorites with a total of 51. They are favored by 12.5 for first-half bets with a total of 27. The Owls have 10/1 odds to win outright at LVH.
Cincinnati (3-2 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) dropped a 26-20 decision at USF as a 10.5-point road 'chalk.' The Bearcats won the yardage battle (350-241) but gave up 14 points on a pair of critical plays. The Bulls blocked a field goal in the first quarter and returned it 75 yards for a touchdown to take the early lead. With a 13-6 advantage in the midway through the second quarter, USF forced a fumble and turned into a 10-yard scoop and score.
Cincy QB Brendon Kay completed 24-of-36 passes for 240 yards and three TDs, but he was intercepted twice. Anthony McClung had eight receptions for 90 yards, while Mekale McKay had a pair of TD catches.
Kay and Munchie Legaux have basically split time at QB the last two years, but Legaux went down with a season-ending injury in mid-September. Kay has connected on 67 percent of his pass attempts for 818 yards with a 7/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He also has a rushing score to his credit.
Hosey Williams is Cincy's leading rusher with 324 yards and four TDs. The junior RB is averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Ralph David Abernathy has 309 yards rushing and a pair of scores, averaging 4.8 YPC. McClung is the Bearcats' leading receiver with 18 receptions for 234 yards.
Dating back to last season, Temple (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) has lost six in a row and 10 of its last 11. The Owls took the money in a 30-7 loss to Louisville last week as 32.5-point home underdogs. The 37 combined points fell 'under' the 58.5-point total.
Trailing 27-0 midway through the final stanza, Temple backers got hooked up when the defense forced U of L to settle for a 25-yard field goal. Obviously, a Cardinals' TD would've put them ahead of the number.
With 38 ticks left, Temple got a nine-yard TD pass from P.J. Walker to Jalen Fitzpatrick to secure the spread cover. The Owls are 2-1 ATS as underdogs this year, hooking up their supporters in their lone situation as road 'dogs in a 28-6 loss at Notre Dame when they were catching 28 points.
Cincy has covered the number in both games as a home favorite this season. The Bearcats rolled to easy wins over Purdue (42-7) and Northwestern St. (66-9). Going back further, they have cashed tickets at a 10-5 clip in their last 15 games as home 'chalk.' When these schools met in Philadelphia last year, Cincy thumped Temple by a 34-10 count as an eight-point road favorite. The 44 combined points stayed 'under' the 55-point tally. Kay threw for 244 yards and ran for 71. He had a pair of TD passes without being intercepted.
The 'under' is 4-1 overall for Temple, 2-0 in its road assignments. Meanwhile, Cincy has seen the 'under' go 3-2 overall, 1-1 in its home contests.
ESPN2 will provide television coverage at 8:30 p.m. Eastern.
**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**
--Oregon is the nation's best ATS team with a 5-0 record. Baylor, Houston and UCLA own 4-0 spread records, while Missouri and Wisconsin are both 4-0-1 ATS.
--Tulsa and California are the worst teams ATS with 0-5 records. Kansas is 0-4 versus the number.
--According to most reports out of Eugene, De'Anthony Thomas is closer to 'doubtful' than his current status of 'questionable' for Saturday's game at Washington. Thomas sprained his ankle two weeks ago vs. Cal and didn't play in last week's win over Colorado.
--Here are some impact players that have been declared out for the season this week: Utah St. QB Chuckie Keeton, Georgia RB Keith Marshall, Georgia WR Justin Scott-Wesley, Texas A&M DT Kirby Ennis, TCU DE DeVonte Fields and Western Michigan WR Jaime Wilson.
--UCLA running back Jordon James is 'doubtful' Saturday vs. Cal. James has rushed for a team-high 463 yards and five TDs.
--Maryland won't make an announcement about QB C.J. Brown's status vs. Virginia until after Thursday's practice. Brown sustained a concussion in last week's loss at FSU. He has a 7/1 TD-INT ratio and six rushing scores.
--Michigan star LB Jake Ryan might make his season debut Saturday at Penn St. Ryan tore his ACL in the spring after leading the Wolverines in tackles with 88 in 2012. He also had 4.5 sacks and set a school record with five forced fumbles last year.
--Arkansas center Travis Swanson, a second-team All-SEC selection last season, is 'probable' vs. South Carolina. He left last week's 30-10 loss at Florida with a knee injury.
7-2 L9 Picks, 12-4 L4 Saturdays
8-1 Guarantees, 17-9 This Year
7-2 L9 Selections, 16-8 TY
7-3 Saturday, 11-3 Totals TY
4-2 Last Saturday, +678 TY
9-3 Last Saturday, 5-1 Fridays TY
5-1 Last 6 Guaranteed Plays
5-2 L2 Saturdays, 4-1 Guarantees TY
Perfect 3-0 Last Saturday
8-0 L8 G-Plays, 6-2 Totals TY
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